In Week 17 we have a lot of potential game scripts. Let’s talk about some of them.
Just to be clear, I know you might have two-week championship weeks so your season-long team may still be going. But I’m going to focus mostly on daily fantasy football this week, the final week of the NFL season.
We’ll post boom or bust projections as long as the daily fantasy sites are offering football contests.
Then I’ll probably talk about dabbling in fantasy NBA — I have a better win percentage in NBA than NFL, by the way.
Let’s get to Week 17 team defense talk.
Any team with playoff implications this week could be in for a huge game as they battle to win a division title or improve their playoff ranking.
However, it’s also worth noting that many playoff teams will rest their starters after a couple series or if the game gets out of hand. That means there are far more outcomes where the players rest than there are where they play the full game. This will greatly increase variance in daily fantasy leagues.
That means the gap between the pros and us amateurs closes in large-field tournaments. It also means playing in safe cash games like head-to-head games and 50/50s, where half or almost half of the field double their money or almost double their money.
Fade all Patriots
I’m not going to consider any Patriots for my teams this week. Brady could play two series and get pulled. Julian Edelman and Brandon LaFell are both questionable. LeGarrette Blount might not play. Jonas Gray has been ruled out. I wouldn’t be surprised if they put a security guard in at running back and he rushed for 200 yards and 3 TDs.
More D/ST talk
The team playing the Jaguars continues to be the top option in fantasy football. This week they face J.J. Watt and the Houston Texans. I wonder how many kinds of touchdowns Watt scores this week?
I was surprised our machine didn’t punch up the Ravens a little. They’ll be facing Cleveland Browns quarterback Connor Shaw this week.
If you wanted to try a sneaky play and start Jacksonville against Case Keenum and the Texans, I wouldn’t tell you not too. That said, I wouldn’t go all-in on the Jags and start them in every lineup.