A lot of daily fantasy people are on Travis Kelce this week and I can’t blame them. He has seen a lot of targets and he is cheaper than the top options, Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham.
The Steelers are bad on defense, but they are a mixed matchup against tight ends. In the adjusted points against rankings for the season, they are among the worst teams, but over the last five weeks they are a bad matchup for tight ends. So when I was making matchup adjustments I didn’t upgrade Kelce’s statistics.
I’ll still have some exposure to him in daily fantasy. And if his 12 catches, 169 yards and a touchdown the last two weeks got you into the championship you better not sit him regardless of the matchup unless you have Gronkowski or Graham. Maybe then you consider getting both players in your lineup.
I’m getting to these projections a little early because there are two Saturday games this week. Antonio Gates has a big opportunity today with Keenan Allen out. If I had to pick one player I think most likely to get in the end zone from the 49ers-Chargers game, it’s Gates. San Francisco is a bad matchup for No. 1 and No. 2 wide receivers. They’re not listed anywhere on my tight end matchups which means they’re middling. Gates is my top tight end for the two Saturday games.
When I factored in matchups this morning, Dwayne, Allen, Coby Fleener and Jason Witten all took a short ride up the rankings.
I could see you with Fleener and Allen or Witten and Gates. Allen is touchdown-dependent, Fleener will likely get more catches and yards. Both will benefit after they announce T.Y. Hilton is out.
Witten will get target volume, but won’t be able to do as much with it as Fleener and he doesn’t have touchdown upside.