2016 Draft Kit

Boom or bust PPR wide receiver projections for Week 17

I am running super late this week on all fronts. Holiday gatherings and some technical issues at work left me with little time.

Sorry for the delay. I’ll stop rambling.

In Week 17 we have a lot of potential game scripts. Let’s talk about some of them.

Just to be clear, I know you might have two-week championship weeks so your season-long team may still be going. But I’m going to focus mostly on daily fantasy football this week, the final week of the NFL season.

We’ll post boom or bust projections as long as the daily fantasy sites are offering football contests.

Then I’ll probably talk about dabbling in fantasy NBA — I have a better win percentage in NBA than NFL, by the way.

Let’s get to Week 17 PPR wide receiver projections.

General notes

Any team with playoff implications this week could be in for a huge game as they battle to win a division title or improve their playoff ranking.

However, it’s also worth noting that many playoff teams will rest their starters after a couple series or if the game gets out of hand. That means there are far more outcomes where the players rest than there are where they play the full game. This will greatly increase variance in daily fantasy leagues.

That means the gap between the pros and us amateurs closes in large-field tournaments. It also means safe cash games, like head-to-head games and 50/50s, where half or almost half of the field double their money or almost double their money, won’t be as safe as usual.

Fade all Patriots

I’m not going to consider any Patriots for my teams this week. Brady could play two series and get pulled. Julian Edelman and Brandon LaFell are both questionable. LeGarrette Blount might not play. Jonas Gray has been ruled out. I wouldn’t be surprised if they put a security guard in at running back and he rushed for 200 yards and 3 TDs.

New England has locked down the top seed in the AFC. They don’t have any reason to put their players at risk.

More PPR wide receiver talk

Dallas doesn’t have much to play for but the matchup for Dez Bryant is so juicy that I’ll have him in a couple lineups.

If you want to replace Mike Evans with Vincent Jackson in that No. 6 slot I won’t argue. Jackson has been more effective the last couple of weeks and has received piles of targets all season. I have Evans there because I think he’s a better bet to dump 3 TDs on the Saints. He, of course, comes with a higher price tag.

Doug Baldwin has one of his highest rankings of the season. The small receiver should benefit from Jermaine Kearse being out this week.

I also wouldn’t be surprised if Charles Johnson outperformed Greg Jennings this week. I’ll have a few stacks with Teddy Bridgewater and Greg Jennings and a few with Teddy Bridgewater and Charles Johnson this week.

Week 17 projections: QB | RB | WR | TE | FLEX | K | D/ST | IDP

Week 17 PPR projections: RB | WR | TE | FLEX

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