2016 Draft Kit

2014 fantasy football | Final flex PPR projections for Week 1

In both my running back projections and my wide receiver projections I expressed concern over workload and target distribution. Largely because of the errors I may have introduced into the equation.

Those concerns still stand here in the flex projections, where Jimmy Graham and Vernon Davis are in the top 10 and LeSean McCoy is not.

All projections: QB | RB | WR | TE | FLEX | K | DEF

PPR projections: RB | WR | TE | FLEX

Final flex PPR projections for Week 1 of 2014 fantasy football:

Flex
fpts
PPR
FD
1
Jamaal Charles
KC
TEN
20.06
24.96
22.51
16.3
75.3
0.8
0.5
4.9
7
52.3
0.5
0
2
Adrian Peterson
MIN
STL
17.86
20.76
19.31
17.8
80.9
0.8
0.4
2.9
3.4
35.7
0.3
0.1
3
Montee Ball
DEN
IND
16.04
19.84
17.94
18.3
81.2
0.7
0.3
3.8
4.9
34.2
0.1
0.3
4
Vernon Davis
SF
DAL
14.3
19.6
16.9
5.3
7.5
77.6
1.2
0.7
5
Marshawn Lynch
SEA
GBP
16.24
19.24
17.74
17.4
75.2
0.8
0.3
3
3.6
30.2
0.2
0
6
Calvin Johnson
DET
NYG
13.8
19.2
16.5
5.4
10.1
86.9
0.9
0.3
7
Andre Johnson
HOU
WAS
12.1
19.1
15.6
7
10.7
91
0.5
0
8
Jimmy Graham
NOS
ATL
13.5
18.7
16.1
5.2
8.6
74.8
1
0
9
Demaryius Thomas
DEN
IND
12.5
18.4
15.5
5.9
8
83.4
0.7
0
10
Reggie Bush
DET
NYG
13.79
18.09
15.94
14.1
62
0.2
0.3
4.3
5.9
42.9
0.4
0
11
Larry Fitzgerald
ARI
SDC
11.8
17.9
14.8
6.1
9.3
71.6
0.8
0.2
12
Rob Gronkowski
NEP
MIA
11.4
17.7
14.6
6.3
8
78.4
0.6
0
13
LeSean McCoy
PHI
JAX
15.55
17.55
16.55
19.8
91.5
0.6
0.3
2
2
25
0.1
0
14
Toby Gerhart
JAX
PHI
13.13
17.53
15.33
16.3
60.7
0.4
0.2
4.4
5.5
36.6
0.2
0
15
Dez Bryant
DAL
SF
11.3
16.9
14.1
5.6
10
73.3
0.7
0.2
16
Brandon Marshall
CHI
BUF
11.1
16.8
13.9
5.7
10
68.7
0.7
0
17
Le’Veon Bell
PIT
CLE
12.88
16.68
14.78
14
62.9
0.3
0.1
3.8
5.2
36.9
0.2
0
18
Jeremy Maclin
PHI
JAX
10.5
16.5
13.5
6
8.7
76.3
0.5
0.1
19
Matt Forte
CHI
BUF
13.06
16.26
14.66
19.6
89.1
0.5
0.5
3.2
4.8
16.5
0
0
20
Zac Stacy
STL
MIN
13.32
16.22
14.77
15.9
61.1
0.5
0.1
2.9
3.5
25.1
0.3
0
21
Joique Bell
DET
NYG
11.86
16.06
13.96
10.5
40.1
0.5
0.3
4.2
5.1
45.5
0.1
0
22
Kendall Wright
TEN
KC
9.3
16.0
12.7
6.7
10.4
75.1
0.3
0
23
Pierre Garcon
WAS
HOU
9.5
15.9
12.7
6.4
10.3
71.3
0.4
0.1
0.1
1.1
0
0
24
Antonio Brown
PIT
CLE
9.6
15.8
12.7
6.2
10
72.2
0.4
0
25
Michael Floyd
ARI
SDC
10.7
15.8
13.2
5.1
7.8
76.7
0.5
0
26
Vincent Jackson
TBB
CAR
9.9
15.5
12.7
5.6
10.4
75.1
0.4
0
27
Roddy White
ATL
NOS
8.8
15.4
12.1
6.6
10.2
71.3
0.3
0.1
28
Jordan Cameron
CLE
PIT
9.7
15.4
12.5
5.7
8.7
60.7
0.6
0
29
Julius Thomas
DEN
IND
9.8
15.3
12.5
5.5
7.8
55.6
0.7
0
30
Anquan Boldin
SF
DAL
9.7
15.2
12.4
5.5
8.6
72.9
0.4
0
31
Frank Gore
SF
DAL
13.36
15.16
14.26
17
73.2
0.5
0.2
1.8
2.5
20.4
0.2
0
32
Greg Jennings
MIN
STL
9.5
14.9
12.2
5.4
7.5
65.3
0.5
0
33
Pierre Thomas
NOS
ATL
9.65
14.85
12.25
7.1
34.9
0.1
0.2
5.2
5.7
39.6
0.3
0
34
Jordan Reed
WAS
HOU
9.6
14.8
12.2
5.2
6.6
60.1
0.6
0
35
Shane Vereen
NEP
MIA
11.83
14.63
13.23
11.3
54.2
0.5
0.2
2.8
4.1
24.1
0.2
0
36
Marques Colston
NOS
ATL
9.5
14.6
12.1
5.1
7.2
65.3
0.5
0
37
Bernard Pierce
BAL
CIN
10.34
14.44
12.39
15.8
56.6
0.3
0.5
4.1
5
27.8
0.1
0
38
Brian Hartline
MIA
NEP
9.3
14.4
11.9
5.1
8.8
69.2
0.4
0
39
Percy Harvin
SEA
GBP
9.3
14.3
11.8
5
7.5
67.5
0.4
0
0.2
1.9
0
0
40
Chris Johnson
NYJ
OAK
10.93
14.13
12.53
15
63
0.2
0
3.2
4.3
28.3
0.1
0
41
Victor Cruz
NYG
DET
9.9
14.1
12.0
4.2
8.2
70.7
0.5
0.2
42
Fred Jackson
BUF
CHI
11.55
14.05
12.8
12.1
59
0.7
0
2.5
3.7
14.5
0
0
43
Michael Crabtree
SF
DAL
9.1
13.9
11.5
4.8
6.9
61.2
0.5
0
44
Marquise Lee
JAX
PHI
7.7
13.9
10.8
6.2
9.8
58.6
0.3
0
45
Jared Cook
STL
MIN
9.0
13.8
11.4
4.8
7.2
56.3
0.6
0.2
46
A.J. Green
CIN
BAL
9.0
13.7
11.3
4.7
9.9
65.7
0.4
0
47
Stepfan Taylor
ARI
SDC
11.08
13.38
12.23
13.8
63.3
0.4
0.3
2.3
2.6
20.5
0.1
48
TY Hilton
IND
DEN
8.7
13.3
11.0
4.6
8.8
55
0.5
0
0.2
1.6
0
0
49
DeMarco Murray
DAL
SF
10.43
13.23
11.83
14.8
70.8
0.5
0.6
2.8
3.7
9.5
0
0
50
Jason Avant
CAR
TBB
9.3
13.0
11.2
3.7
5.8
51.2
0.7
0
51
Cody Latimer
DEN
IND
8.6
13.0
10.8
4.4
6.7
49.9
0.6
0
52
Tavon Austin
STL
MIN
8.9
12.9
10.9
4
5.9
45
0.5
0.2
0.6
9.5
0.1
0
53
Doug Martin
TBB
CAR
9.73
12.63
11.18
15.6
61.6
0.3
0.1
2.9
2.7
12.7
0.1
0
54
Doug Baldwin
SEA
GBP
8.4
12.4
10.4
4
5.7
59.8
0.4
0
55
Miles Austin
CLE
PIT
8.2
12.2
10.2
4
6.1
59
0.3
0
0.2
5
0
0
56
Andrew Hawkins
CLE
PIT
8.2
12.2
10.2
4
6.9
59
0.3
0
0.2
5
0
0
57
Cordarrelle Patterson
MIN
STL
7.9
12.0
9.9
4.1
8.1
40
0.3
0
0.8
8.8
0.2
0
58
Mike Wallace
MIA
NEP
7.5
11.9
9.7
4.4
8.8
54.2
0.3
0
0.2
2.6
0
0
59
Alshon Jeffery
CHI
BUF
7.7
11.8
9.8
4.1
8.2
60.4
0.2
0.2
1.1
7
0
0
60
Reggie Wayne
IND
DEN
7.5
11.7
9.6
4.2
7.9
56.8
0.3
0
61
Eric Decker
NYJ
OAK
7.1
11.6
9.4
4.5
6.6
54.1
0.3
0.1
62
Julio Jones
ATL
NOS
6.5
11.6
9.0
5.1
8.6
59.3
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.5
0
0
63
Arian Foster
HOU
WAS
9.54
11.54
10.54
17.1
59.3
0.5
0.2
2
2.9
8.1
0
0
64
James Jones
OAK
NYJ
7.4
11.4
9.4
4
6.7
55.7
0.3
0
65
Mohamed Sanu
CIN
BAL
8.0
11.3
9.7
3.3
5.5
46.3
0.5
0
0.5
4
0
0
66
Emmanuel Sanders
DEN
IND
7.7
11.3
9.5
3.6
7.7
56.1
0.4
0.3
67
Danny Woodhead
SDC
ARI
7.03
11.23
9.13
6.4
24.3
0.1
0.2
4.2
5.3
24
0.3
0.2
68
Kelvin Benjamin
CAR
TBB
6.6
11.2
8.9
4.6
7.5
48.2
0.3
0
69
Charles Clay
MIA
NEP
6.8
11.0
8.9
4.2
6.4
44.2
0.4
0
70
Giovani Bernard
CIN
BAL
9.11
11.01
10.06
13.2
50
0.3
0.2
1.9
3.8
19.1
0.1
0
71
DeSean Jackson
WAS
HOU
6.8
10.9
8.9
4.1
7.2
43.8
0.4
0.1
0.2
1.5
0
0
72
Heath Miller
PIT
CLE
6.3
10.9
8.6
4.6
6
47.5
0.3
0.3
73
Allen Hurns
JAX
PHI
6.6
10.8
8.7
4.2
6.9
50.2
0.3
0.2
74
Jerrel Jernigan
NYG
DET
6.6
10.8
8.7
4.2
3.3
45
0.2
0.1
0.1
3.9
0.1
0
75
Riley Cooper
PHI
JAX
7.7
10.8
9.2
3.1
5.5
47.8
0.5
0.1
76
Markus Wheaton
PIT
CLE
6.6
10.7
8.7
4.1
7.1
40.6
0.4
0
0.1
1.8
0
0
77
Kenny Stills
NOS
ATL
7.9
10.7
9.3
2.8
3.9
49.2
0.5
0
78
Dennis Pitta
BAL
CIN
6.1
10.6
8.4
4.5
8
37.4
0.4
0
79
Antonio Gates
SDC
ARI
5.8
10.5
8.2
4.7
7.8
49
0.2
0.3
80
Greg Olsen
CAR
TBB
6.0
10.5
8.2
4.5
6.8
41.7
0.3
0
81
Julian Edelman
NEP
MIA
5.1
10.5
7.8
5.4
7.6
38.6
0.2
0
82
David Nelson
NYJ
OAK
6.7
10.4
8.6
3.7
5
43.4
0.4
0
83
Trent Richardson
IND
DEN
8.62
10.42
9.52
13.2
43.9
0.4
0.4
1.8
2.6
16.3
0.1
0
84
Alfred Morris
WAS
HOU
9.9
10.4
10.15
17.3
75.9
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.7
4.1
0
0
85
Eddie Lacy
GBP
SEA
9.38
10.38
9.88
18
67.8
0.4
0.3
1
1.6
5
0
0
86
Jeremy Kerley
NYJ
OAK
7.8
10.3
9.0
2.5
6.3
54.6
0.4
0.1
87
Scott Chandler
BUF
CHI
6.2
10.1
8.1
3.9
5.5
51.5
0.2
0.2
88
Steven Jackson
ATL
NOS
8.81
10.01
9.41
12.8
53.1
0.5
0
1.2
2.2
5
0
0
89
Allen Robinson
JAX
PHI
6.0
10.0
8.0
4
6.3
47.9
0.2
0
90
Jordy Nelson
GBP
SEA
6.0
9.9
8.0
3.9
6.6
48
0.2
0
91
Jacquizz Rodgers
ATL
NOS
6.13
9.83
7.98
6.6
25.2
0.1
0
3.7
4.8
18.1
0.2
0.1
92
Ryan Mathews
SDC
ARI
8.72
9.82
9.27
15.7
66.2
0.3
0.2
1.1
3.7
5
0
0
93
Lance Moore
PIT
CLE
6.9
9.7
8.3
2.8
4.8
33
0.6
0
94
Rueben Randle
NYG
DET
6.2
9.7
8.0
3.5
6.7
50
0.2
0
95
Roy Helu
WAS
HOU
6.86
9.66
8.26
3.9
16.3
0.2
0
2.8
3.4
28.3
0.2
0
96
Tim Wright
NEP
MIA
6.0
9.4
7.7
3.4
4.1
36.3
0.4
0
97
Jason Witten
DAL
SF
5.5
9.4
7.5
3.9
6.4
37.1
0.3
0
98
Keenan Allen
SDC
ARI
6.0
9.4
7.7
3.4
6.1
43.8
0.3
0.2
99
Nate Washington
TEN
KC
5.9
9.4
7.6
3.5
7.1
52.7
0.1
0
100
Mark Ingram
NOS
ATL
7.35
9.35
8.35
11.1
47.5
0.3
0.2
2
4
10
101
C.J. Spiller
BUF
CHI
7.68
9.28
8.48
11.9
61.8
0.2
0.2
1.6
2
5
0
0
102
Jordan Mathews
PHI
JAX
6.2
9.2
7.7
3
5.5
45.4
0.3
0.1
103
Torrey Smith
BAL
CIN
5.7
9.2
7.5
3.5
8.5
51.4
0.1
0
104
Jarius Wright
MIN
STL
6.0
9.2
7.6
3.2
5
42.2
0.3
0
105
Ben Tate
CLE
PIT
6.86
9.16
8.01
13
45
0.3
0.3
2.3
3.8
8.6
0
0
106
A.J. Jenkins
KC
TEN
5.2
9.1
7.2
3.9
5.6
41.2
0.2
0.1
107
Rashad Jennings
NYG
DET
7.74
9.04
8.39
12.2
50.1
0.4
0.3
1.3
1.8
6.3
0
0
108
Aaron Dobson
NEP
MIA
5.5
9.0
7.2
3.5
6
42.5
0.2
0
109
Coby Fleener
IND
DEN
5.6
8.9
7.2
3.3
5.6
37.5
0.3
0
110
Garrett Graham
HOU
WAS
5.5
8.8
7.2
3.3
5.3
39.4
0.3
0.2
111
Bishop Sankey
TEN
KC
7.25
8.75
8
11
38.5
0.3
0.2
1.5
2
12
0.1
0
112
Brandin Cooks
NOS
ATL
5.7
8.7
7.2
3
4
39.4
0.3
0
113
Hakeem Nicks
IND
DEN
5.3
8.7
7.0
3.4
4.7
41
0.2
0
114
Zach Ertz
PHI
JAX
6.1
8.7
7.4
2.6
4.1
36.9
0.4
0
115
Zach Miller
SEA
GBP
5.9
8.7
7.3
2.8
4.5
34.8
0.4
0
116
Terrance Williams
DAL
SF
5.5
8.6
7.1
3.1
5.5
45.2
0.2
0.2
117
Brent Celek
PHI
JAX
6.0
8.6
7.3
2.6
3.8
38.7
0.4
0.3
118
Jonathan Dwyer
ARI
SDC
7.38
8.48
7.93
9.3
37.3
0.4
0.3
1.1
1.3
9.5
0.1
119
Darren McFadden
OAK
NYJ
6.14
8.44
7.29
10.1
31.8
0.3
0.1
2.3
4.3
12.6
0
0
120
Ahmad Bradshaw
IND
DEN
6.73
8.43
7.58
7.3
30.1
0.3
0
1.7
2.2
13.2
0.1
0
121
Tre Mason
STL
MIN
5.61
8.41
7.01
4.8
14.8
0
0
2.8
3.4
29.3
0.2
0
122
Chris Givens
STL
MIN
6.1
8.4
7.2
2.3
3.6
36.7
0.4
0
123
Justin Hunter
TEN
KC
5.9
8.3
7.1
2.4
4.5
35.3
0.4
0
124
Lamar Miller
MIA
NEP
6.71
8.31
7.51
12.9
53.2
0.1
0.2
1.6
2.2
9.9
0
0
125
Junior Hemingway
KC
TEN
4.9
8.0
6.5
3.1
6.1
38.1
0.2
0.1
126
Greg Salas
NYJ
OAK
5.2
8.0
6.6
2.8
5
38
0.3
0.4
127
Jericho Cotchery
CAR
TBB
4.9
8.0
6.4
3.1
5.6
30.7
0.3
0
128
James White
NEP
MIA
6.56
7.86
7.21
8.7
40
0.3
0.1
1.3
1.7
8.6
0
0
129
Marcedes Lewis
JAX
PHI
5.6
7.8
6.7
2.2
3.6
34.2
0.4
0.2
130
LeGarrette Blount
PIT
CLE
6.8
7.8
7.3
6.3
24
0.3
0.1
1
1
15
0.2
131
Maurice Jones-Drew
OAK
NYJ
6.34
7.74
7.04
10
39.1
0.3
0
1.4
2.1
6.3
0
0
132
Logan Paulsen
WAS
HOU
5.0
7.6
6.3
2.6
3.9
29.1
0.4
0.3
133
Rod Streater
OAK
NYJ
5.0
7.6
6.3
2.6
5.2
33.6
0.3
0.2
134
Shonn Greene
TEN
KC
6.05
7.55
6.8
11
38.5
0.1
0.2
1.5
2
12
0.1
0.8
135
Dri Archer
PIT
CLE
5.52
7.52
6.52
3.3
13.2
0.1
0.2
2
2
20
0.3
136
Mike Williams
BUF
CHI
4.9
7.5
6.2
2.6
5.3
37.2
0.2
0
137
Darren Sproles
PHI
JAX
5.49
7.49
6.49
4.7
17.9
0.1
0
2
2
25
0.1
0
138
Malcolm Floyd
SDC
ARI
5.1
7.5
6.3
2.4
4
25.5
0.4
0
0.2
1.1
0
0
139
Brian Quick
STL
MIN
4.7
7.5
6.1
2.8
4.5
28.6
0.3
0
140
Austin Pettis
STL
MIN
5.1
7.4
6.3
2.3
2.8
31.2
0.2
0
0.1
2.1
0.1
0
141
Alfred Blue
HOU
WAS
6.06
7.36
6.71
7.8
34.1
0.2
0.2
1.3
2
10.5
0.1
0
142
John Brown
ARI
SDC
4.2
7.2
5.7
3
5.2
36
0.1
0
143
Jerick McKinnon
MIN
STL
5.23
7.13
6.18
2.3
15.8
0.1
0.2
1.9
2.2
20.5
0.2
0
144
Jeff Cumberland
NYJ
OAK
5.1
7.1
6.1
2
2.7
26.7
0.4
0
145
DeAngelo Williams
CAR
TBB
6.24
7.04
6.64
12
49.3
0.2
0.5
0.8
1.4
6.1
0
0.5
146
Mychal Rivera
OAK
NYJ
4.4
7.0
5.7
2.6
4
25.5
0.3
0
147
Jeremy Hill
CIN
BAL
6.43
6.93
6.68
10.2
42.3
0.3
0.1
0.5
0.5
5
0
0
148
Nick Toon
NOS
ATL
5.0
6.9
6.0
1.9
2.7
32.3
0.3
0
149
Brandon Tate
CIN
BAL
3.7
6.7
5.2
3
5.3
31.7
0.1
0.1
150
Clay Harbor
JAX
PHI
4.6
6.7
5.6
2.1
2.8
29.6
0.3
0.2
151
DeAndre Hopkins
HOU
WAS
4.0
6.6
5.3
2.6
4.8
36.2
0.1
0.2
152
Ronnie Hillman
DEN
IND
5.5
6.6
6.05
7.8
38.6
0.2
0.3
1.1
1.5
7.4
0
0.1
153
Randall Cobb
GBP
SEA
3.7
6.6
5.1
2.9
5.1
29.5
0.1
0.3
0.2
4.3
0
0
154
Kenny Britt
STL
MIN
3.9
6.4
5.1
2.5
5.9
40.9
0
0.2
155
Knile Davis
KC
TEN
5.08
6.38
5.73
4.4
14.2
0.3
0.2
1.3
1.4
14.6
0.1
0
156
Kyle Rudolph
MIN
STL
3.2
6.3
4.8
3.1
4.7
26.1
0.1
0
157
Donnie Avery
KC
TEN
3.8
6.3
5.1
2.5
5.2
34
0.1
0.2
158
Jace Amaro
NYJ
OAK
3.8
6.1
5.0
2.3
3.1
26
0.2
0
159
Steve Smith Sr.
BAL
CIN
3.6
6.1
4.9
2.5
4.8
18
0.3
0
160
Jermaine Gresham
CIN
BAL
3.4
6.1
4.7
2.7
4
25.9
0.2
0.4
161
Benjamin Cunningham
STL
MIN
4.66
6.06
5.36
3
16.4
0.1
0.1
1.4
1.7
19.2
0.1
0
162
Keshawn Martin
HOU
WAS
4.3
6.1
5.2
1.8
2.8
24.6
0.3
0
163
Lance Kendricks
STL
MIN
3.7
6.1
4.9
2.4
3.3
18.5
0.3
0
164
Bruce Miller
SF
DAL
3.39
5.99
4.69
2.6
3.2
27.9
0.1
0
165
Sammy Watkins
BUF
CHI
3.2
6.0
4.6
2.8
5.7
27.8
0.1
0.2
166
Daniel Fells
NYG
DET
3.4
5.9
4.6
2.5
4.1
21.7
0.2
0
167
Luke Willson
SEA
GBP
3.9
5.8
4.9
1.9
2.5
27.4
0.2
0
168
Jarvis Landry
MIA
NEP
3.2
5.7
4.5
2.5
4
26.1
0.1
0
169
John Carlson
ARI
SDC
3.3
5.7
4.5
2.4
3.5
26.9
0.1
0
170
Harry Douglas
ATL
NOS
3.4
5.6
4.5
2.2
3.3
29.3
0.1
0.1
171
Martellus Bennett
CHI
BUF
2.9
5.6
4.3
2.7
4.9
25.3
0.1
0.2
172
Lorenzo Taliafero
BAL
CIN
3.93
5.63
4.78
6.1
17.5
0
0
1.7
2.1
15.8
0.1
0
173
Chris Ivory
NYJ
OAK
5.1
5.6
5.35
8
29
0.1
0
0.5
0.5
10
0.1
174
Jermaine Kearse
SEA
GBP
4.0
5.5
4.8
1.5
2.7
22.2
0.3
0
175
Tyler Eifert
CIN
BAL
3.1
5.4
4.3
2.3
3.6
25.2
0.1
0
176
Jordan Todman
JAX
PHI
4.44
5.34
4.89
5.2
18.6
0.2
0
0.9
1.7
7.8
0.1
0
177
Jonathan Stewart
CAR
TBB
4.41
5.31
4.86
6
21.1
0.3
0
0.9
1.2
5
0
0
178
Golden Tate
DET
NYG
3.2
5.3
4.3
2.1
5.6
24.5
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.5
0
0
179
Knowshon Moreno
MIA
NEP
5.3
5.3
5.3
9.1
35
0.3
0
180
Vance McDonald
SF
DAL
3.6
5.3
4.4
1.7
2.5
23.8
0.2
0




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