Two offenses that are expected to produce lots of fantasy points open with tough challenges in Philadelphia as the Packers face the Eagles.
Above average passsing defenses vs. above average passing offenses? Should be fun.
A lot of fantasy sites offer weekly individual stats projections. Most of those sites are not free. I have no guarantees that these are going to be better than those expensive ones, but they are all pretty realistic. Safe even. At least there’s that.
The projections are based on last season’s statistics with tweaks where necessary for teams that have undergone major changes. It’s not perfect by any means, but it’s all we have this week.
Both Aaron Rodgers and Kevin Kolb won’t be able to open things up quite as much as they’d like because of each others’ defenses. The statistics give the Packers a 25-23 final score, but they could swing by two touchdowns either way depending on breakdowns or shutdowns on defense.
The Eagles will attach Asante Samuel to Greg Jennings’ hip and the Packers will counter by putting Charles Woodson between DeSean Jackson and his quarterback. Each teams’ secondary corners are also strong and should force the quarterbacks to check down to multiple receivers. Still, expect DeSean Jackson or Jeremy Maclin to break a long play for the Eagles, who are projected to throw at least one pass of 40 yards or more and four pass plays of 20 or more yards.
This is a great situation for the Packers’ JerMichael Finley. The Eagles weren’t strong against TEs in 2009.
Another critical point is the Packers offensive line and their ability to keep Aaron Rodgers off his back. They are projected to give up three sacks, but offseason changes were made to attack the problem.
[EDIT: Consigliere’s correct (check the comments) there’s no way the Eagles eclipse 100 yards rushing in this game. Projections adjusted]
Aaron Rodgers, GB: 22-35, 238 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
Kevin Kolb, PHI: 20-34, 228 yards, 2 TD, 2 INTs
Ryan Grant, GB: 100 yards, TD; 1 catch, 5 yards receiving
LeSean McCoy, PHI: 50 yards; 4 catches, 20 yards receiving
Mike Bell, PHI: 25 yards
Leonard Weaver, PHI: 10 yards; 1 catch, 5 receiving yards
Brandon Jackson, GB: 10 yards
DeSean Jackson, PHI: 4-85, TD
Donald Driver, GB: 6-55, TD
Greg Jennings, GB: 6-85
Jeremy Maclin, PHI: 6-70
James Jones, GB: 2-20
Jordy Nelson, GB: 2-10
Jason Avant, PHI: 1-5
Hank Baskett, PHI: 1-5
Jermichael Finley, GB: 5-75, TD
Brent Celek, PHI: 4-45, TD
Mason Crosby, GB: 1 FG, 3 XP
David Akers, PHI: 1 FG, 2 XP
Packers: 2 sacks, 2 INT
Eagles: 3 sacks, INT