Put down the torches and pitchforks folks, there’s a reason – there’s always a reason.
I drafted Shonn Greene in a dynasty league this year and I said in this January 2009 post that I think he’ll be the best running back to come out of the 2009 class.
A lot of my fellow Ninjas are high on Knowshon Moreno and Beanie Wells. I’m sticking to my prediction and recommending dynasty and keeper leaguers hold onto Greene, especially after his performances in the playoffs so far:
- Wild Card round against against the Bengals: 21/135/1
- Divisional round against the Chargers: 23/128/1
Greene also had 144 yards and scored 2 TDs on 19 carries in Week 7 against the Raiders. Averaging 5.0 per carry this season, he finished with 540 yards on 108 carries playing second fiddle to Thomas Jones.
Jones has been less impressive in the postseason than he was in the regular season, averaging just 2.6 yards on 29 carries. But statistically speaking he had the second best season of his career at age 32. He had his best season last year at age 31.
Jones is signed through 2011 and it’s going to be difficult for the Jets to give up on a player who amassed 2,700 yards and 27 TDs.
At least Jones and Greene didn’t have to contend with Leon Washington, who, if he wouldn’t have broken his leg, would have muddied up these waters as well. Fortunately for Jones and Greene owners, Washington is now a free agent.
Let’s talk 2010
Greene is arguably the most talented back. Coach Rex Ryan is the anti-Mangini, meaning he’s smart, so he’ll give Greene a good chunk of carries. But because he’s smart, he’ll mix in a liberal serving of Jones, too.
The problem I have with Greene for 2010 is that he’s created a ridiculous level of buzz this postseason that he likely won’t shake before your 2010 fantasy draft.
He is worth the buzz on talent alone, but it’s doubtful Green will have the opportunity to produce at the level a lot of people are going to expect him to in 2010.
Things could change between now and 2010, sure. The Jets could trade Jones. Either back could suffer a severe injury. Heck, Jones could pull a Tiki Barber and retire at the top of his game.
But with all the information we have now, Greene is setting himself up to be one of the most overvalued players in 2010.
What do you guys think? Will Shonn Greene be overvalued or valued just right in 2010? Let us know in the comments.