2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings daily fantasy baseball advice for Wednesday, Aug. 5: Value-adjusted hitter and pitcher rankings

I got caught up in work yesterday and scrambled to move a bunch of scratches out of my lineups. Mistakes were made.

However, Those two late pitchers really came through for me and won some cash.

There are a handful of early games today so I’m not going to spend too much time on an introduction.

Like yesterday, here are three players (one pitcher and two hitters) I like for each of the three formats today.

Early games (2 p.m.)

P – Carlos Rodon — Rodon has horrible stats this month, including two blowout losses in his last three games. The one game sandwiched between the losses, however, was a 9-strikeout, 6-shutout-innings gem at Cleveland.

OF – Franklin Gutierrez — I keep putting him on here because Fantasy Pros keeps making him a top option. He had a pinch-hit RBI single on Tuesday and the Mariners are facing lefty Chris Rusin today, so Gutierrez should get the call and provide immense value for his price.

1B/OF – Mark Trumbo — Like Gutierrez, Trumbo should benefit from facing Rusin. He slides in as our No. 9 value-adjusted hitter overall.

Regular games (7 p.m.)

P – Drew Hutchison — He’s been Major Disappointment. Colonel C’mon. I know. But he also has a good strikeout profile, has popped out a couple big numbers this season and he only costs $5,400. All we need is serviceable, 12-15 points, at that price for us to be incontention. And if he pops for 25-30 we could win big. That said, I have one lineup with Hutchison and Madison Bumgarner and one with Gio Gonzalez and Jeff Locke.

1B – Adrian Gonzalez — Gonzalez is our No. 3 value-adjusted hitter and Fantasy Pros’ No. 6 overall hitter today. He also gets a nice lefty/right matchup against Aaron Harang.

SS – Troy Tulowitzki — Tulowitzki is grossly underpriced considering his last 10 games, during which he has averaged 8.7 fantasy points while hitting .353 with a .1073 OPS.

Late games (8 p.m.)

P – Taylor Jungmann — None of the late-game pitchers represent a value so I wouldn’t go too crazy with late lineups. Jungmann is the best of a bad bunch. Scott Kazmir‘s 16th on the pitching list and he’s the other pitcher I’m going with in my late lineup.

OF – Carlos Gomez — Gomez also ranks highly in our value-adjusted ranks (6th) and Fantasy Pros’ overall (4th). He gets a favorable matchup against the Rangers’ Nick Martinez.

1B/3B – Brett Wallace — At $2,000 Wallace represents an extreme value. Like most extreme values we have to make sure they are in the starting lineup, but he’s started three consecutive days for the Padres so I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s in there again.

Our value-adjusted rankings are created by dropping Fantasy Pros’ free daily advice into a formula to bring out the values and shake out the overpriced:

Top-15 value-adjusted pitchers

Rk Player   Opp Salary
1 M. Bumgarner (SF – P) 7:10 PM @ATL $10,600
2 Gio Gonzalez (WSH – P) 7:05 PM ARI $7,800
3 Jeff Locke (PIT – P) 7:05 PM CHC $6,200
4 Drew Hutchison (TOR – P) 7:07 PM MIN $5,400
5 Brett Anderson (LAD – P) 7:05 PM @PHI $6,700
6 Matt Harvey (NYM – P) 7:10 PM @MIA $11,000
7 Carlos Martinez (STL – P) 7:10 PM @CIN $8,700
8 Carlos Rodon (CWS – P) 2:10 PM TB $6,400
9 David Phelps (MIA – P) 7:10 PM NYM $5,000
10 David Holmberg (CIN – P) 7:10 PM STL $4,400
11 Danny Salazar (CLE – P) 3:35 PM @LAA $11,400
12 Hector Santiago (LAA – P) 3:35 PM CLE $9,400
13 Erasmo Ramirez (TB – P) 2:10 PM @CWS $6,300
14 Johnny Cueto (KC – P) 7:08 PM @DET $10,100
15 Taylor Jungmann (MIL – P) 8:10 PM SD $8,300

Top-100 value-adjusted hitters

Rk Player B Time OPP P/T Salary
1 Nelson Cruz (SEA – OF) R 3:10 PM @COL L $6,200
2 Franklin Gutierrez (SEA – OF) R 3:10 PM @COL L $3,000
3 Adrian Gonzalez (LAD – 1B) L 7:05 PM @PHI R $3,900
4 Justin Smoak (TOR – 1B) B 7:07 PM MIN R $2,600
5 Carlos Gomez (HOU – OF) R 8:05 PM @TEX R $4,500
6 Charlie Blackmon (COL – OF) L 3:10 PM SEA R $4,800
7 Bryce Harper (WSH – OF) L 7:05 PM ARI R $5,400
8 Kyle Seager (SEA – 3B) L 3:10 PM @COL L $4,900
9 Mark Trumbo (SEA – 1B/OF) R 3:10 PM @COL L $4,000
10 Ryan Braun (MIL – OF) R 8:10 PM SD R $4,400
11 Troy Tulowitzki (TOR – SS) R 7:07 PM MIN R $4,400
12 Brett Wallace (SD – 1B/3B) L 8:10 PM @MIL R $2,000
13 Manny Machado (BAL – 3B) R 3:35 PM @OAK R $4,300
14 Jose Bautista (TOR – OF) R 7:07 PM MIN R $4,900
15 Colby Rasmus (HOU – OF) L 8:05 PM @TEX R $3,400
16 Yasiel Puig (LAD – OF) R 7:05 PM @PHI R $3,400
17 Andre Ethier (LAD – OF) L 7:05 PM @PHI R $3,000
18 Justin Upton (SD – OF) R 8:10 PM @MIL R $4,400
19 Edwin Encarnacion (TOR – 1B) R 7:07 PM MIN R $4,500
20 Brett Gardner (NYY – OF) L 7:05 PM BOS R $4,900
21 Brian McCann (NYY – C) L 7:05 PM BOS R $4,300
22 Josh Donaldson (TOR – 3B) R 7:07 PM MIN R $5,300
23 Evan Longoria (TB – 3B) R 2:10 PM @CWS L $4,000
24 Carlos Gonzalez (COL – OF) L 3:10 PM SEA R $4,600
25 Ketel Marte (SEA – SS) B 3:10 PM @COL L $3,400
26 Alex Rodriguez (NYY – 3B) R 7:05 PM BOS R $5,100
27 Evan Gattis (HOU – 1B) R 8:05 PM @TEX R $4,400
28 Scott Van Slyke (LAD – OF) R 7:05 PM @PHI R $2,800
29 Mark Teixeira (NYY – 1B) B 7:05 PM BOS R $5,500
30 Brian Dozier (MIN – 2B) R 7:07 PM @TOR R $4,700
31 Brandon Moss (STL – 1B/OF) L 7:10 PM @CIN L $3,500
32 A.Guerrero (LAD – 3B/OF) R 7:05 PM @PHI R $2,500
33 Brandon Belt (SF – 1B) L 7:10 PM @ATL R $4,100
34 Nolan Arenado (COL – 3B) R 3:10 PM SEA R $5,200
35 Gerardo Parra (BAL – OF) L 3:35 PM @OAK R $3,400
36 Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY – OF) L 7:05 PM BOS R $4,600
37 Mike Trout (LAA – OF) R 3:35 PM CLE R $5,000
38 David Ortiz (BOS – 1B) L 7:05 PM @NYY $4,800
39 Ryan Raburn (CLE – OF) R 3:35 PM @LAA L $2,200
40 Gregory Polanco (PIT – OF) L 7:05 PM CHC R $3,300
41 Brandon Guyer (TB – OF) R 2:10 PM @CWS L $3,100
42 Scooter Gennett (MIL – 2B) L 8:10 PM SD R $2,700
43 Andrew McCutchen (PIT – OF) R 7:05 PM CHC R $4,500
44 Preston Tucker (HOU – OF) L 8:05 PM @TEX R $3,700
45 Carlos Beltran (NYY – OF) B 7:05 PM BOS R $3,700
46 Joc Pederson (LAD – OF) L 7:05 PM @PHI R $3,700
47 Robinson Cano (SEA – 2B) L 3:10 PM @COL L $4,900
48 Adam Lind (MIL – 1B) L 8:10 PM SD R $3,800
49 Austin Jackson (SEA – OF) R 3:10 PM @COL L $4,300
50 Chris Davis (BAL – 1B) L 3:35 PM @OAK R $4,300
51 Logan Schafer (MIL – OF) L 8:10 PM SD R $2,000
52 Mark Reynolds (STL – 1B/3B) R 7:10 PM @CIN L $3,000
53 Yangervis Solarte (SD – 1B/2B) B 8:10 PM @MIL R $3,500
54 Seth Smith (SEA – OF) L 3:10 PM @COL L $3,900
55 Stephen Piscotty (STL – OF) R 7:10 PM @CIN L $3,300
56 Matt Kemp (SD – OF) R 8:10 PM @MIL R $4,200
57 Jhonny Peralta (STL – SS) R 7:10 PM @CIN L $4,000
58 Paul Goldschmidt (ARI – 1B) R 7:05 PM @WSH L $5,000
59 Jayson Werth (WSH – OF) R 7:05 PM ARI R $3,200
60 A.J. Pollock (ARI – OF) R 7:05 PM @WSH L $4,300
61 Joey Butler (TB – 1B/OF) R 2:10 PM @CWS L $3,400
62 Joey Votto (CIN – 1B) L 7:10 PM STL R $5,200
63 Michael McKenry (COL – C) R 3:10 PM SEA R $3,000
64 Gregor Blanco (SF – OF) L 7:10 PM @ATL R $3,000
65 Luis Valbuena (HOU – 2B/3B) L 8:05 PM @TEX R $3,800
66 Carl Crawford (LAD – OF) L 7:05 PM @PHI R $2,200
67 Hanley Ramirez (BOS – OF/SS) R 7:05 PM @NYY $4,500
68 Ben Paulsen (COL – 1B/OF) L 3:10 PM SEA R $3,700
69 Jay Bruce (CIN – OF) L 7:10 PM STL R $3,900
70 Yasmani Grandal (LAD – C) B 7:05 PM @PHI R $3,500
71 David DeJesus (LAA – OF) L 3:35 PM CLE R $2,200
72 Anthony Gose (DET – OF) L 7:08 PM KC R $3,100
73 Clint Robinson (WSH – OF) L 7:05 PM ARI R $2,500
74 Adam LaRoche (CWS – 1B) L 2:10 PM TB R $2,700
75 Norichika Aoki (SF – OF) L 7:10 PM @ATL R $4,100
76 Jose Reyes (COL – SS) B 3:10 PM SEA R $4,700
77 Buster Posey (SF – 1B/C) R 7:10 PM @ATL R $5,100
78 Salvador Perez (KC – C) R 7:08 PM @DET L $3,300
79 Aramis Ramirez (PIT – 3B) R 7:05 PM CHC R $3,300
80 Russell Martin (TOR – C) R 7:07 PM MIN R $4,600
81 Albert Pujols (LAA – 1B) R 3:35 PM CLE R $3,800
82 Delino DeShields (TEX – OF) R 8:05 PM HOU L $4,000
83 D. Espinosa (WSH – 2B/3B) B 7:05 PM ARI R $3,600
84 Derek Dietrich (MIA – 3B) L 7:10 PM NYM R $2,600
85 Matt Carpenter (STL – 3B) L 7:10 PM @CIN L $4,600
86 Matt Wieters (BAL – C) B 3:35 PM @OAK R $3,200
87 Chris Colabello (TOR – OF) R 7:07 PM MIN R $4,000
88 Dexter Fowler (CHC – OF) B 7:05 PM @PIT L $3,900
89 Jose Altuve (HOU – 2B) R 8:05 PM @TEX R $5,300
90 Lucas Duda (NYM – 1B) L 7:10 PM @MIA R $5,000
91 Khris Davis (MIL – OF) R 8:10 PM SD R $3,000
92 Starling Marte (PIT – OF) R 7:05 PM CHC R $4,300
93 Welington Castillo (ARI – C) R 7:05 PM @WSH L $2,900
94 Logan Morrison (SEA – 1B/OF) L 3:10 PM @COL L $3,900
95 Logan Forsythe (TB – 1B/2B) R 2:10 PM @CWS L $3,900
96 Yan Gomes (CLE – C) R 3:35 PM @LAA L $2,900
97 Curtis Granderson (NYM – OF) L 7:10 PM @MIA R $4,500
98 A. Rendon (WSH – 2B/3B) R 7:05 PM ARI R $3,300
99 Drew Stubbs (COL – OF) R 3:10 PM SEA R $2,700
100 Adam Jones (BAL – OF) R 3:35 PM @OAK R $4,700

May variance be in your favor today and every day.

If you win big with any of this advice, please come back and tell us about it in the comments.





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