2011 Fantasy Football | Week 1 tight end projections (PPR and non-PPR)

No huge surprises in the tight end ranks this week. However, it’s worth noting that Kerry Collins’ tenure as Colts QB could mean a couple big games for Dallas Clark.

Before we get to the projections:

1. Odd spacing seems fixed.

2. This projection method hasn’t been tested for a decade. It is brand new. There will be some bumps on the road, but I’m confident it will produce realistically accurate numbers. Several formulas are used to determine the numbers, including previous performance and my expectations for this year.

3. Projections for touchdowns, interceptions and fumbles could be considered probability numbers as much as “projections.” When I say Mike Vick is going to throw for 1.5 TDs and 0.9 interceptions, it means he’s got a 50-50 shot of throwing a second TD and a 90 percent chance of throwing a pick. For fantasy points purposes, I multiplied the numbers by their respective fantasy points (6 points for rush/reception touchdowns, -2 for turnovers, etc.) to help us split hairs.

—-

Rk Name REC TAR yds TD FaPts PPRpts
. 1 Vernon Davis 4 7 60 0.6 9.6 13.6
. 2 Antonio Gates 4 6 60 0.6 9.6 13.6
. 3 Marcedes Lewis 5 8 55 0.5 8.5 13.5
. 4 Jason Witten 5 8 53 0.5 8.3 13.3
. 5 Owen Daniels 4 7 60 0.3 7.8 11.8
. 6 Dustin Keller 4 6 46 0.4 7 11
. 7 Kellen Winslow 4 7 48 0.3 6.6 10.6
. 8 Dallas Clark 5 7 53 0.2 6.5 11.5
. 9 Greg Olsen 3 5 38 0.4 6.2 9.2
. 10 Kevin Boss 4 6 40 0.3 5.8 9.8
. 11 Zach Miller 3 5 40 0.3 5.8 8.8
. 12 Tony Gonzalez 4 7 40 0.3 5.8 9.8
. 13 Jimmy Graham 4 6 40 0.3 5.8 9.8
. 14 Jermichael Finley 4 6 40 0.3 5.8 9.8
. 15 Rob Gronkowski 2 4 33 0.4 5.7 7.7
. 16 Aaron Hernandez 3 4 35 0.3 5.3 8.3
. 17 Anthony Fasano 3 5 35 0.3 5.3 8.3
. 18 Benjamin Watson 4 6 40 0.2 5.2 9.2
. 19 Jermaine Gresham 4 7 38 0.2 5 9
. 20 Lance Kendricks 2 4 30 0.3 4.8 6.8
. 21 Todd Heap 4 6 35 0.2 4.7 8.7
. 22 Brandon Pettigrew 3 6 35 0.2 4.7 7.7
. 23 Ed Dickson 3 5 35 0.2 4.7 7.7
. 24 Brent Celek 3 5 31 0.2 4.3 7.3
. 25 Heath Miller 4 6 36 0.1 4.2 8.2
. 26 Chris Cooley 2 3 27 0.2 3.9 5.9
. 27 Travis Beckum 2 4 25 0.2 3.7 5.7
. 28 Jared Cook 2 3 31 0.1 3.7 5.7
. 29 Fred Davis 2 4 27 0.1 3.3 5.3
. 30 Visanthe Shiancoe 2 4 20 0.2 3.2 5.2
. 31 Kyle Rudolph 2 4 20 0.2 3.2 5.2
. 32 Kellen Davis 3 5 20 0.2 3.2 6.2
. 33 Evan Moore 1 2 25 0.1 3.1 4.1
. 34 Leonard Pope 3 4 20 0.1 2.6 5.6
. 35 Delanie Walker 2 3 23 0 2.3 4.3
. 36 Daniel Fells 2 3 15 0.1 2.1 4.1
. 37 Billy Bajema 1 1 8 0.2 2 3
. 38 Dennis Pitta 1 1 14 0.1 2 3
. 39 Randy McMichael 1 2 13 0.1 1.9 2.9
. 40 Jacob Tamme 2 3 13 0.1 1.9 3.9
. 41 Tony Scheffler 2 4 18 0 1.8 3.8
. 42 David Thomas 2 3 11 0.1 1.7 3.7
. 43 Jeremy Shockey 1 1 8 0.1 1.4 2.4
. 44 Craig Stevens 1 2 8 0.1 1.4 2.4
. 45 Andrew Quarless 1 2 12 0 1.2 2.2
. 46 Jimmy Kleinsasser 1 1 10 0 1 2
. 47 Luke Stocker 1 1 10 0 1 2
. 48 Joel Dreessen 1 2 10 0 1 2
. 49 Donte Rosario 1 1 8 0 0.8 1.8

—-







Comments are currently closed.