I’m not a huge Kevin Kolb fan, but I’ll give credit where it is due. Kolb looked good against the 49ers. Then again, the 49ers made Matt Cassel (250 yards, 3 TDs) look good in Week 3.
This week should be a much better test for the Eagles QB and his charges. The Falcons have won four in a row and they are a tough matchup for opposing quarterbacks. How will Kolb react? Will his presence continue to negatively affect DeSean Jackson? We’ve got some projections that will explain all.
Other fantasy football previews with projections: ATL@PHI | SD@STL | NO@TB | DET@NYG | MIA@GB | SEA@CHI | BAL@NE | CLE@PIT | KC@HOU | NYJ@DEN | OAK@SF | DAL@MIN | IND@WAS | TEN@JAX | (Teams on bye: Buffalo, Cincinnati, Arizona, Carolina)
The projections point to an easy win for the Falcons, 25.3-18.6.
As mentioned above, Kolb’s presence hurts DeSean Jackson’s value while boosting LeSean McCoy and Brent Celek. It’s just a fact. Kolb’s a dink-and-dunker. That’s good for completion percentage, if you get excited about such a thing.
McCoy should rush for close to 100 to go along with his receiving upgrade and could approach 150 total yards. Jeremy Maclin seems to be the wide receiver Kolb looks to the most, so he gets some extra stats as well.
The Falcons should rush for almost 140 yards and Matt Ryan has a better chance of throwing two TDs than Kolb does.
Note: Instead of rounding, we’re now using raw projections for TDs/INTs/sacks/fumble recoveries. That means we’re going to tell you that Matt Ryan is going to throw 1.5 TDs instead of just rounding to one. We’re also taking those 1.5 points and distributing them to the players we feel will most likely score a TD (touchdown probability?). This move should help all of us split hairs a little better. Let us know what you think in the comments.
Matt Ryan, ATL: 20-34, 218 yards, 1.5 TDs, 1.1 INT, 10 rush yards
Kevin Kolb, PHI: 22-34, 248 yards, 1.4 TDs, 1.1 INT, 10 rush yards
LeSean McCoy, PHI: 90 yards, .5 TD, 6 catches, 45 receiving yards, .1 TD
Michael Turner, ATL: 90 yards, .4 TD, 1 catch, 10 receiving yards
Jason Snelling, ATL: 40 yards, .1 TD, 2 catches, 15 receiving yards
Mike Bell, PHI: PHI: 5 yards, .1 TD
Owen Schmitt, PHI: 2 catches, 20 receiving yards
Roddy White, ATL: 7-90, .9 TD
Jeremy Maclin, PHI: 6-85, .7 TD
Harry Douglas, ATL: 3-40, .1 TD
Jason Avant, PHI: 3-30, .1 TD
DeSean Jackson, PHI: 2-40, .2 TD
Brian Finneran, ATL: 1-10, .1 TD
Michael Jenkins, ATL (injury concern): 1-5
Tony Gonzalez, ATL: 5-60, .4 TD
Brent Celek, PHI: 3-35, .3 TD
Matt Bryant, ATL: 1.8 FG, 2.2 XP
David Akers, PHI: 1.1 FG, 2.2 XP
Falcons: 2.8 sacks, 1.1 INT, 0.6 fumble recovery
Eagles: 2.3 sacks, 1.1 INT, 0.6 fumble recovery