If your league rocks an MI slot, expect quite a few owners to start two second basemen.
There are 16 second basemen who will be considered for starting 2B slots this season and several others with upside who should also be considered.
The last thing you want to do is overpay for someone who had an MVP-worthy season. *Cough* Cano *cough.*
In jzak’s 2011 fantasy baseball second baseman rankings, he talks even more about the depth of the position. You’ll only find two of these second basemen in previous ADP lists, Cano, who is overrated in the 2011 fantasy baseball ADP Top 10, and Chase Utley who’s just right at his 17th overall ranking in the ADP Top 20.
ADP Top 20 second basemen rankings
(Recent ADP in parentheses)
1. Robinson Cano, Yankees (9.50): Did you read the intro? Don’t pay for what was likely a career-year performance.
2. Chase Utley, Phillies (16.57): One of those players you have to draft and hope that he can stay healthy for 150 games. Ok, maybe 135?
3. Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox (30.55): Hit 12 homers in only 302 at-bats last season. He’s not going to maintain that power performance, but Pedroia will bounce back to his pre-injury numbers.
4. Brandon Phillips, Reds (36.07): When a player goes 20-15, that means you only get 2.8 homers and 2.14 steals per month. It’s easy to give up on a player like Phillips between homers/steals. Be patient.
5. Rickie Weeks, Brewers (42.43): His average, even at .269, was a little lucky and he probably won’t score 112 runs again, but when he’s healthy Weeks can post numbers like he did in 2010.
6. Dan Uggla, Braves (49.03): Ninjas know Uggla can’t maintain his .287 batting average from last year. They also know to draft him and expect 90/30/90.
7. Ian Kinsler, Rangers (50.22): It’s a big “if,” but if he stays healthy this year, he’ll be the No. 1 2B in 2012.
8. Martin Prado, Braves (76.18): I’m buying the moderate power, and he’ll hit .305. He had a hip/oblique injury this offseason and didn’t play winter ball, but should be fine for opening day. Draft him as a utility play (2B/3B/OF) with good average and 20-homer upside.
9. Chone Figgins, Mariners (95.48): Figgins hit almost .280 in the second half last year, but if he finishes at .270 this season be happy. He’ll also steal 35 bases and score 75 runs, which is pretty boring unless you’re scrambling in round 10 to make up speed.
10. Kelly Johnson, Diamondbacks (112.93): The power will regress, but the move to Arizona was good for Johnson.
11. Brian Roberts, Orioles (126.81): Age (33) and health will always be a concern. Don’t expect him to get to 20 homers, 15 might even be a stretch.
12. Ben Zobrist, Rays (130.18): Saw two extremes in the power department in the last two seasons. Expect stats in between Zobrist’s surprising 2009 and his disappointing 2010.
13. Aaron Hill, Blue Jays (171.92): His batting average will be much better and Hill will hit for power. A great pick in the 17th-18th.
14. Mike Aviles, Royals (172.30): This ADP suggests people are looking at last year’s lucky performance, not projecting 2011.
15. Gordon Beckham, White Sox (233.84): Still only 24, Beckham’s second half in 2010 was a good sign he’ll meet 2009 expectations and be a value at this ADP.
16. Howie Kendrick, Angels (237.10): Boring power/speed combo, similar to Aviles, but with a better batting average… 60 picks later.
17. Omar Infante, Marlins (327.16): Won’t hit .321 again and power should regress, which is saying a lot for a guy who hit only eight homers in 2010.
18. Juan Uribe, Dodgers (333.03): Yep, 30th round is cheap for 20-25 homers. It’s the batting average that’ll get you.
19. Alberto Callaspo, Angels (353.16): Not sure who is drafting these players, but I want to play in their league. Take Walker (No. 20) or some of the guys in the list below, not Callaspo.
20. Neil Walker, Pirates (382.12): Former first round pick is only 25 and showed some serious potential. Don’t reach too far because he could regress, but also could be a nice late steal for your middle infielder slot.
Other second basemen of note: Tsuyoshi Nishioka, Twins; Sean Rodriguez, Rays; Dustin Ackley, Mariners; Eric Young Jr., Rockies; Danny Espinosa, Nationals; Clint Barmes, Astros; Freddy Sanchez, Giants.