2016 Draft Kit

2014 fantasy football | Final flex projections for Week 1

In both my running back projections and my wide receiver projections I expressed concern over workload and target distribution. Largely because of the errors I may have introduced into the equation.

Those concerns still stand here in the flex projections, where Jimmy Graham and Vernon Davis are in the top 10 and Demaryius Thomas is not.

All projections: QB | RB | WR | TE | FLEX | K | DEF

PPR projections: RB | WR | TE | FLEX

Final flex projections for Week 1 of 2014 fantasy football:

Flex
fpts
PPR
FD
1
Jamaal Charles
KC
TEN
20.06
24.96
22.51
16.3
75.3
0.8
0.5
4.9
7
52.3
0.5
0
2
Adrian Peterson
MIN
STL
17.86
20.76
19.31
17.8
80.9
0.8
0.4
2.9
3.4
35.7
0.3
0.1
3
Marshawn Lynch
SEA
GBP
16.24
19.24
17.74
17.4
75.2
0.8
0.3
3
3.6
30.2
0.2
0
4
Montee Ball
DEN
IND
16.04
19.84
17.94
18.3
81.2
0.7
0.3
3.8
4.9
34.2
0.1
0.3
5
LeSean McCoy
PHI
JAX
15.55
17.55
16.55
19.8
91.5
0.6
0.3
2
2
25
0.1
0
6
Vernon Davis
SF
DAL
14.3
19.6
16.9
5.3
7.5
77.6
1.2
0.7
7
Reggie Bush
DET
NYG
13.79
18.09
15.94
14.1
62
0.2
0.3
4.3
5.9
42.9
0.4
0
8
Calvin Johnson
DET
NYG
13.8
19.2
16.5
5.4
10.1
86.9
0.9
0.3
9
Jimmy Graham
NOS
ATL
13.5
18.7
16.1
5.2
8.6
74.8
1
0
10
Frank Gore
SF
DAL
13.36
15.16
14.26
17
73.2
0.5
0.2
1.8
2.5
20.4
0.2
0
11
Zac Stacy
STL
MIN
13.32
16.22
14.77
15.9
61.1
0.5
0.1
2.9
3.5
25.1
0.3
0
12
Toby Gerhart
JAX
PHI
13.13
17.53
15.33
16.3
60.7
0.4
0.2
4.4
5.5
36.6
0.2
0
13
Matt Forte
CHI
BUF
13.06
16.26
14.66
19.6
89.1
0.5
0.5
3.2
4.8
16.5
0
0
14
Le’Veon Bell
PIT
CLE
12.88
16.68
14.78
14
62.9
0.3
0.1
3.8
5.2
36.9
0.2
0
15
Demaryius Thomas
DEN
IND
12.5
18.4
15.5
5.9
8
83.4
0.7
0
16
Andre Johnson
HOU
WAS
12.1
19.1
15.6
7
10.7
91
0.5
0
17
Joique Bell
DET
NYG
11.86
16.06
13.96
10.5
40.1
0.5
0.3
4.2
5.1
45.5
0.1
0
18
Shane Vereen
NEP
MIA
11.83
14.63
13.23
11.3
54.2
0.5
0.2
2.8
4.1
24.1
0.2
0
19
Larry Fitzgerald
ARI
SDC
11.8
17.9
14.8
6.1
9.3
71.6
0.8
0.2
20
Fred Jackson
BUF
CHI
11.55
14.05
12.8
12.1
59
0.7
0
2.5
3.7
14.5
0
0
21
Rob Gronkowski
NEP
MIA
11.4
17.7
14.6
6.3
8
78.4
0.6
0
22
Dez Bryant
DAL
SF
11.3
16.9
14.1
5.6
10
73.3
0.7
0.2
23
Stepfan Taylor
ARI
SDC
11.08
13.38
12.23
13.8
63.3
0.4
0.3
2.3
2.6
20.5
0.1
24
Brandon Marshall
CHI
BUF
11.1
16.8
13.9
5.7
10
68.7
0.7
0
25
Chris Johnson
NYJ
OAK
10.93
14.13
12.53
15
63
0.2
0
3.2
4.3
28.3
0.1
0
26
Michael Floyd
ARI
SDC
10.7
15.8
13.2
5.1
7.8
76.7
0.5
0
27
Jeremy Maclin
PHI
JAX
10.5
16.5
13.5
6
8.7
76.3
0.5
0.1
28
DeMarco Murray
DAL
SF
10.43
13.23
11.83
14.8
70.8
0.5
0.6
2.8
3.7
9.5
0
0
29
Bernard Pierce
BAL
CIN
10.34
14.44
12.39
15.8
56.6
0.3
0.5
4.1
5
27.8
0.1
0
30
Vincent Jackson
TBB
CAR
9.9
15.5
12.7
5.6
10.4
75.1
0.4
0
31
Alfred Morris
WAS
HOU
9.9
10.4
10.15
17.3
75.9
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.7
4.1
0
0
32
Victor Cruz
NYG
DET
9.9
14.1
12.0
4.2
8.2
70.7
0.5
0.2
33
Julius Thomas
DEN
IND
9.8
15.3
12.5
5.5
7.8
55.6
0.7
0
34
Doug Martin
TBB
CAR
9.73
12.63
11.18
15.6
61.6
0.3
0.1
2.9
2.7
12.7
0.1
0
35
Anquan Boldin
SF
DAL
9.7
15.2
12.4
5.5
8.6
72.9
0.4
0
36
Jordan Cameron
CLE
PIT
9.7
15.4
12.5
5.7
8.7
60.7
0.6
0
37
Pierre Thomas
NOS
ATL
9.65
14.85
12.25
7.1
34.9
0.1
0.2
5.2
5.7
39.6
0.3
0
38
Antonio Brown
PIT
CLE
9.6
15.8
12.7
6.2
10
72.2
0.4
0
39
Jordan Reed
WAS
HOU
9.6
14.8
12.2
5.2
6.6
60.1
0.6
0
40
Arian Foster
HOU
WAS
9.54
11.54
10.54
17.1
59.3
0.5
0.2
2
2.9
8.1
0
0
41
Pierre Garcon
WAS
HOU
9.5
15.9
12.7
6.4
10.3
71.3
0.4
0.1
0.1
1.1
0
0
42
Greg Jennings
MIN
STL
9.5
14.9
12.2
5.4
7.5
65.3
0.5
0
43
Marques Colston
NOS
ATL
9.5
14.6
12.1
5.1
7.2
65.3
0.5
0
44
Eddie Lacy
GBP
SEA
9.38
10.38
9.88
18
67.8
0.4
0.3
1
1.6
5
0
0
45
Percy Harvin
SEA
GBP
9.3
14.3
11.8
5
7.5
67.5
0.4
0
0.2
1.9
0
0
46
Brian Hartline
MIA
NEP
9.3
14.4
11.9
5.1
8.8
69.2
0.4
0
47
Jason Avant
CAR
TBB
9.3
13.0
11.2
3.7
5.8
51.2
0.7
0
48
Kendall Wright
TEN
KC
9.3
16.0
12.7
6.7
10.4
75.1
0.3
0
49
Michael Crabtree
SF
DAL
9.1
13.9
11.5
4.8
6.9
61.2
0.5
0
50
Giovani Bernard
CIN
BAL
9.11
11.01
10.06
13.2
50
0.3
0.2
1.9
3.8
19.1
0.1
0
51
Jared Cook
STL
MIN
9.0
13.8
11.4
4.8
7.2
56.3
0.6
0.2
52
A.J. Green
CIN
BAL
9.0
13.7
11.3
4.7
9.9
65.7
0.4
0
53
Tavon Austin
STL
MIN
8.9
12.9
10.9
4
5.9
45
0.5
0.2
0.6
9.5
0.1
0
54
Roddy White
ATL
NOS
8.8
15.4
12.1
6.6
10.2
71.3
0.3
0.1
55
Steven Jackson
ATL
NOS
8.81
10.01
9.41
12.8
53.1
0.5
0
1.2
2.2
5
0
0
56
Ryan Mathews
SDC
ARI
8.72
9.82
9.27
15.7
66.2
0.3
0.2
1.1
3.7
5
0
0
57
TY Hilton
IND
DEN
8.7
13.3
11.0
4.6
8.8
55
0.5
0
0.2
1.6
0
0
58
Trent Richardson
IND
DEN
8.62
10.42
9.52
13.2
43.9
0.4
0.4
1.8
2.6
16.3
0.1
0
59
Cody Latimer
DEN
IND
8.6
13.0
10.8
4.4
6.7
49.9
0.6
0
60
Doug Baldwin
SEA
GBP
8.4
12.4
10.4
4
5.7
59.8
0.4
0
61
Miles Austin
CLE
PIT
8.2
12.2
10.2
4
6.1
59
0.3
0
0.2
5
0
0
62
Andrew Hawkins
CLE
PIT
8.2
12.2
10.2
4
6.9
59
0.3
0
0.2
5
0
0
63
Mohamed Sanu
CIN
BAL
8.0
11.3
9.7
3.3
5.5
46.3
0.5
0
0.5
4
0
0
64
Kenny Stills
NOS
ATL
7.9
10.7
9.3
2.8
3.9
49.2
0.5
0
65
Cordarrelle Patterson
MIN
STL
7.9
12.0
9.9
4.1
8.1
40
0.3
0
0.8
8.8
0.2
0
66
Jeremy Kerley
NYJ
OAK
7.8
10.3
9.0
2.5
6.3
54.6
0.4
0.1
67
Rashad Jennings
NYG
DET
7.74
9.04
8.39
12.2
50.1
0.4
0.3
1.3
1.8
6.3
0
0
68
Alshon Jeffery
CHI
BUF
7.7
11.8
9.8
4.1
8.2
60.4
0.2
0.2
1.1
7
0
0
69
Emmanuel Sanders
DEN
IND
7.7
11.3
9.5
3.6
7.7
56.1
0.4
0.3
70
C.J. Spiller
BUF
CHI
7.68
9.28
8.48
11.9
61.8
0.2
0.2
1.6
2
5
0
0
71
Riley Cooper
PHI
JAX
7.7
10.8
9.2
3.1
5.5
47.8
0.5
0.1
72
Marquise Lee
JAX
PHI
7.7
13.9
10.8
6.2
9.8
58.6
0.3
0
73
Mike Wallace
MIA
NEP
7.5
11.9
9.7
4.4
8.8
54.2
0.3
0
0.2
2.6
0
0
74
Reggie Wayne
IND
DEN
7.5
11.7
9.6
4.2
7.9
56.8
0.3
0
75
Jonathan Dwyer
ARI
SDC
7.38
8.48
7.93
9.3
37.3
0.4
0.3
1.1
1.3
9.5
0.1
76
James Jones
OAK
NYJ
7.4
11.4
9.4
4
6.7
55.7
0.3
0
77
Mark Ingram
NOS
ATL
7.35
9.35
8.35
11.1
47.5
0.3
0.2
2
4
10
78
Bishop Sankey
TEN
KC
7.25
8.75
8
11
38.5
0.3
0.2
1.5
2
12
0.1
0
79
Eric Decker
NYJ
OAK
7.1
11.6
9.4
4.5
6.6
54.1
0.3
0.1
80
Danny Woodhead
SDC
ARI
7.03
11.23
9.13
6.4
24.3
0.1
0.2
4.2
5.3
24
0.3
0.2
81
Lance Moore
PIT
CLE
6.9
9.7
8.3
2.8
4.8
33
0.6
0
82
Roy Helu
WAS
HOU
6.86
9.66
8.26
3.9
16.3
0.2
0
2.8
3.4
28.3
0.2
0
83
Ben Tate
CLE
PIT
6.86
9.16
8.01
13
45
0.3
0.3
2.3
3.8
8.6
0
0
84
DeSean Jackson
WAS
HOU
6.8
10.9
8.9
4.1
7.2
43.8
0.4
0.1
0.2
1.5
0
0
85
Charles Clay
MIA
NEP
6.8
11.0
8.9
4.2
6.4
44.2
0.4
0
86
LeGarrette Blount
PIT
CLE
6.8
7.8
7.3
6.3
24
0.3
0.1
1
1
15
0.2
87
David Nelson
NYJ
OAK
6.7
10.4
8.6
3.7
5
43.4
0.4
0
88
Ahmad Bradshaw
IND
DEN
6.73
8.43
7.58
7.3
30.1
0.3
0
1.7
2.2
13.2
0.1
0
89
Lamar Miller
MIA
NEP
6.71
8.31
7.51
12.9
53.2
0.1
0.2
1.6
2.2
9.9
0
0
90
Markus Wheaton
PIT
CLE
6.6
10.7
8.7
4.1
7.1
40.6
0.4
0
0.1
1.8
0
0
91
Kelvin Benjamin
CAR
TBB
6.6
11.2
8.9
4.6
7.5
48.2
0.3
0
92
Allen Hurns
JAX
PHI
6.6
10.8
8.7
4.2
6.9
50.2
0.3
0.2
93
Jerrel Jernigan
NYG
DET
6.6
10.8
8.7
4.2
3.3
45
0.2
0.1
0.1
3.9
0.1
0
94
James White
NEP
MIA
6.56
7.86
7.21
8.7
40
0.3
0.1
1.3
1.7
8.6
0
0
95
Julio Jones
ATL
NOS
6.5
11.6
9.0
5.1
8.6
59.3
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.5
0
0
96
Jeremy Hill
CIN
BAL
6.43
6.93
6.68
10.2
42.3
0.3
0.1
0.5
0.5
5
0
0
97
Maurice Jones-Drew
OAK
NYJ
6.34
7.74
7.04
10
39.1
0.3
0
1.4
2.1
6.3
0
0
98
Heath Miller
PIT
CLE
6.3
10.9
8.6
4.6
6
47.5
0.3
0.3
99
DeAngelo Williams
CAR
TBB
6.24
7.04
6.64
12
49.3
0.2
0.5
0.8
1.4
6.1
0
0.5
100
Jordan Mathews
PHI
JAX
6.2
9.2
7.7
3
5.5
45.4
0.3
0.1
101
Rueben Randle
NYG
DET
6.2
9.7
8.0
3.5
6.7
50
0.2
0
102
Scott Chandler
BUF
CHI
6.2
10.1
8.1
3.9
5.5
51.5
0.2
0.2
103
Darren McFadden
OAK
NYJ
6.14
8.44
7.29
10.1
31.8
0.3
0.1
2.3
4.3
12.6
0
0
104
Dennis Pitta
BAL
CIN
6.1
10.6
8.4
4.5
8
37.4
0.4
0
105
Jacquizz Rodgers
ATL
NOS
6.13
9.83
7.98
6.6
25.2
0.1
0
3.7
4.8
18.1
0.2
0.1
106
Zach Ertz
PHI
JAX
6.1
8.7
7.4
2.6
4.1
36.9
0.4
0
107
Chris Givens
STL
MIN
6.1
8.4
7.2
2.3
3.6
36.7
0.4
0
108
Alfred Blue
HOU
WAS
6.06
7.36
6.71
7.8
34.1
0.2
0.2
1.3
2
10.5
0.1
0
109
Shonn Greene
TEN
KC
6.05
7.55
6.8
11
38.5
0.1
0.2
1.5
2
12
0.1
0.8
110
Tim Wright
NEP
MIA
6.0
9.4
7.7
3.4
4.1
36.3
0.4
0
111
Jarius Wright
MIN
STL
6.0
9.2
7.6
3.2
5
42.2
0.3
0
112
Jordy Nelson
GBP
SEA
6.0
9.9
8.0
3.9
6.6
48
0.2
0
113
Allen Robinson
JAX
PHI
6.0
10.0
8.0
4
6.3
47.9
0.2
0
114
Keenan Allen
SDC
ARI
6.0
9.4
7.7
3.4
6.1
43.8
0.3
0.2
115
Brent Celek
PHI
JAX
6.0
8.6
7.3
2.6
3.8
38.7
0.4
0.3
116
Greg Olsen
CAR
TBB
6.0
10.5
8.2
4.5
6.8
41.7
0.3
0
117
Justin Hunter
TEN
KC
5.9
8.3
7.1
2.4
4.5
35.3
0.4
0
118
Zach Miller
SEA
GBP
5.9
8.7
7.3
2.8
4.5
34.8
0.4
0
119
Nate Washington
TEN
KC
5.9
9.4
7.6
3.5
7.1
52.7
0.1
0
120
Antonio Gates
SDC
ARI
5.8
10.5
8.2
4.7
7.8
49
0.2
0.3
121
Torrey Smith
BAL
CIN
5.7
9.2
7.5
3.5
8.5
51.4
0.1
0
122
Brandin Cooks
NOS
ATL
5.7
8.7
7.2
3
4
39.4
0.3
0
123
Marcedes Lewis
JAX
PHI
5.6
7.8
6.7
2.2
3.6
34.2
0.4
0.2
124
Tre Mason
STL
MIN
5.61
8.41
7.01
4.8
14.8
0
0
2.8
3.4
29.3
0.2
0
125
Coby Fleener
IND
DEN
5.6
8.9
7.2
3.3
5.6
37.5
0.3
0
126
Garrett Graham
HOU
WAS
5.5
8.8
7.2
3.3
5.3
39.4
0.3
0.2
127
Terrance Williams
DAL
SF
5.5
8.6
7.1
3.1
5.5
45.2
0.2
0.2
128
Dri Archer
PIT
CLE
5.52
7.52
6.52
3.3
13.2
0.1
0.2
2
2
20
0.3
129
Jason Witten
DAL
SF
5.5
9.4
7.5
3.9
6.4
37.1
0.3
0
130
Ronnie Hillman
DEN
IND
5.5
6.6
6.05
7.8
38.6
0.2
0.3
1.1
1.5
7.4
0
0.1
131
Darren Sproles
PHI
JAX
5.49
7.49
6.49
4.7
17.9
0.1
0
2
2
25
0.1
0
132
Aaron Dobson
NEP
MIA
5.5
9.0
7.2
3.5
6
42.5
0.2
0
133
Knowshon Moreno
MIA
NEP
5.3
5.3
5.3
9.1
35
0.3
0
134
Hakeem Nicks
IND
DEN
5.3
8.7
7.0
3.4
4.7
41
0.2
0
135
Jerick McKinnon
MIN
STL
5.23
7.13
6.18
2.3
15.8
0.1
0.2
1.9
2.2
20.5
0.2
0
136
A.J. Jenkins
KC
TEN
5.2
9.1
7.2
3.9
5.6
41.2
0.2
0.1
137
Greg Salas
NYJ
OAK
5.2
8.0
6.6
2.8
5
38
0.3
0.4
138
Austin Pettis
STL
MIN
5.1
7.4
6.3
2.3
2.8
31.2
0.2
0
0.1
2.1
0.1
0
139
Chris Ivory
NYJ
OAK
5.1
5.6
5.35
8
29
0.1
0
0.5
0.5
10
0.1
140
Knile Davis
KC
TEN
5.08
6.38
5.73
4.4
14.2
0.3
0.2
1.3
1.4
14.6
0.1
0
141
Jeff Cumberland
NYJ
OAK
5.1
7.1
6.1
2
2.7
26.7
0.4
0
142
Julian Edelman
NEP
MIA
5.1
10.5
7.8
5.4
7.6
38.6
0.2
0
143
Malcolm Floyd
SDC
ARI
5.1
7.5
6.3
2.4
4
25.5
0.4
0
0.2
1.1
0
0
144
Nick Toon
NOS
ATL
5.0
6.9
6.0
1.9
2.7
32.3
0.3
0
145
Logan Paulsen
WAS
HOU
5.0
7.6
6.3
2.6
3.9
29.1
0.4
0.3
146
Rod Streater
OAK
NYJ
5.0
7.6
6.3
2.6
5.2
33.6
0.3
0.2
147
Mike Williams
BUF
CHI
4.9
7.5
6.2
2.6
5.3
37.2
0.2
0
148
Junior Hemingway
KC
TEN
4.9
8.0
6.5
3.1
6.1
38.1
0.2
0.1
149
Jericho Cotchery
CAR
TBB
4.9
8.0
6.4
3.1
5.6
30.7
0.3
0
150
Benjamin Cunningham
STL
MIN
4.66
6.06
5.36
3
16.4
0.1
0.1
1.4
1.7
19.2
0.1
0
151
Brian Quick
STL
MIN
4.7
7.5
6.1
2.8
4.5
28.6
0.3
0
152
Clay Harbor
JAX
PHI
4.6
6.7
5.6
2.1
2.8
29.6
0.3
0.2
153
James Starks
GBP
SEA
4.54
5.14
4.84
5.8
30.1
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.8
4.3
0.1
0
154
Carlos Hyde
SF
DAL
4.5
5
4.75
4
20
0.2
0.3
0.5
0.5
10
0.1
155
Jordan Todman
JAX
PHI
4.44
5.34
4.89
5.2
18.6
0.2
0
0.9
1.7
7.8
0.1
0
156
Jonathan Stewart
CAR
TBB
4.41
5.31
4.86
6
21.1
0.3
0
0.9
1.2
5
0
0
157
Mychal Rivera
OAK
NYJ
4.4
7.0
5.7
2.6
4
25.5
0.3
0
158
Terrence West
CLE
PIT
4.32
4.82
4.57
5
20.2
0.3
0
0.5
0.6
5
0
0
159
Keshawn Martin
HOU
WAS
4.3
6.1
5.2
1.8
2.8
24.6
0.3
0
160
Khiry Robinson
NOS
ATL
4.23
5.23
4.73
4.7
22.3
0.2
0.2
1
1
10
161
John Brown
ARI
SDC
4.2
7.2
5.7
3
5.2
36
0.1
0
162
DeAndre Hopkins
HOU
WAS
4.0
6.6
5.3
2.6
4.8
36.2
0.1
0.2
163
Jermaine Kearse
SEA
GBP
4.0
5.5
4.8
1.5
2.7
22.2
0.3
0
164
Luke Willson
SEA
GBP
3.9
5.8
4.9
1.9
2.5
27.4
0.2
0
165
Lorenzo Taliafero
BAL
CIN
3.93
5.63
4.78
6.1
17.5
0
0
1.7
2.1
15.8
0.1
0
166
Kenny Britt
STL
MIN
3.9
6.4
5.1
2.5
5.9
40.9
0
0.2
167
Jace Amaro
NYJ
OAK
3.8
6.1
5.0
2.3
3.1
26
0.2
0
168
Donnie Avery
KC
TEN
3.8
6.3
5.1
2.5
5.2
34
0.1
0.2
169
Dexter McCluster
TEN
KC
3.7
4.7
4.2
2
16
0.1
0.1
1
2
10
0.1
170
Randall Cobb
GBP
SEA
3.7
6.6
5.1
2.9
5.1
29.5
0.1
0.3
0.2
4.3
0
0
171
Brandon Tate
CIN
BAL
3.7
6.7
5.2
3
5.3
31.7
0.1
0.1
172
Lance Kendricks
STL
MIN
3.7
6.1
4.9
2.4
3.3
18.5
0.3
0
173
Steve Smith Sr.
BAL
CIN
3.6
6.1
4.9
2.5
4.8
18
0.3
0
174
Vance McDonald
SF
DAL
3.6
5.3
4.4
1.7
2.5
23.8
0.2
0
175
Stevan Ridley
NEP
MIA
3.45
3.45
3.45
4.5
17.5
0.3
0.1
176
Harry Douglas
ATL
NOS
3.4
5.6
4.5
2.2
3.3
29.3
0.1
0.1
177
Benjamin Watson
NOS
ATL
3.4
4.9
4.2
1.5
2.2
22.1
0.2
0
178
Bruce Miller
SF
DAL
3.39
5.99
4.69
2.6
3.2
27.9
0.1
0
179
Jermaine Gresham
CIN
BAL
3.4
6.1
4.7
2.7
4
25.9
0.2
0.4
180
Daniel Fells
NYG
DET
3.4
5.9
4.6
2.5
4.1
21.7
0.2
0




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