There were some good picks in yesterdays value plays. I hope they propelled you to big money.
Tonight, of course we have the huge Micro Millions $400,000 NBA game at Draft Kings. It costs $20 to play, which isn’t cheap considering my salary, but I’m taking a shot. Top prize is $100,000. That is life-changing.
FanDuel also has a huge $400,000 contest with a $40,000 top prize. That one is $25 to play.
Huge money and a huge roster of players to choose from. With that said, my list is a little shorter today. I’m confident in the players I’m going to discuss. They are all players I’ll be considering right up until rosters lock.
Good luck tonight and every night. But especially tonight. Because $100,000.
Remember to check lineups and player news before tipoff. You can’t win with a 0 in your lineup.
DFS NBA Draft Kings value plays for Friday, March 6
Jeremy Lin, $4,800, Isaiah Thomas, $6,000, George Hill, $6,300, and Trey Burke, $4,500, Brandon Knight, $6,200 — Lin has been great lately. So has Thomas. He’s a little more expensive, but with Avery Bradley out I could see Thomas starting and getting a few more shots. The 76ers have given up the fourth-most points to point guards so I’ve got some Burke. He’s not the starter, but he’s playing much better than Dante Exum. Knight is getting 40 minutes a game. That’s a lot of opportunity.
When I pay up I’m rostering Stephen Curry, $9,500, Mo Williams, $7,300, and John Wall, $8,800.
Lou Williams, $5,600, Rodney Stuckey, $5,800, E’twaun Moore, $3,000 — With Kyle Lowry back, Lou Williams is a risky play. However, he’s been shooting lights out. He’ll still be involved. Stuckey has a 40-point ceiling profile and with that price he has to be considered. Moore has a decent matchup and a terrific price but we can’t be sure he’ll get as many minutes or as much usage as he had last night.
I’m paying up a bit for my shooting guards this week, going mostly with Victor Oladipo, $7,000, who faces the Kings, who have given up the most points to SGs this season. I’m also considering James Harden, $10,400, Eric Bledsoe, $8,200, DeMar DeRozan, $7,200 and Dwayne Wade, $7,300. But mostly it’s Oladipo.
P.J. Tucker, $5,900, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, $6,000, Danilo Gallinari, $5,600, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, $4,500 — Like at shooting guard, I’m paying up at small forward for the most part. Like Tucker and Gallinari for their profile and price. Kidd-Gilchrist too, but he at least has a decent matchup against Toronto, who has given up the third most fantasy points to SFs this season.
Higher-priced, better plays: LeBron James, $10,500, Rudy Gay, $7,300, Kawhi Leonard, $7,400, Gordon Hayward, $7,500. No team has given up more points to small forwards than Orlando, Gay’s opponent tonight. He’s my top choice. LeBron is a 70-burger waiting to happen. Leonard is one Spurs player who actually gets regular minutes and has a good matchup. Hayward has been playing poorly, but he’s capable of 50 points and should be low-owned, making him a sneaky tournament play.
Nikola Mirotic, $5,700, Donatas Motiejunas, $5,100, Kenneth Faried, $5,800, Ed Davis, $4,800, Markieff Morris, $6,400, Nerlens Noel, $6,700 — Mirotic is an easy top choice here — he’s only $4,500 at FanDuel, making him a must-start. He’s just scoring too much. Motiejunas should benefit considerably if Terence Jones sits. He’ll be a decent play even if Jones plays. Faried is shining as the Nuggets new center. Davis has a good ceiling profile and a terrific price. Morris has a good ceiling too. His price is a bit higher, but he gets the Nets who have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to power forwards. I feel like Noel isn’t a great play but he fits the price and ceiling/floor profile.
Pay up for Anthony Davis, $10,800. That price is huge, but it’s probably low and he gets the Celtics who have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to PFs. Also consider Draymond Green, $7,100, Derrick Favors, $7,600, Greg Monroe, $7,100, Paul Millsap, $8,200, Pau Gasol, $9,400, Kevin Love, $7,800, Tim Duncan, $6,800.
Marcin Gortat, $6,200, Jonas Valanciunas, $5,500, Brook Lopez, $5,700, Alex Len, $5,600 — I’m paying up at center everywhere, but these are supposed to be value plays. These guys are all options. None of them have great matchup and they barely fit the ceiling profile I like to target for tournaments.
Rudy Gobert, $7,200, against Philadelphia is my center of choice. He’s probably going to be as owned as Russell Westbrook was last night, but I don’t care. If he pops a rebound-block-steal-point quad-dub against the undersized 76ers I want him on my roster.
DeMarcus Cousins, $9,500, has a great matchup against the Magic. I also like Marc Gasol, $7,500, who has an even better matchup than Cousins against the Lakers. Also consider Andre Drummond, $7,800, Hassan Whiteside, $8,800, Al Jefferson, $7,600, Joakim Noah, $7,400, Al Horford, $7,400.