There are a lot of early games today and some very interesting things going on.
I’m going to keep the blather to a minimum. Let’s get to it.
Las Vegas has a ton of interesting lines. They have little confidence in any of the early games. Only 12 teams can win today, but 16 have negative money lines. The lower the line (-150 or -200) the more likely a team is to win.
There are several pitching matchups that could go either way and two starting pitchers who aren’t in Draft Kings database.
That said, there are a handful of interesting options.
Max Scherzer and Clay Buchholz seem to be the top options today, although I, like Las Vegas, don’t have a ton of confidence in Buchholz.
Bartolo Colon is an intriguing pick. Anibal Sanchez has a better strikeout potential in the same price range, but he is significantly less likely to win.
Las Vegas is on the Yankees to keep winning today against the Tigers. As a Yankees fan, I’m not so sure they’ve got this one right even with Masahiro Tanaka on the mound.
Speaking of Tanaka, our rankings suggest he’s pretty overated today. The Tigers don’t strike out a ton and that weighted on-base average matchup looks shaky.
If you want some high strikeout upside, pairing Sanchez with Drew Hutchison could reap some rewards. The Orioles have struck out seventh-most in MLB. Hutchison has the seventh highest K rating. The Blue Jays are also the fourth-most likely team to win. They are playing at the Rogers Centre, but if Hutchison can keep it in the park (Jose Bautista is ailing) he could provide serious upside at $6,700.
Although the Royals have struck out less than any team in baseball, Chris Sale still has to be an option. We think he’ll pitch second longest out of all pitchers, he has the highest win probability according to Las Vegas and has the second-highest K profile. I’d recommend going with Scherzer if you’re going to fit one of the two big guns in your lineups today.
Starting pitcher rankings for Thursday, April 23
I will update with some hitter info in a couple minutes. I’m not going to make it in time for the early slate.
But a good rule of thumb is to look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list — The Blue Jays at home against Chris Tillman look good, so do the Athletics and Giants against two inexperienced pitchers. Marlins batters against Dustin McGowan and Padres hitters against Jordan Lyles are a good call.
That Rockies-Padres game has a 10.5 over/under. I don’t need to tell you to get some of that.
[HITTER UPDATE – 12:30]
The hot streakers with low BABIP are similar to yesterday with the following additions: Hanley Ramirez, Ben Revere and Eric Campbell. The players from yesterday: Freddie Freeman, Stephen Drew, Starling Marte, Todd Frazier, Miguel Montero, Brandon Crawford, Russell Martin.
Good luck today and every day.