2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings daily fantasy baseball plays for Thursday, April 23

There are a lot of early games today and some very interesting things going on.

I’m going to keep the blather to a minimum. Let’s get to it.

Las Vegas has a ton of interesting lines. They have little confidence in any of the early games. Only 12 teams can win today, but 16 have negative money lines. The lower the line (-150 or -200) the more likely a team is to win.

There are several pitching matchups that could go either way and two starting pitchers who aren’t in Draft Kings database.

That said, there are a handful of interesting options.

Max Scherzer and Clay Buchholz seem to be the top options today, although I, like Las Vegas, don’t have a ton of confidence in Buchholz.

Bartolo Colon is an intriguing pick. Anibal Sanchez has a better strikeout potential in the same price range, but he is significantly less likely to win.

Las Vegas is on the Yankees to keep winning today against the Tigers. As a Yankees fan, I’m not so sure they’ve got this one right even with Masahiro Tanaka on the mound.

Speaking of Tanaka, our rankings suggest he’s pretty overated today. The Tigers don’t strike out a ton and that weighted on-base average matchup looks shaky.

If you want some high strikeout upside, pairing Sanchez with Drew Hutchison could reap some rewards. The Orioles have struck out seventh-most in MLB. Hutchison has the seventh highest K rating. The Blue Jays are also the fourth-most likely team to win. They are playing at the Rogers Centre, but if Hutchison can keep it in the park (Jose Bautista is ailing) he could provide serious upside at $6,700.

Although the Royals have struck out less than any team in baseball, Chris Sale still has to be an option. We think he’ll pitch second longest out of all pitchers, he has the highest win probability according to Las Vegas and has the second-highest K profile. I’d recommend going with Scherzer if you’re going to fit one of the two big guns in your lineups today.

Starting pitcher rankings for Thursday, April 23

PITCHER Tm Opp DK W wOBA K/O K/P IP Park AVG
1 Max Scherzer WAS STL $12,100 2 7 28 1 1 4 7.17
2 Clay Buchholz BOS TBR 7400 16 10 6 11 7 8 9.67
3 Bartolo Colon NYM ATL $8,400 3 3 27 15 4 10 10.33
4 Chris Sale CWS KCR $11,000 1 14 30 2 2 20 11.50
5 Anibal Sanchez DET NYY $8,100 17 8 8 8 13 16 11.67
6 Jake Odorizzi TBR BOS $8,200 12 6 17 9 18 8 11.67
7 Jeff Locke PIT CHC 6700 5 13 10 21 20 3 12.00
9 Masahiro Tanaka NYY DET $9,600 8 23 20 3 3 16 12.17
8 Homer Bailey CIN MIL $8,200 11 17 4 12 8 22 12.33
11 Julio Teheran ATL NYM 9200 22 5 29 6 5 10 12.83
10 Kyle Hendricks CHC PIT $7,000 20 20 5 18 15 3 13.50
12 Drew Hutchison TOR BAL $6,700 4 19 7 7 16 28 13.50
13 Michael Wacha STL WAS $8,200 23 18 2 14 21 4 13.67
14 Kyle Lohse MIL CIN $6,100 14 2 12 22 12 22 14.00
15 Tyson Ross SDP COL $7,600 7 24 15 4 6 30 14.33
16 Jesse Chavez OAK LAA $4,300 10 16 13 20 23 6 14.67
17 David Phelps MIA PHI $4,400 6 4 16 19 22 24 15.17
18 Ryan Vogelsong SFG LAD $5,900 13 21 22 17 19 1 15.50
19 Yordano Ventura KCR CWS $7,100 24 15 18 10 10 20 16.17
20 Jordan Lyles COL SDP $5,300 19 1 9 23 17 30 16.50
21 Dustin McGowan PHI MIA 4,000 18 11 3 24 24 24 17.33
22 Chris Tillman BAL TOR $6,500 21 22 26 16 11 28 20.67
23 Michael Bolsinger LAD SFG 99 99 99 99 99 99 99.00
25 Nick Tropeano LAA OAK 99 99 99 99 99 99 99.00

I will update with some hitter info in a couple minutes. I’m not going to make it in time for the early slate.

But a good rule of thumb is to look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list — The Blue Jays at home against Chris Tillman look good, so do the Athletics and Giants against two inexperienced pitchers. Marlins batters against Dustin McGowan and Padres hitters against Jordan Lyles are a good call.

That Rockies-Padres game has a 10.5 over/under. I don’t need to tell you to get some of that.

[HITTER UPDATE – 12:30]

The hot streakers with low BABIP are similar to yesterday with the following additions: Hanley Ramirez, Ben Revere and Eric Campbell. The players from yesterday: Freddie Freeman, Stephen Drew, Starling Marte, Todd Frazier, Miguel Montero, Brandon Crawford, Russell Martin.

Good luck today and every day.





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