Ooh, man, I hope you played some of my picks yesterday, especially Victor Oladipo.
I cashed in the $400,000 tournament at Draft Kings. I didn’t win, didn’t finish great, but cashing in any tourney like that feels good. Hopefully, you pivoted off Nikola Mirotic and Anthony Davis and ended up with a LARGE score.
One really big tip today: There were a pile of teams in play yesterday which means there are a lot of teams on back-to-backs. I’m also listing some questionable players that present good value if they play. I’d bet a chunk of the picks I’m about to give you won’t play tonight.
If James Harden sits, for example, you can’t take a 0 from him in your lineup and expect to cash in a tournament. My highest-scoring team last night scored 314 points, had two players score 60+ and nobody under 22+. That feels pretty good. But it only finished 1,149th of 43,125.
Check player news and starting lineups before tipoff tonight and make the necessary switches.
I’m going to be a bit short with the value play discussion today. I am running out of time.
Today’s value plays are listed based on the height of their ceiling. I’ll tell you which player is my favorite at each position.
DFS NBA Draft Kings value plays for Saturday, March 7
George Hill, $6,500, Goran Dragic, $6,600, Brandon Knight, $6,400, Mike Conley, $6,000, Isaiah Canaan, $4,600, Ray McCallum, $4,000 — Canaan is risky but he presents tremendous value. I’ll probably have Knight as my second-most played PG.
If I’m paying up, I’m going for Ricky Rubio, $7,900. Elite plays: John Wall, $8,800, Damian Lillard, $8,000
Rodney Stuckey, $5,800, Khris Middleton, $5,900, Eric Gordon, $5,400, Kevin Martin, $5,900, J.R. Smith, $5,500 — Stuckey tops the ceiling chart but I’m paying $100 more to roster Middleton. I ended up using Smith because I seemed to be left with exactly $5,500 a couple times.
Pay up for James Harden, $10,500, fresh off his triple double. Also consider Eric Bledsoe, $8,100.
Aaron Afflalo, $4,100, is moving into the starting lineup to replace Wesley Matthews who is out for the year. Afflalo has been shooting poorly, but the uptick in minutes likely means he should easily reach value.
Nicolas Batum, $6,200, P.J. Tucker, $5,900, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, $4,500, Luol Deng, $5,800, Danilo Gallinari, $5,700, Josh Smith, $6,400, Paul Pierce, $4,600, Trevor Ariza, $5,700, DeMare Carroll, $4,700 — There are a lot of names on this list because SF is thick in the middle. There aren’t a lot of consistent stars at the position. Batum is my favorite play. Tucker should return to the starting lineup. Carroll gets to face the 76ers.
Pay up for LeBron James, $10,500, and Rudy Gay, $7,200.
LaMarcus Aldridge, $9,200, Nerlens Noel, $6,700, Andrea Bargnani, $5,000, Markieff Morris, $6,300, Kenneth Faried, $6,100, Donatas Motiejunas, $5,300 — I’ve got Bargnani in quite a few lineups. Aldridge’s price looks odd on a value list, but he’s at least a $10,200 player. There are a couple guys on this list who probably will never cost $1,000 more than their current price.
Pay up for Paul Millsap, $8,200, who gets to face the 76ers, Anthony Davis, $10,800, Kevin Love, $7,800, and Zach Randolph, $7,400.
DeMarcus Cousins, $9,600, Marcin Gortat, $6,100, Alex Len, $5,500, Nikola Pekovic, $5,000, Gorgui Dieng, $5,200, Roy Hibbert, $4,800 — Gortat is the top choice here. He’ll probably be highly owned after last night. Cousins is probably still priced $1,000 under his value.
Pay up for Al Horford, $7,400, who gets the 76ers, Hassan Whiteside, $8,800, Marc Gasol, $7,600.
Good luck tonight and every night.