2016 Draft Kit

Boom or bust quarterback projections for NFL playoffs: Conference championships

We’re down to the best of the best as far as defenses are concerned.

I made few manual adjustments to the projections this week. Where there should have been a reduction, our projections machine had already announced it’s presence with authority. By that I mean Aaron Rodgers is projected for just 190.6 yards against the stout Seattle defense.

I’ve got the Seahawks beating the Patriots in the Super Bowl. Ho-hum, I know, but I think the Seattle defense is just too good. I’m not at all surprised to see Wilson and Brady atop this list.

Let’s talk a bit about how we should approach quarterbacks this weekend for daily fantasy. In general, I recommend drafting at least four lineups, each with a different quarterback. An unexpected performance — either from one of these signal-callers or one of their unheralded receivers — will win daily fantasy players a ton of money this week. Having a share of each quarterback in $1 or $5 leagues is much smarter play than putting all of your eggs in one $100 lineup.

Russell Wilson — Wilson feels like a must start. He’s the least expensive starter at FanDuel and is the second-least expensive at Draft Kings (behind only Rodgers). We have him projected to score 23.8 points, which would make him our highest scoring player across all positions. His rushing potential drives this ranking.

Tom Brady — Our No. 2 quarterback this week has Las Vegas backing him big. Brady should have an excellent game. We have him projected to accumulate more passes, completions, yards and touchdown passes than any other quarterback this week.

Andrew Luck — Here’s an interesting one. If your league awards 6 TD passes to quarterbacks and -2 for turnovers, Luck is our top quarterback this week. He is the least likely to throw an interception according to our projections machine. We also have him rolling in with the second most passing yards and touchdowns this week.

Aaron Rodgers — While we have Rodgers last and Draft Kings’ algorithm is right there with us, nobody would be surprised if he threw for 400 yards and 5 TDs. This ranking is the one of many reasons why it’s better to play a pile of smaller lineups this week as opposed to setting your hopes and dreams on one quarterback and friends.

Projections: QB | RB | WR | TE | FLEX | K | DEF | IDP

PPR projections: RB | WR | TE | FLEX

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