2016 Draft Kit

2014 fantasy football | Final tight end projections for Week 1

I’m starting Vernon Davis and Jimmy Graham in one of my .25-cent Draft Kings lineups. They both have juicy matchups and are more likely to score a touchdown than any other receiver in Week 1, according to the model.

I am, of course, basing a little too much on a numbers system based on last year’s performances. But, it’s only a .25-cent game and it’s not absurd considering bigger wide receivers and tight ends are the players most likely to score touchdowns in the passing game.

I dinged Garrett Graham‘s stats a bit and upgraded C.J. Fiedorwicz and Ryan Griffin a bit, but it’s probably best to stay away from that whole situation even if Graham’s ailing back allows him to play.

There was a note from Football Guys or 4-for-4 that put the Rob Gronkowski situation in perfect focus: If Gronk is limited, he might only be out there for 10 plays. But if five of them are in the red zone, you want him in your lineup.

Considering the plays he made Thursday, I suspect I’ll have Zach Miller (SEA) quite a bit higher during next week’s projections.

All projections: QB | RB | WR | TE | FLEX | K | DEF

PPR projections: RB | WR | TE | FLEX

Final tight end projections for Week 1 of 2014 fantasy football:

TEs
TM
OPP
FPTS
PPR
FD
REC
TGT
YDS
TD
FL
1
Vernon Davis
SF
DAL
14.3
19.6
16.9
5.3
7.5
77.6
1.2
0.7
2
Jimmy Graham
NOS
ATL
13.5
18.7
16.1
5.2
8.6
74.8
1
0
3
Rob Gronkowski
NEP
MIA
11.4
17.7
14.6
6.3
8
78.4
0.6
0
4
Julius Thomas
DEN
IND
9.8
15.3
12.5
5.5
7.8
55.6
0.7
0
5
Jordan Cameron
CLE
PIT
9.7
15.4
12.5
5.7
8.7
60.7
0.6
0
6
Jordan Reed
WAS
HOU
9.6
14.8
12.2
5.2
6.6
60.1
0.6
0
7
Jared Cook
STL
MIN
9.0
13.8
11.4
4.8
7.2
56.3
0.6
0.2
8
Charles Clay
MIA
NEP
6.8
11.0
8.9
4.2
6.4
44.2
0.4
0
9
Heath Miller
PIT
CLE
6.3
10.9
8.6
4.6
6
47.5
0.3
0.3
10
Scott Chandler
BUF
CHI
6.2
10.1
8.1
3.9
5.5
51.5
0.2
0.2
11
Dennis Pitta
BAL
CIN
6.1
10.6
8.4
4.5
8
37.4
0.4
0
12
Zach Ertz
PHI
JAX
6.1
8.7
7.4
2.6
4.1
36.9
0.4
0
13
Tim Wright
NEP
MIA
6.0
9.4
7.7
3.4
4.1
36.3
0.4
0
14
Brent Celek
PHI
JAX
6.0
8.6
7.3
2.6
3.8
38.7
0.4
0.3
15
Greg Olsen
CAR
TBB
6.0
10.5
8.2
4.5
6.8
41.7
0.3
0
16
Zach Miller
SEA
GBP
5.9
8.7
7.3
2.8
4.5
34.8
0.4
0
17
Antonio Gates
SDC
ARI
5.8
10.5
8.2
4.7
7.8
49
0.2
0.3
18
Marcedes Lewis
JAX
PHI
5.6
7.8
6.7
2.2
3.6
34.2
0.4
0.2
19
Coby Fleener
IND
DEN
5.6
8.9
7.2
3.3
5.6
37.5
0.3
0
20
Garrett Graham
HOU
WAS
5.5
8.8
7.2
3.3
5.3
39.4
0.3
0.2
21
Jason Witten
DAL
SF
5.5
9.4
7.5
3.9
6.4
37.1
0.3
0
22
Jeff Cumberland
NYJ
OAK
5.1
7.1
6.1
2
2.7
26.7
0.4
0
23
Logan Paulsen
WAS
HOU
5.0
7.6
6.3
2.6
3.9
29.1
0.4
0.3
24
Clay Harbor
JAX
PHI
4.6
6.7
5.6
2.1
2.8
29.6
0.3
0.2
25
Mychal Rivera
OAK
NYJ
4.4
7.0
5.7
2.6
4
25.5
0.3
0
26
Luke Willson
SEA
GBP
3.9
5.8
4.9
1.9
2.5
27.4
0.2
0
27
Jace Amaro
NYJ
OAK
3.8
6.1
5.0
2.3
3.1
26
0.2
0
28
Lance Kendricks
STL
MIN
3.7
6.1
4.9
2.4
3.3
18.5
0.3
0
29
Vance McDonald
SF
DAL
3.6
5.3
4.4
1.7
2.5
23.8
0.2
0
30
Benjamin Watson
NOS
ATL
3.4
4.9
4.2
1.5
2.2
22.1
0.2
0
31
Jermaine Gresham
CIN
BAL
3.4
6.1
4.7
2.7
4
25.9
0.2
0.4
32
Daniel Fells
NYG
DET
3.4
5.9
4.6
2.5
4.1
21.7
0.2
0
33
Ladarius Green
SDC
ARI
3.3
4.3
3.8
1
2
21.1
0.2
0
34
John Carlson
ARI
SDC
3.3
5.7
4.5
2.4
3.5
26.9
0.1
0
35
Kyle Rudolph
MIN
STL
3.2
6.3
4.8
3.1
4.7
26.1
0.1
0
36
Levine Toilolo
ATL
NOS
3.2
5.1
4.1
1.9
2.8
13.5
0.3
0
37
Tyler Eifert
CIN
BAL
3.1
5.4
4.3
2.3
3.6
25.2
0.1
0
38
Brandon Myers
TBB
CAR
3.0
5.0
4.0
2
2.7
18.1
0.2
0
39
Martellus Bennett
CHI
BUF
2.9
5.6
4.3
2.7
4.9
25.3
0.1
0.2
40
Jacob Tamme
DEN
IND
2.5
4.1
3.3
1.6
2.4
19.2
0.1
0
41
Travis Kelce
KC
TEN
2.4
4.1
3.3
1.7
2.5
18.4
0.1
0
42
Anthony Fasano
KC
TEN
2.4
3.9
3.2
1.5
2.1
12.2
0.2
0
43
Austin Sefarian-Jenkins
TBB
CAR
2.3
4.2
3.2
1.9
2.3
17.9
0.1
0.1
44
C.J. Fiedorowicz
HOU
WAS
2.3
3.4
2.8
1.1
2
10.5
0.2
0
45
Ryan Griffin
HOU
WAS
2.2
3.3
2.8
1.1
1.6
10.1
0.2
0
46
Brandon Pettigrew
DET
NYG
2.0
4.4
3.2
2.4
3.9
17
0.1
0.3
47
Joseph Fauria
DET
NYG
1.9
2.6
2.3
0.7
1
7.1
0.2
0
48
Eric Ebron
DET
NYG
1.8
2.5
2.2
0.7
1
7.3
0.2
0.1
49
Darrin Fells
ARI
SDC
1.7
3.3
2.5
1.6
2
12.7
0.1
0.2
50
Gary Barnidge
CLE
PIT
1.3
2.1
1.7
0.8
1
6.9
0.1
0
51
Craig Stevens
TEN
KC
1.2
3.0
2.1
1.8
3.7
5.9
0.1
0
52
Rhett Ellison
MIN
STL
0.8
1.5
1.2
0.7
1
8.3
0
0
53
Richard Rodgers
GBP
SEA
0.6
1.8
1.2
1.2
3.1
5.9
0
0
54
Owen Daniels
BAL
CIN
0.5
1.6
1.1
1.1
2.2
5.1
0
0
55
Andrew Quarless
GBP
SEA
0.5
0.9
0.7
0.4
1
5
0
0
56
Gavin Escobar
DAL
SF
0.5
1.2
0.9
0.7
1.3
5
0
0
57
Larry Donnell
NYG
DET
0.5
1.3
0.9
0.8
1.3
4.9
0
0




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