2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings daily fantasy baseball advice for Sunday, Aug. 16: Value-adjusted hitter and pitcher rankings

When Felix Hernandez gets pummeled in a 22-10 loss you know some 50/50s are going to blow up.

You also have to have a bad feeling about the rest of the day. Sure enough, we had one of our worst days of the last two weeks yesterday.

We still must press on. I’ve said there are going to be bumps two or three times through this winning streak . But my bankroll has increased enough on the good days of this span that I can handle a blip or two. I hope you’ve had the same success.

Building lineups using today’s rankings has me thinking we’ll be better in tournaments. The rankings say we should pay up for pitchers, which means we’re introducing a lot of variance ($2,000 and $3,000 hitters) into our lineups. I have a handful of .25-cent lineups as usual, but I dropped my best lineup into a $3 Moonshot with $90,000 in prizes.

As usual, you’ll want to check your lineups close to game time to make sure any low-end values — and, really, all players — are actually starting. These rankings are usually produced several hours before lineups are announced. They reflect a best-case scenario, which doesn’t always come to pass. You can win millions of dollars with a goose egg in your lineup, but you don’t want one there if you can avoid it.

Top-15 value-adjusted pitchers

Rk Player   Opp Salary
1 Chris Sale (CWS – P) 2:10 PM CHC $11,600
2 Zack Greinke (LAD – P) 4:10 PM CIN $12,400
3 Carlos Martinez (STL – P) 2:15 PM MIA $9,100
4 Matt Harvey (NYM – P) 1:10 PM PIT $11,300
5 M. Bumgarner (SF – P) 4:05 PM WSH $11,900
6 Mike Fiers (HOU – P) 2:10 PM DET $7,600
7 Taylor Jungmann (MIL – P) 2:10 PM PHI $9,000
8 Carlos Carrasco (CLE – P) 2:10 PM @MIN $10,800
9 Jeff Locke (PIT – P) 1:10 PM @NYM $6,400
10 Shelby Miller (ATL – P) 1:35 PM ARI $8,400
11 Yordano Ventura (KC – P) 8:08 PM LAA $6,600
12 Drew Hutchison (TOR – P) 1:07 PM NYY $6,200
13 Wei-Yin Chen (BAL – P) 1:35 PM OAK $8,100
14 David Phelps (MIA – P) 2:15 PM @STL $4,700
15 Dan Haren (CHC – P) 2:10 PM @CWS $6,700

Top-100 value-adjusted hitters

Rk Player B Time OPP P/T Salary
1 Brett Wallace (SD – 1B/3B) L 4:10 PM @COL L $2,000
2 Matt Kemp (SD – OF) R 4:10 PM @COL L $5,000
3 Ben Paulsen (COL – 1B/OF) L 4:10 PM SD R $3,200
4 Matt McBride (COL – 1B/OF) R 4:10 PM SD R $2,000
5 Ketel Marte (SEA – SS) B 1:35 PM @BOS L $3,000
6 Charlie Blackmon (COL – OF) L 4:10 PM SD R $4,700
7 Evan Gattis (HOU – 1B) R 2:10 PM DET L $3,600
8 Carlos Gonzalez (COL – OF) L 4:10 PM SD R $5,100
9 Troy Tulowitzki (TOR – SS) R 1:07 PM NYY R $4,100
10 John Jaso (TB – C) L 3:05 PM @TEX R $2,900
11 Franklin Gutierrez (SEA – OF) R 1:35 PM @BOS L $3,100
12 Nelson Cruz (SEA – OF) R 1:35 PM @BOS L $5,400
13 Shane Peterson (MIL – 1B) L 2:10 PM PHI R $2,200
14 Kyle Seager (SEA – 3B) L 1:35 PM @BOS L $3,600
15 Daniel Descalso (COL – 2B/SS) L 4:10 PM SD R $2,000
16 Michael McKenry (COL – C) R 4:10 PM SD R $2,600
17 Mike Trout (LAA – OF) R 8:08 PM @KC R $4,800
18 Miguel Cabrera (DET – 1B/3B) R 2:10 PM @HOU R $4,600
19 Ryan Raburn (CLE – OF) R 2:10 PM @MIN L $2,400
20 Hanley Ramirez (BOS – OF/SS) R 1:35 PM SEA L $4,100
21 Ryan Braun (MIL – OF) R 2:10 PM PHI R $4,600
22 Yan Gomes (CLE – C) R 2:10 PM @MIN L $3,600
23 Manny Machado (BAL – 3B) R 1:35 PM OAK R $4,500
24 Nolan Arenado (COL – 3B) R 4:10 PM SD R $5,200
25 Justin Upton (SD – OF) R 4:10 PM @COL L $5,500
26 Derek Norris (SD – C) R 4:10 PM @COL L $4,200
27 Justin Smoak (TOR – 1B) B 1:07 PM NYY R $2,600
28 Mookie Betts (BOS – OF) R 1:35 PM SEA L $4,400
29 Gerardo Parra (BAL – OF) L 1:35 PM OAK R $3,400
30 Yangervis Solarte (SD – 1B/2B) B 4:10 PM @COL L $4,000
31 Jose Reyes (COL – SS) B 4:10 PM SD R $4,800
32 Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY – OF) L 1:07 PM @TOR R $4,100
33 Albert Pujols (LAA – 1B) R 8:08 PM @KC R $3,800
34 Paul Goldschmidt (ARI – 1B) R 1:35 PM @ATL R $5,300
35 Jason Rogers (MIL – 1B) R 2:10 PM PHI R $2,000
36 Jedd Gyorko (SD – 2B/3B) R 4:10 PM @COL L $3,500
37 Jose Altuve (HOU – 2B) R 2:10 PM DET L $4,500
38 Evan Longoria (TB – 3B) R 3:05 PM @TEX R $4,300
39 Yonder Alonso (SD – 1B) L 4:10 PM @COL L $3,700
40 Adam Lind (MIL – 1B) L 2:10 PM PHI R $4,200
41 Grady Sizemore (TB – OF) L 3:05 PM @TEX R $2,300
42 Kole Calhoun (LAA – OF) L 8:08 PM @KC R $3,600
43 Mark Teixeira (NYY – 1B) B 1:07 PM @TOR R $4,600
44 Andrew McCutchen (PIT – OF) R 1:10 PM @NYM R $4,400
45 Jose Abreu (CWS – 1B) R 2:10 PM CHC R $4,700
46 Scott Van Slyke (LAD – OF) R 4:10 PM CIN R $2,500
47 Jose Bautista (TOR – OF) R 1:07 PM NYY R $5,000
48 Richie Shaffer (TB – 1B/3B) R 3:05 PM @TEX R $2,400
49 Brian McCann (NYY – C) L 1:07 PM @TOR R $3,900
50 James Loney (TB – 1B) L 3:05 PM @TEX R $2,900
51 Preston Tucker (HOU – OF) L 2:10 PM DET L $3,300
52 Carlos Gomez (HOU – OF) R 2:10 PM DET L $4,300
53 Carlos Santana (CLE – 1B/3B) B 2:10 PM @MIN L $4,100
54 Gregory Polanco (PIT – OF) L 1:10 PM @NYM R $3,100
55 Enrique Hernandez (LAD – OF/SS) R 4:10 PM CIN R $2,600
56 Chris Davis (BAL – 1B) L 1:35 PM OAK R $4,900
57 Yoenis Cespedes (NYM – OF) R 1:10 PM PIT L $4,300
58 Jonathan Lucroy (MIL – C) R 2:10 PM PHI R $3,200
59 Juan Lagares (NYM – OF) R 1:10 PM PIT L $2,900
60 Matt Carpenter (STL – 3B) L 2:15 PM MIA R $4,900
61 David Peralta (ARI – OF) L 1:35 PM @ATL R $4,000
62 Josh Donaldson (TOR – 3B) R 1:07 PM NYY R $5,100
63 Andres Blanco (PHI – 3B/SS) B 2:10 PM @MIL R $2,000
64 Michael Bourn (ATL – OF) L 1:35 PM ARI R $2,800
65 Matt Wieters (BAL – C) B 1:35 PM OAK R $3,400
66 Carlos Correa (HOU – SS) R 2:10 PM DET L $5,200
67 Eugenio Suarez (CIN – SS) R 4:10 PM @LAD R $3,400
68 Carlos Beltran (NYY – OF) B 1:07 PM @TOR R $3,900
69 Salvador Perez (KC – C) R 8:08 PM LAA L $3,300
70 Jose Ramirez (CLE – 2B/SS) B 2:10 PM @MIN L $3,200
71 Robinson Cano (SEA – 2B) L 1:35 PM @BOS L $3,800
72 Alex Rodriguez (NYY – 3B) R 1:07 PM @TOR R $4,300
73 Justin Turner (LAD – 2B/3B) R 4:10 PM CIN R $3,800
74 A.J. Pollock (ARI – OF) R 1:35 PM @ATL R $4,700
75 Chris Carter (HOU – 1B) R 2:10 PM DET L $3,600
76 Adam LaRoche (CWS – 1B) L 2:10 PM CHC R $2,500
77 Brian Dozier (MIN – 2B) R 2:10 PM CLE R $4,400
78 Chris Johnson (CLE – 1B/3B) R 2:10 PM @MIN L $2,300
79 Mike Napoli (TEX – 1B) R 3:05 PM TB L $3,100
80 Adam Jones (BAL – OF) R 1:35 PM OAK R $4,900
81 Ben Zobrist (KC – 2B/OF) B 8:08 PM LAA L $3,900
82 Jonny Gomes (ATL – OF) R 1:35 PM ARI R $2,300
83 Andre Ethier (LAD – OF) L 4:10 PM CIN R $3,400
84 Brett Gardner (NYY – OF) L 1:07 PM @TOR R $4,600
85 Mark Canha (OAK – 1B/OF) R 1:35 PM @BAL L $3,100
86 Adrian Gonzalez (LAD – 1B) L 4:10 PM CIN R $4,600
87 Austin Jackson (SEA – OF) R 1:35 PM @BOS L $3,500
88 Jesus Montero (SEA – 1B/C) R 1:35 PM @BOS L $2,400
89 Edwin Encarnacion (TOR – 1B) R 1:07 PM NYY R $4,700
90 Abraham Almonte (CLE – OF) B 2:10 PM @MIN L $2,000
91 Brandon Guyer (TB – OF) R 3:05 PM @TEX R $3,000
92 Clint Barmes (SD – SS) R 4:10 PM @COL L $2,400
93 Joey Votto (CIN – 1B) L 4:10 PM @LAD R $4,300
94 Jhonny Peralta (STL – SS) R 2:15 PM MIA R $3,800
95 Cesar Hernandez (PHI – 2B/SS) B 2:10 PM @MIL R $3,400
96 J.D. Martinez (DET – OF) R 2:10 PM @HOU R $4,400
97 Alexander Guerrero (LAD – 3B/OF) R 4:10 PM CIN R $2,300
98 Xander Bogaerts (BOS – 3B/SS) R 1:35 PM SEA L $4,000
99 Travis Shaw (BOS – 1B/3B) L 1:35 PM SEA L $2,000
100 Jeff Francoeur (PHI – OF) R 2:10 PM @MIL R $2,700

May variance be in your favor today and every day.





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