Draft Kings daily fantasy baseball plays for Friday, July 31: Value-adjusted hitter and pitcher rankings
As we ramp up our fantasy football coverage there is less time to write fantasy baseball. But I recommend playing daily fantasy baseball on Fridays, especially on Draft Kings, so I’m getting this out here today.
There are usually a couple killer contests on Fridays. I’ve been competing in the $3 Moonshot just about every Friday for a while. Tonight’s contest has $135,000 in prizes and a $10,000 top prize. So we could turn $3 into $10,000. It’s worth a shot.
Like I said, we’re ramping up our fantasy football coverage, as I’m sure many of you have noticed. That also leaves less time for fantasy baseball research.
To help with that I’ve created a new formula. I drop in the projections from Fantasy Pros‘ daily fantasy section and it spits out a value-adjusted ranking that brings values to the forefront while keeping studs where they should be, if they should be there.
Here’s what it came up with:
Top-10 value adjusted pitchers
|Clayton Kershaw (LAD – P)||LAA||$14,500|
|Matt Harvey (NYM – P)||WSH||$11,200|
|Michael Wacha (STL – P)||COL||$9,000|
|Johnny Cueto (KC – P)||@TOR||$10,000|
|Gio Gonzalez (WSH – P)||@NYM||$8,700|
|Jason Hammel (CHC – P)||@MIL||$8,100|
|David Phelps (MIA – P)||SD||$5,300|
|Carlos Rodon (CWS – P)||NYY||$6,500|
|Madison Bumgarner (SF – P)||@TEX||$10,300|
Like I said, the top guys are still at the top and there’s probably a consensus of writers out there who agree Clayton Kershaw and Matt Harvey are the top options.
My lineups have a couple different pairings. I’ve got Michael Wacha, Gio Gonzalez and David Phelps in most of them. Phelps is the best value on the board, followed by Wacha then Carlos Rodon.
Top 30 value-adjusted hitters
|Nelson Cruz (SEA – OF)||R||@MIN||L||$5,100|
|Paul Goldschmidt (ARI – 1B)||R||@HOU||R||$5,600|
|Freddie Freeman (ATL – 1B)||L||@PHI||$4,200|
|Manny Machado (BAL – 3B)||R||DET||R||$4,400|
|A. McCutchen (PIT – OF)||R||@CIN||R||$4,900|
|Starling Marte (PIT – OF)||R||@CIN||R||$4,800|
|David Lough (BAL – OF)||L||DET||R||$2,000|
|Cameron Maybin (ATL – OF)||R||@PHI||–||$3,500|
|Gregory Polanco (PIT – OF)||L||@CIN||R||$3,500|
|F. Gutierrez (SEA – OF)||R||@MIN||L||$2,600|
|Carlos Gomez (MIL – OF)||R||CHC||R||$4,000|
|Brian Dozier (MIN – 2B)||R||SEA||R||$4,900|
|Adam Jones (BAL – OF)||R||DET||R||$4,700|
|Evan Gattis (HOU – 1B)||R||ARI||R||$3,600|
|Ivan De Jesus (CIN – 2B/SS)||R||PIT||L||$2,700|
|Justin Bour (MIA – 1B)||L||SD||R||$2,700|
|Pedro Alvarez (PIT – 1B/3B)||L||@CIN||R||$3,400|
|Brandon Guyer (TB – OF)||R||@BOS||L||$3,100|
|Chris Davis (BAL – 1B)||L||DET||R||$4,400|
|Josh Donaldson (TOR – 3B)||R||KC||R||$4,200|
|Matt Kemp (SD – OF)||R||@MIA||R||$4,300|
|Nolan Reimold (BAL – OF)||R||DET||R||$2,600|
|Chris Coghlan (CHC – OF)||L||@MIL||R||$3,500|
|Justin Turner (LAD – 2B/3B)||R||LAA||L||$3,800|
|J.D. Martinez (DET – OF)||R||@BAL||L||$4,600|
|Melvin Upton Jr. (SD – OF)||R||@MIA||R||$2,700|
|Steven Souza (TB – OF)||R||@BOS||L||$3,900|
|Brandon Belt (SF – 1B)||L||@TEX||R||$4,200|
|Todd Frazier (CIN – 1B/3B)||R||PIT||L||$5,000|
|Buster Posey (SF – 1B/C)||R||@TEX||R||$5,400|
|Yasmani Grandal (LAD – C)||B||LAA||L||$3,300|
|John Jaso (TB – C)||L||@BOS||L||$3,100|
|Matt Wieters (BAL – C)||B||DET||R||$3,100|
*Top-30 plus a few catching options which weren’t included in the top 30
Everybody in that top-10 is in at least one of my lineups today.
Ivan De Jesus Jr., either as a second baseman or shortstop, is in every one of my lineups.
Orioles OF David Lough is in one of my lineups. I don’t necessarily trust him to start, but he does have a lefty/righty split advantage, has been playing and costs only $2,000. If he starts he’s almost a must-play because of the salary relief.
Nelson Cruz, Freddie Freeman, Manny Machado and Andrew McCutchen are also in almost all of my lineups. Building with Phelps and Gonzalez as your starting pitchers lets you stack top hitters. You can even afford 2B Brian Dozier, 1B/3B Todd Frazier, 1B/C Buster Posey and 1B Paul Goldschmidt.
Lough represents the best value on the board, followed by Franklin Gutierrez, De Jesus, Justin Bour, Nolan Remiold and Melvin Upton Jr. I don’t have Bour, Reimold and Upton Jr. in any of my lineups. That should be enough to make them locks for 2-homer games.
May variance be in your favor today and every day.
If you win big using any of this information, please come back and tells us about it in the comments.