One iteration of these tight end projections had Travis Kelce as the No. 1 tight end this week. Still, we have him higher than a lot of other fantasy football prognosticators. Anthony Fasano is unlikely to play, leaving Kelce to handle the number of snaps he deserves.
But the matchup statistics are a little all over the place. Seattle has allowed 14.4 PPR fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends in the last five weeks, one of the highest totals in the NFL. However, this season the Seahawks have allowed 41.4 passing yards to opposing tight ends, the fourth least amount in the NFL.
Why is Jimmy Graham ahead of Rob Gronkowski? I gave Graham minor bump because the Saints are playing at home. Graham has a ridiculous matchup against the Bengals who have allowed 72.2 yards per game to opposing tight ends. I could see a scenario where Graham posts double that amount.
Gronk’s matchup is decent too and I could see that matchup turning into a shootout. Still, if I’m paying for one of them this week, it’s Graham.
Denver has given up 20.5 fantasy points to opposing tight ends in the last five weeks, the third highest total. St. Louis’ tight end Jared Cook leads the team in catches, targets, receiving yards, yards after the catch and receiving first downs. Teammate Lance Kendricks has caught four touchdowns this season. Either one of them could get in the end zone this week. Cook is more likely to rack up safe points because of the yardage, so I’d lean his way if you plan to start one of them.
Tight end projections for Week 11: