2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings daily fantasy baseball plays for Friday, July 31: Value-adjusted hitter and pitcher rankings

As we ramp up our fantasy football coverage there is less time to write fantasy baseball. But I recommend playing daily fantasy baseball on Fridays, especially on Draft Kings, so I’m getting this out here today.

There are usually a couple killer contests on Fridays. I’ve been competing in the $3 Moonshot just about every Friday for a while. Tonight’s contest has $135,000 in prizes and a $10,000 top prize. So we could turn $3 into $10,000. It’s worth a shot.

Like I said, we’re ramping up our fantasy football coverage, as I’m sure many of you have noticed. That also leaves less time for fantasy baseball research.

To help with that I’ve created a new formula. I drop in the projections from Fantasy Pros‘ daily fantasy section and it spits out a value-adjusted ranking that brings values to the forefront while keeping studs where they should be, if they should be there.

Here’s what it came up with:

Top-10 value adjusted pitchers

Player Opp Salary
Clayton Kershaw (LAD – P) LAA $14,500
Matt Harvey (NYM – P) WSH $11,200
Michael Wacha (STL – P) COL $9,000
Johnny Cueto (KC – P) @TOR $10,000
Gio Gonzalez (WSH – P) @NYM $8,700
Jason Hammel (CHC – P) @MIL $8,100
David Phelps (MIA – P) SD $5,300
Carlos Rodon (CWS – P) NYY $6,500
Madison Bumgarner (SF – P) @TEX $10,300


Like I said, the top guys are still at the top and there’s probably a consensus of writers out there who agree Clayton Kershaw and Matt Harvey are the top options.

My lineups have a couple different pairings. I’ve got Michael Wacha, Gio Gonzalez and David Phelps in most of them. Phelps is the best value on the board, followed by Wacha then Carlos Rodon.

Top 30 value-adjusted hitters

Player B OPP P/T Salary
Nelson Cruz (SEA – OF) R @MIN L $5,100
Paul Goldschmidt (ARI – 1B) R @HOU R $5,600
Freddie Freeman (ATL – 1B) L @PHI $4,200
Manny Machado (BAL – 3B) R DET R $4,400
A. McCutchen (PIT – OF) R @CIN R $4,900
Starling Marte (PIT – OF) R @CIN R $4,800
David Lough (BAL – OF) L DET R $2,000
Cameron Maybin (ATL – OF) R @PHI $3,500
Gregory Polanco (PIT – OF) L @CIN R $3,500
F. Gutierrez (SEA – OF) R @MIN L $2,600
Carlos Gomez (MIL – OF) R CHC R $4,000
Brian Dozier (MIN – 2B) R SEA R $4,900
Adam Jones (BAL – OF) R DET R $4,700
Evan Gattis (HOU – 1B) R ARI R $3,600
Ivan De Jesus (CIN – 2B/SS) R PIT L $2,700
Justin Bour (MIA – 1B) L SD R $2,700
Pedro Alvarez (PIT – 1B/3B) L @CIN R $3,400
Brandon Guyer (TB – OF) R @BOS L $3,100
Chris Davis (BAL – 1B) L DET R $4,400
Josh Donaldson (TOR – 3B) R KC R $4,200
Matt Kemp (SD – OF) R @MIA R $4,300
Nolan Reimold (BAL – OF) R DET R $2,600
Chris Coghlan (CHC – OF) L @MIL R $3,500
Justin Turner (LAD – 2B/3B) R LAA L $3,800
J.D. Martinez (DET – OF) R @BAL L $4,600
Melvin Upton Jr. (SD – OF) R @MIA R $2,700
Steven Souza (TB – OF) R @BOS L $3,900
Brandon Belt (SF – 1B) L @TEX R $4,200
Todd Frazier (CIN – 1B/3B) R PIT L $5,000
Buster Posey (SF – 1B/C) R @TEX R $5,400
Yasmani Grandal (LAD – C) B LAA L $3,300
John Jaso (TB – C) L @BOS L $3,100
Matt Wieters (BAL – C) B DET R $3,100

*Top-30 plus a few catching options which weren’t included in the top 30

Everybody in that top-10 is in at least one of my lineups today.

Ivan De Jesus Jr., either as a second baseman or shortstop, is in every one of my lineups.

Orioles OF David Lough is in one of my lineups. I don’t necessarily trust him to start, but he does have a lefty/righty split advantage, has been playing and costs only $2,000. If he starts he’s almost a must-play because of the salary relief.

Nelson Cruz, Freddie Freeman, Manny Machado and Andrew McCutchen are also in almost all of my lineups. Building with Phelps and Gonzalez as your starting pitchers lets you stack top hitters. You can even afford 2B Brian Dozier, 1B/3B Todd Frazier, 1B/C Buster Posey and 1B Paul Goldschmidt.

Lough represents the best value on the board, followed by Franklin Gutierrez, De Jesus, Justin Bour, Nolan Remiold and Melvin Upton Jr. I don’t have Bour, Reimold and Upton Jr. in any of my lineups. That should be enough to make them locks for 2-homer games.

May variance be in your favor today and every day.

If you win big using any of this information, please come back and tells us about it in the comments.

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