You are not sheep, ninjas.
Just because a player is supposed to be drafted in the top 10 doesn’t mean they should. No player in fantasy football is without flaws.
With our help, and the help of hundreds of other sites out there, it’s your duty as a member of the Ninja Army to weed out the players not fit for their draft slot.
Be the wolves. Harvest the sheep.
With that thought in mind, sharpen your weapons with these 20 reasons why you should not pick the players in the average draft position top 20:
1. Chris Johnson (ADP: 1.11) — If his 2009 workload wasn’t enough to concern you, his holdout should.
2. Adrian Peterson (ADP: 1.98) — There isn’t a cell in my body that would be surprised if he fumbles it at the goal line Week 1 and Toby Gerhart goes on to score double-digit TDs.
3. Maurice Jones-Drew (ADP: 3.13) — He’s the only player in the top 5 that doesn’t have questions. We’d call him a safe pick if it was 2009. But after 2009’s All-Safe Team debacle, I’ll refrain. He’s my No. 1, but we could look back next season and talk about the lack of support, an ineffective QB and MJD’s workload as his reasons for disappointing.
4. Ray Rice (ADP: 3.99) — Two words: Anquan Boldin. Not only will the Ravens throw more, but they’ll throw less to Ray Rice. Take away 20 catches and 200 yards from his 2009 numbers and Ray Rice is not a top five pick. Don’t forget that Joe Flacco is another year into the system and has two rookie tight ends who will get some work as well.
5. Frank Gore (ADP: 5.10) — All indications point to him being a rockstar again, however, Gore will get hurt again. … Or, maybe the 49ers will use both Anthony Dixon and Glen Coffee in a committee to keep Gore from getting hurt.
6. Michael Turner (ADP: 6.11) — One great season, one disappointing season and Michael Turner is still in the top 6 because he’s “in better shape” this year? Wasn’t Ron Dayne “in the best shape of his life” every offseason?
7. Andre Johnson (ADP: 6.94) — Show of hands, who thinks Matt Schaub is going to stay healthy AND lead the NFL in passing yards again?
8. Steven Jackson (ADP: 8.30) — Yes, it is possible for him to score less touchdowns than he did last season. Quit fooling yourself.
9. Aaron Rodgers (ADP: 9.44) — Sacked 50 times in 2009. That’s not healthy.
10. Rashard Mendenhall (ADP: 10.23) — Remember when he was in the doghouse early in 2009? I’d bet that’s what Pittsburgh remembered when they drafted Jonathan Dwyer.
11. Larry Fitzgerald (ADP: 11.50) — Fitz’s ranking should reflect the number of passes Kurt Warner will be able to complete from his couch.
12. Drew Brees (ADP: 12.34) — There is no way the Saints defense will be as dominant this year, that means a slightly more conservative Saints offense.
13. DeAngelo Williams (ADP: 13.16) — Base Williams’ ranking on the number of yards and TDs Jonathan Stewart will steal in 2010.
14. Shonn Greene (ADP: 14.10) — The young back will be pulled for LaDainian Tomlinson — who has a nose for the end zone — at the goal line. Mark Sanchez’s maturation and the arrival of Santonio Holmes means less running and more passing.
15. Randy Moss (ADP: 14.50) — At 33, age will soon become a factor for Moss, who relies on his speed considerably. Also, is that Tom Brady character going to be right in 2010? The ADP top 20 sure doesn’t think so.
16. Ryan Mathews (ADP: 16.42) — Drafters love them some rookies. Hope you love a two-down back who will share carries with Darren Sproles.
17. Reggie Wayne (ADP: 17.66) — Well, jzak already said you should trade high on Wayne.
18. Cedric Benson (ADP: 17.95) — Google “Cedric Benson arrest” and you get 299,000 hits. Google “Cedric Benson” and you only get 638,000. That is not a good news to bad news ratio.
19. Calvin Johnson (ADP: 18.91) — Did you see his 2009 numbers? He had seven less TDs and 400 less yards from 2008 to 2009 on only 11 less catches. Even if you’re not good at math, you can tell those numbers don’t add up.
20. Ryan Grant (ADP: 20.53) — One of our Ninjas, Jay-Mo dealt Ryan Grant in a dynasty league after last season, Grant’s best as a pro. Jay-Mo doesn’t think Grant, 27, has more than two years left in the NFL. Grant also has to contend with Aaron Rodgers chucking the ball all over the field.
Obviously, every player on this list needs to be drafted regardless of the reasons presented. There are plenty of good reasons why we should draft them. Just remember, before you develop tunnel vision on any one player, that every one of them has the potential to bust.