Brett Lawrie was getting some words next week but Wednesday morning my Twitter feed (@epCN) was awash in announcements about the Blue Jays prospect’s arrival in the majors. Sounds like Friday is the day.
No time to wait. Let’s talk about Lawrie now. Fantasy baseball owners in keeper/dynasty leagues and redrafts should know about him and consider adding him.
Any prospect comes with an amount of risk. They could kill the ball for a few weeks then kill your chance of winning for a few weeks. Or they could just kill your chance of winning for their entire stint.
Lawrie is one of the players worth the risk.
I’ll get this out of the way right now: Lawrie plays in the Pacific Coast League, where offensive stats get inflated like nowhere else.
Still, let’s talk about Lawrie’s statistics because they are pretty phenomenal.
Brett Lawrie, 3B, Las Vegas 51s (Toronto Blue Jays)
- Statistics: .354 AVG, 51 R, 79 H, 19 2B, 15 HR, 49 RBI, 11 SB, 18 BB, 40 SO, .415 OBP, .677 SLG
Lawrie is among minor league leaders in hits, home runs, RBIs and slugging percentage. That’s minor leagues, as in all players across all classifications (AAA, AA, A and rookie league).
Obviously, he also ranks highly across the AAA ranks, including a classification-best 79 hits.
He already has almost twice as many homers (15) in 52 games as he had last season (8) in 135 games. While his power numbers seem inflated, he did have 13 homers in 105 games in a less explosive Midwest League during his pro debut season (2009).
Last year, while still with the Brewers organization, Lawrie led the Southern League in hits (158), triples (16), runs (90) and extra-base hits (60). He was traded to Toronto’s organization for Shaun Marcum in December 2010.
I’m not an expert on evaluating major league players. I haven’t seen Lawrie swing a bat. I haven’t seen him run the bases. So I turned to the people who have had that opportunity and/or have access to the people who do. In this case, I’m going to quote them directly:
Lawrie’s latest feat came Tuesday afternoon against Round Rock, going 3-for-3 with a walk and finishing a double short of the cycle. Lawrie hit an opposite field home run in the third inning, his ninth of the season, and added his third triple of the year in the eighth, helping spark a rally that saw the 51s overcome an 8-3 deficit for a 9-8 win. Lawrie walked and went on to score the winning run in the ninth.
While Cashman Field in Las Vegas is one of the minors’ most noted launching pads—six of his nine homers have come at home—he’s still been plenty productive on the road. Lawrie’s hitting .377/.434/.638 away from Vegas, compared to .310/.367/.600 at home.
Brett Lawrie, 3B, Las Vegas 51s: Yesterday was the Brett Lawrie Show: he went 2-for-4 with two homers and four RBI. In his last 10 games, Lawrie is hitting .375/.490/.800 with nine walks and four homers. On the season, he’s at .346/.403/.633 with 11 homers and nine steals in 10 attempts.
Based on his track record, and what I saw Sunday afternoon, I am convinced that Brett Lawrie has everything needed to be a superstar. The only things that could get in the way are injuries or his own personality.
He’s no sure thing, but Lawrie should be owned in dynasty/keeper leagues as soon as he becomes available according to your league rules. In redrafts, teams with dead weight might consider offloading it for a chance to catch a potential rising star.
Comments. We have them
Are you adding Lawrie? Going to wait-and-see? Do you expect Lawrie to bust? Let us know in the comments.