While compiling my matchup rankings spreadsheet (shut up, Ninjas use spreadsheets) I thought it would be interesting to compare this year’s numbers against last year’s, and I gathered some interesting info.
There is a stark contrast for many of the teams at the top and bottom of the rankings list. WARNING: Horn tooting coming… In the preseason, I told you to punt strength of schedule on draft day. I said defenses were too unpredictable.
Through three weeks of the 2009 season, I couldn’t have picked a better year to make such an observation and put it in writing.
Check out this chart, showing the difference in rankings between team average points allowed to QBs in 2008 vs. 2009:
|Better in 09||Diff.||Worse in 09||Diff.|
New York Jets
The Seahawks and Jets have leapfrogged almost 20 teams from the bottom shelf to the top.
In the same vein, Tennessee has fallen off by almost 20.
But for all the numbers, the most striking to me are Pittsburgh and St. Louis. For the last 10 years, the Steelers had been a top of the heap team, but their year they’ve been far from dominant.
And I’m wondering how the Rams, as woeful as they were last year, found a way to drop nine spots compared to last season.
And, for those of you looking for the top 5, bottom 5 rankings I provided for positions last week, I’ve got something for you too. The following chart shows the top 5 and bottom five fantasy defenses against QBs through three weeks in 2009 with a small weight also given to their 2008 ranking. The bottom row includes teams that were knocked out of their respective 5s after their Week 3 performance. The number next to the team is their ranking in the top 5 last week:
QB Heaven after Week 3
QB Hell after Week 3
Kansas City (NR)
New York Giants (NR)
|Knocked out: Tennessee (1), Tampa Bay (4), Baltimore (5)||Knocked out: New York Jets (3), Seattle (4)|
Looking at both charts you can see that the Broncos have climbed into the top from mediocrity in 2009. Meanwhile, Buffalo went from a relatively good defense to an abysmal one.
How can you use this information? We’re in Week 3 now, so if you’re picking between two QBs to trade for, pick one that faces the Lions, Jaguars or Chiefs two more times this year for a little added bonus. If nothing else, you know not to start a bye-week filling QB who’s facing the Colts or Jets.