2010 Week 6 fantasy football preview with projections: Chargers at Rams

Despite leading the NFL in total offense, the Chargers are staring a disappointing 2-3 record in the face. The Rams are coming off a beating in a game they were supposed to win against the Lions.

San Diego travels to St. Louis this week where, ugly or not, one of the teams has to right the ship.

Week 6 content | Chinstrap Ninjas fantasy football contest: Week 6

Other fantasy football previews with projections: ATL@PHI | SD@STL | NO@TB | DET@NYG | MIA@GB | SEA@CHI | BAL@NE | CLE@PIT | KC@HOU | NYJ@DEN | OAK@SF | DAL@MIN | IND@WAS | TEN@JAX | (Teams on bye: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Arizona, Carolina)

The Chargers are predicted to win 24.5-18.7, but they’ve committed enough turnovers this season that we could expect things to get interesting.

Matchups

The Rams have held opponents to under 90 yards rushing in each of the last two weeks and the Chargers have been reluctant to loosen the reigns on a hobbled Ryan Mathews. The Rams gave up more than 400 yards rushing in the first three weeks, so it’ll be interesting to see whether San Diego tests the D to see if it is still vulnerable.

Philip Rivers hasn’t been slowed down this year, averaging nearly 10 yards per completion (9.61) on pace for the most since Kurt Warner averaged 9.88 in 2000. The Rams have allowed at least 219 yards per game, but haven’t given up a 300-yarder yet. That string ends on Sunday.

With Mark Clayton down, the Rams could lean more heavily on Steven Jackson both in the running and passing games.

The receivers who stand to benefit most from Clayton’s adventure to the IR: WRs Laurent Robinson and Danny Amendola and TE Daniel Fells.

Projections

Note: Instead of rounding, we’re now using raw projections for TDs/INTs/sacks/fumble recoveries. That means we’re going to tell you that Matt Ryan is going to throw 1.5 TDs instead of just rounding to one. We’re also taking those 1.5 points and distributing them to the players we feel will most likely score a TD (touchdown probability?). This move should help all of us split hairs a little better. Let us know what you think in the comments.

Quarterbacks

Philip Rivers, SD: 22-36, 301 yards, 1.7 TD, 0.8 INT, 5 rush yards

Sam Bradford, STL: 20-35, 207 yards, 1.0 TD, 1.4 INT

Running backs

Steven Jackson, STL; 95 yards, .4 TD, 4 catches, 40 receiving yards, .1 TD

Mike Tolbert, SD: 40 yards, .4 TD, 2 catches, 5 receiving yards

Ryan Mathews, SD: 50 yards, .2 TD, 1 catch, 10 receiving yards

Darren Sproles, SD: 15 yards, 2 catches, 20 receiving yards

Jacob Hester, SD: 5 yards, 1 catch, 5 receiving yards

Kenneth Darby, STL: 5 yards

Wide receivers

Malcom Floyd, SD: 5-100, .7 TD

Danny Amendola, STL: 7-70, .2 TD

Brandon Gibson, STL: 2-30, .1 TD

Legedu Naanee, SD (injury concern): 2-25, .1 TD

Mardy Gilyard, STL: 2-20, .1 TD

Buster Davis, SD: 2-25, .1 TD

Laurent Robinson, STL: 2-15, .2 TD

Patrick Crayton, SD: 1-20

Tight ends

Antonio Gates, SD: 7-100, .8 TD

Daniel Fells, STL: 3-30, .3 TD

Kickers

Nate Kaeding, SD: 1.8 FG, 2.6 XP

Josh Brown, STL: 1.7 FG, 2.0 XP

Defenses

Chargers: 3.0 sacks, 1.4 INT, 0.6 fumble recovery

Rams: 2.1 sacks, 0.8 INT, 1.2 fumble recovery

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