2016 Draft Kit

2014 fantasy football | Tight end projections for Week 1

[THESE RANKINGS HAVE BEEN UPDATED]

I gave fair warning in each set of projections I’ve posted so far, but maybe you’re starting with this one. Maybe you drafted Jimmy Graham and Vernon Davis and you’re debating whether  you should start both of them — you should really consider it because each of them have a near 100% chance of scoring a touchdown this week.

Wait, where was I? Right, back the warning. I said in my quarterback projections, my running back projections and my wide receiver projections that I’m going to do another pass on these numbers before the Sunday games. They’ll be similar, but the ones for tight end and wide receiver are the most likely to see significant change because I haven’t factored in defensive effectiveness against specific receivers.

Despite that, I feel pretty good about the top 8 here. Maybe Julius Thomas should be up higher, but then I’ll have to lower Demaryius Thomas, and I’m not sure we should do that either. Again, I’ll know more after… OK, hold on a minute. … OK, I just went and checked the charts. Demaryius Thomas keeps his numbers, but I may have to siphon a few yards from Emmanuel Sanders and Cody Latimer because Julius is due another 10-25 yards. That’ll move him up into the Dennis Pitta/Greg Olsen range.

I probably gave Cody Latimer too much of Julius’ TD juice, but I just think the rookie is going to grab Wes Welker‘s stats this week. It’s just a hunch, obviously, but I’ve drafted and/or picked up Latimer in a bunch of leagues in expectation of a TD or two.

Somebody’s going to ask me about Jared Cook‘s ridiculous ranking. Hey, it’s just what the numbers say, man. Cook hauled in 20% of the Rams’ passing yards and 22% of the passing touchdowns to lead the team. Minnesota’s pass defense, on the same hand, gave up 4,600 yards and 37 touchdowns through the air last season. 37 passing TDs!. … Wait, ep, get back on track. Focus.

Here are my wide receiver, nope, TIGHT END projections for Week 1 of 2014 fantasy football:

Week 1 early projections: TEAM | QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DEF

TEs
TM
OPP
FPTS
PPR
FD
REC
TGT
YDS
TD
FL
Jimmy Graham
NOS
ATL
11.9
16.6
14.2
4.7
8.1
64.8
0.9
0
Vernon Davis
SF
DAL
11.6
15.9
13.7
4.3
6.5
62.6
1
0.7
Jared Cook
STL
MIN
9.0
13.8
11.4
4.8
7.2
56.3
0.6
0.2
Rob Gronkowski
NEP
MIA
8.7
14.0
11.4
5.3
7
63.4
0.4
0
Dennis Pitta
BAL
CIN
7.7
12.7
10.2
5
8.5
47.4
0.5
0
Greg Olsen
CAR
TBB
7.6
12.6
10.1
5
7.3
51.7
0.4
0
Jordan Cameron
CLE
PIT
7.4
12.1
9.7
4.7
6.7
49.7
0.4
0
Jason Witten
DAL
SF
7.1
11.5
9.3
4.4
6.9
47.1
0.4
0
Julius Thomas
DEN
IND
7.1
10.6
8.8
3.5
5
40.5
0.5
0
Charles Clay
MIA
NEP
6.8
11.0
8.9
4.2
6.4
44.2
0.4
0
Garrett Graham
HOU
WAS
6.7
10.0
8.4
3.3
5.3
39.4
0.5
0.2
Kyle Rudolph
MIN
STL
5.9
10.0
8.0
4.1
5.7
41.1
0.3
0
Antonio Gates
SDC
ARI
5.8
10.5
8.2
4.7
7.8
49
0.2
0.3
Martellus Bennett
CHI
BUF
5.6
9.3
7.5
3.7
5.9
40.3
0.3
0.2
Coby Fleener
IND
DEN
5.6
8.9
7.2
3.3
5.6
37.5
0.3
0
Scott Chandler
BUF
CHI
5.2
8.6
6.9
3.4
5
41.5
0.2
0.2
Jeff Cumberland
NYJ
OAK
5.1
7.1
6.1
2
2.7
26.7
0.4
0
Daniel Fells
NYG
DET
5.0
8.0
6.5
3
4.6
31.7
0.3
0
Jordan Reed
WAS
HOU
4.8
7.7
6.3
2.9
4.3
30.1
0.3
0
Levine Toilolo
ATL
NOS
4.7
7.1
5.9
2.4
3.3
23.4
0.4
0
Zach Ertz
PHI
JAX
4.5
6.9
5.7
2.4
3.6
26.9
0.3
0
Brent Celek
PHI
JAX
4.4
6.5
5.4
2.1
3.3
28.7
0.3
0.3
Mychal Rivera
OAK
NYJ
4.4
7.0
5.7
2.6
4
25.5
0.3
0
Zach Miller
SEA
GBP
4.3
6.6
5.4
2.3
4
24.8
0.3
0
Marcedes Lewis
JAX
PHI
4.0
5.7
4.9
1.7
3.1
24.2
0.3
0.2
Craig Stevens
TEN
KC
3.9
6.7
5.3
2.8
4.7
20.9
0.3
0
Jace Amaro
NYJ
OAK
3.8
6.1
5.0
2.3
3.1
26
0.2
0
Lance Kendricks
STL
MIN
3.7
6.1
4.9
2.4
3.3
18.5
0.3
0
Brandon Pettigrew
DET
NYG
3.6
6.5
5.1
2.9
4.4
27
0.2
0.3
Heath Miller
PIT
CLE
3.6
7.2
5.4
3.6
5
32.5
0.1
0.3
Jermaine Gresham
CIN
BAL
3.4
6.1
4.7
2.7
4
25.9
0.2
0.4
Tim Wright
NEP
MIA
3.3
5.7
4.5
2.4
3.1
21.3
0.2
0
Ladarius Green
SDC
ARI
3.3
4.3
3.8
1
2
21.1
0.2
0
Richard Rodgers
GBP
SEA
3.3
5.5
4.4
2.2
4.1
20.9
0.2
0
John Carlson
ARI
SDC
3.3
5.7
4.5
2.4
3.5
26.9
0.1
0
Tyler Eifert
CIN
BAL
3.1
5.4
4.3
2.3
3.6
25.2
0.1
0
Brandon Myers
TBB
CAR
3.0
5.0
4.0
2
2.7
18.1
0.2
0
Clay Harbor
JAX
PHI
3.0
4.6
3.8
1.6
2.3
19.6
0.2
0.2
Andrew Quarless
GBP
SEA
2.7
4.1
3.4
1.4
2
14.5
0.2
0
Joseph Fauria
DET
NYG
2.5
3.2
2.9
0.7
1
7.1
0.3
0
Travis Kelce
KC
TEN
2.4
4.1
3.3
1.7
2.5
18.4
0.1
0
Eric Ebron
DET
NYG
2.4
3.1
2.8
0.7
1
7.3
0.3
0.1
Anthony Fasano
KC
TEN
2.4
3.9
3.2
1.5
2.1
12.2
0.2
0
Luke Willson
SEA
GBP
2.3
3.7
3.0
1.4
2
17.4
0.1
0
Logan Paulsen
WAS
HOU
2.3
3.9
3.1
1.6
2.9
14.1
0.2
0.3
Austin Sefarian-Jenkins
TBB
CAR
2.3
4.2
3.2
1.9
2.3
17.9
0.1
0.1
Owen Daniels
BAL
CIN
2.1
3.7
2.9
1.6
2.7
15.1
0.1
0
Benjamin Watson
NOS
ATL
1.8
2.8
2.3
1
1.7
12.1
0.1
0
Gavin Escobar
DAL
SF
1.8
3.0
2.4
1.2
1.8
11.8
0.1
0
Darrin Fells
ARI
SDC
1.7
3.3
2.5
1.6
2
12.7
0.1
0.2
C.J. Fiedorowicz
HOU
WAS
1.7
2.8
2.2
1.1
2
10.5
0.1
0
Ryan Griffin
HOU
WAS
1.6
2.7
2.2
1.1
1.6
10.1
0.1
0
Gary Barnidge
CLE
PIT
1.3
2.1
1.7
0.8
1
6.9
0.1
0
Jacob Tamme
DEN
IND
0.9
2.0
1.5
1.1
1.4
9.4
0
0
Vance McDonald
SF
DAL
0.9
1.6
1.2
0.7
1.5
8.8
0
0
Rhett Ellison
MIN
STL
0.8
1.5
1.2
0.7
1
8.3
0
0
Larry Donnell
NYG
DET
0.5
1.3
0.9
0.8
1.3
4.9
0
0




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