2016 Draft Kit

Boom or bust tight end projections for Week 17

In Week 17 we have a lot of potential game scripts. Let’s talk about some of them.

Just to be clear, I know you might have two-week championship weeks so your season-long team may still be going. But I’m going to focus mostly on daily fantasy football this week, the final week of the NFL season.

We’ll post boom or bust projections as long as the daily fantasy sites are offering football contests.

Then I’ll probably talk about dabbling in fantasy NBA — I have a better win percentage in NBA than NFL, by the way.

Let’s get to Week 17 tight ends talk.

General notes

Any team with playoff implications this week could be in for a huge game as they battle to win a division title or improve their playoff ranking.

However, it’s also worth noting that many playoff teams will rest their starters after a couple series or if the game gets out of hand. That means there are far more outcomes where the players rest than there are where they play the full game. This will greatly increase variance in daily fantasy leagues.

That means the gap between the pros and us amateurs closes in large-field tournaments. It also means playing in safe cash games like head-to-head games and 50/50s, where half or almost half of the field double their money or almost double their money.

Fade all Patriots

I’m not going to consider any Patriots for my teams this week. Brady could play two series and get pulled. Julian Edelman and Brandon LaFell are both questionable. LeGarrette Blount might not play. Jonas Gray has been ruled out. I wouldn’t be surprised if they put a security guard in at running back and he rushed for 200 yards and 3 TDs.

More tight end concerns

Yeah, that’s Coby Fleener at the top of the list. Dwayne Allen is hurt. T.Y. Hilton might not play. I wouldn’t be surprised if Fleener went for 100 yards this week.

While I told you to fade all Patriots a few words ago, I thought I should also talk specifically about Rob Gronkowski. Gronk has a bad matchup. Yeah, he’s matchup proof. But the Patriots don’t have anything to play for. Jimmy Garoppolo might get a lot of time under center. I’m afraid Gronk might not reach ceiling or floor.

The best matchup of the week for tight ends is the Vikings against Chicago. However, Kyle Rudolph is iffy, that means we’re stuck choosing between Chase Ford and Rhett Ellison. That makes me not want to consider rostering them.

Considering all of these concerns, I’m going to rock Greg Olsen and Fleener in most of my leagues. It’s not a great matchup for Olsen, but he’s a pretty big part of that Panthers offense.

Week 17 projections: QB | RB | WR | TE | FLEX | K | D/ST | IDP

Week 17 PPR projections: RB | WR | TE | FLEX

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