2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings daily fantasy baseball plays for Tuesday, Aug. 4: Value-adjusted hitter and pitcher rankings

Yesterday’s lists helped me cash in both a low-end 50/50 and a low-end tournament. I’m liking the results from this formula so far, but we’ll need a little more success before we label it a winner.

Today I extended the pitchers list to 15 and the hitters list to 100 because there were a few late scratches last night that forced me to dive below the rankings I provided here. Yangervis Solarte, who crushed for 34 fantasy points, was just off the chart and the next value 2B on the board.

Here was my best lineup yesterday using our value-adjusted rankings. I just wish I’d entered it into a tournament instead of a 50/50:

Pos Player FPTS  
P Corey Kluber P 4.15 lock
P Jose Quintana P 18.1 lock
C Buster Posey 21 lock
1B Justin Smoak 5 lock
2B Y. Solarte 34 lock
3B Kyle Seager 33 lock
SS Ketel Marte 0 lock
OF Charlie Blackmon 20 lock
OF Nelson Cruz 22 lock
OF Melvin Upton Jr. 13 lock
TOTAL FANTASY POINTS: 170.25

Corey Kluber left us hanging and Ketel Marte was a zilch, but otherwise a pretty great lineup, especially in cash games. I finished second out of 40 in my contest.

Well, let’s get back to it. There are three sets of contests today, regular, Turbo and late. The regular games include all players from 7 p.m. until close. The turbo games are only games in the 8 p.m. range and the late games start after 10 p.m. It’s smart to play in all three kinds of games. The .25-cent contests are great on days like today and there are plenty of free contests available if you just want to test the water. Playing in all the formats forces you to diversify your lineups, increasing your exposure to variance.

Here are three players — one pitcher and two hitters — I recommend today for each of the three formats.

7 p.m. games

SP Alex Wood — I’m pairing Wood and Chris Sale in what I consider my best lineup today. Wood’s adjusted projections is just outside the top four, but his salary, $7,400, is almost half as much as what you’ll pay for top dog Max Scherzer ($13,500).

1B Adrian Gonzalez — Lefty/righty edge and he gets to face the Phillies’ Jerome Williams.

SS Troy Tulowitzki — Tulo’s salary is 77th-highest among hitters today, but the Fantasy Pros think he’ll be a top-10 hitter.

Turbo games (8 p.m.)

SP Chris Sale — The only reason I didn’t put Sale in the list above is because he’s our top Turbo pitcher as well. In the turbo contest I’m pairing him with Chris Archer for a high-priced pitcher/value hitter lineup.

OF Ryan Braun — Braun is in every lineup I can get him in today. He’s our No. 2 hitter behind only Gonzalez.

3B Kyle Seager — Like Braun, I have Seager in every lineup I can. He’s going to be greater owned after last night’s 33-point performance, but he still provides one of the best value/production profiles today

Late games (10 p.m.)

SP Carlos Carrasco — There are only four pitchers and four teams to pick from in the late games so we can expect very high variance. Carrasco is our No. 7 overall pitcher today and the top pitcher in this format by a pretty wide margin.

OF Mike Trout — But EP, Trout’s not on your list? I know that, but he’s still a monster OF. With such a short slate and only value pitchers to pick, we’ve got money pouring out of our ears so we pay up for the best bat in MLB.

1B Chris Davis — Davis is the top batter on our value-adjusted list. There are a couple other Orioles on here facing the Athletics’ Chris Bassitt. It’s odd because Bassitt is our No. 2 pitcher. On such a short slate you have to make some compromises. This one feels a little gross, but you have to roster a second pitcher to post a valid lineup. How’s that for a vote of confidence in Bassitt?

Our value-adjusted rankings are created by dropping Fantasy Pros’ free daily advice into a formula to bring out the values and shake out the overpriced:

Top 15 value-adjusted pitchers for Aug. 4

Rk Player Opp Salary
1 Chris Sale (CWS – P) 8:10 PM TB $12,000
2 Max Scherzer (WSH – P) 7:05 PM ARI $13,500
3 Jake Arrieta (CHC – P) 7:05 PM @PIT $11,500
4 Alex Wood (LAD – P) 7:05 PM @PHI $7,400
5 Marco Estrada (TOR – P) 7:07 PM MIN $6,300
6 Chris Archer (TB – P) 8:10 PM @CWS $11,700
7 Carlos Carrasco (CLE – P) 10:05 PM @LAA $10,200
8 Masahiro Tanaka (NYY – P) 7:05 PM BOS $9,800
9 Jimmy Nelson (MIL – P) 8:10 PM SD $8,200
10 J.A. Happ (PIT – P) 7:05 PM CHC $6,500
11 Chris Bassitt (OAK – P) 10:05 PM BAL $4,400
12 Jake Peavy (SF – P) 7:10 PM @ATL $6,400
13 Brad Hand (MIA – P) 7:10 PM NYM $4,000
14 John Lackey (STL – P) 7:10 PM @CIN $8,800
15 Andrew Cashner (SD – P) 8:10 PM @MIL $6,000

Top 100 value-adjusted hitters for Aug. 4

Rk Player B OPP P/T Time Salary
1 Adrian Gonzalez (LAD – 1B) L @PHI R 7:05 PM $4,000
2 Ryan Braun (MIL – OF) R SD R 8:10 PM $4,400
3 Troy Tulowitzki (TOR – SS) R MIN R 7:07 PM $3,900
4 Scott Van Slyke (LAD – OF) R @PHI R 7:05 PM $2,900
5 Andre Ethier (LAD – OF) L @PHI R 7:05 PM $3,100
6 Jose Bautista (TOR – OF) R MIN R 7:07 PM $4,500
7 Kyle Seager (SEA – 3B) L @COL 8:40 PM $3,800
8 Franklin Gutierrez (SEA – OF) R @COL 8:40 PM $2,900
9 Alex Rodriguez (NYY – 3B) R BOS 7:05 PM $4,800
10 Yasiel Puig (LAD – OF) R @PHI R 7:05 PM $3,400
11 A. Guerrero (LAD – 3B/OF) R @PHI R 7:05 PM $2,500
12 Brian Dozier (MIN – 2B) R @TOR R 7:07 PM $4,800
13 Josh Donaldson (TOR – 3B) R MIN R 7:07 PM $4,700
14 Justin Smoak (TOR – 1B) B MIN R 7:07 PM $2,400
15 Mark Teixeira (NYY – 1B) B BOS 7:05 PM $5,100
16 Freddie Freeman (ATL – 1B) L SF R 7:10 PM $4,300
17 Todd Frazier (CIN – 1B/3B) R STL R 7:10 PM $4,500
18 Drew Stubbs (COL – OF) R SEA L 8:40 PM $2,600
19 Michael McKenry (COL – C) R SEA L 8:40 PM $3,300
20 Nelson Cruz (SEA – OF) R @COL 8:40 PM $6,100
21 Edwin Encarnacion (TOR – 1B) R MIN R 7:07 PM $4,100
22 A. Rendon (WSH – 2B/3B) R ARI L 7:05 PM $3,400
23 Carlos Gomez (HOU – OF) R @TEX R 8:05 PM $4,300
24 Ketel Marte (SEA – SS) B @COL 8:40 PM $2,000
25 Joey Votto (CIN – 1B) L STL R 7:10 PM $4,700
26 Yasmani Grandal (LAD – C) B @PHI R 7:05 PM $3,500
27 Adam Lind (MIL – 1B) L SD R 8:10 PM $3,900
28 Brian McCann (NYY – C) L BOS 7:05 PM $3,800
29 Preston Tucker (HOU – OF) L @TEX R 8:05 PM $3,600
30 Brett Gardner (NYY – OF) L BOS 7:05 PM $4,700
31 Justin Upton (SD – OF) R @MIL R 8:10 PM $4,200
32 Chris Davis (BAL – 1B) L @OAK R 10:05 PM $4,400
33 David Ortiz (BOS – 1B) L @NYY R 7:05 PM $4,100
34 Nolan Arenado (COL – 3B) R SEA L 8:40 PM $5,000
35 Seth Smith (SEA – OF) L @COL 8:40 PM $3,600
36 Joc Pederson (LAD – OF) L @PHI R 7:05 PM $3,800
37 Hanley Ramirez (BOS – OF/SS) R @NYY R 7:05 PM $3,800
38 Manny Machado (BAL – 3B) R @OAK R 10:05 PM $4,600
39 Brad Miller (SEA – SS) L @COL 8:40 PM $3,300
40 Prince Fielder (TEX – 1B) L HOU R 8:05 PM $4,300
41 Miguel Rojas (MIA – 3B/SS) R NYM L 7:10 PM $2,000
42 Albert Pujols (LAA – 1B) R CLE R 10:05 PM $4,000
43 Charlie Blackmon (COL – OF) L SEA L 8:40 PM $5,300
44 Jimmy Rollins (LAD – SS) B @PHI R 7:05 PM $3,400
45 Norichika Aoki (SF – OF) L @ATL R 7:10 PM $3,400
46 D. Espinosa (WSH – 2B/3B) B ARI L 7:05 PM $3,100
47 Derek Dietrich (MIA – 3B) L NYM L 7:10 PM $2,500
48 Victor Martinez (DET – 1B) B KC L 7:08 PM $3,100
49 Will Venable (SD – OF) L @MIL R 8:10 PM $3,000
50 Colby Rasmus (HOU – OF) L @TEX R 8:05 PM $3,300
51 Buster Posey (SF – 1B/C) R @ATL R 7:10 PM $4,400
52 Ryan Howard (PHI – 1B) L LAD L 7:05 PM $3,700
53 Jayson Werth (WSH – OF) R ARI L 7:05 PM $3,100
54 Mike Moustakas (KC – 3B) L @DET R 7:08 PM $3,200
55 Brett Wallace (SD – 1B/3B) L @MIL R 8:10 PM $2,000
56 Yoenis Cespedes (NYM – OF) R @MIA L 7:10 PM $4,500
57 J.D. Martinez (DET – OF) R KC L 7:08 PM $4,700
58 Jeff Francoeur (PHI – OF) R LAD L 7:05 PM $2,400
59 Rougned Odor (TEX – 2B) L HOU R 8:05 PM $3,800
60 Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY – OF) L BOS 7:05 PM $4,300
61 Carl Crawford (LAD – OF) L @PHI R 7:05 PM $2,300
62 Gerardo Parra (BAL – OF) L @OAK R 10:05 PM $3,800
63 Logan Morrison (SEA – 1B/OF) L @COL 8:40 PM $3,600
64 Logan Schafer (MIL – OF) L SD R 8:10 PM $2,000
65 Matt Kemp (SD – OF) R @MIL R 8:10 PM $4,000
66 Ryan Raburn (CLE – OF) R @LAA R 10:05 PM $2,100
67 Stephen Vogt (OAK – 1B/C) L BAL R 10:05 PM $3,600
68 R. Zimmerman (WSH – 1B/3B) R ARI L 7:05 PM $3,300
69 Delino DeShields (TEX – OF) R HOU R 8:05 PM $4,000
70 Gregor Blanco (SF – OF) L @ATL R 7:10 PM $2,900
71 Evan Gattis (HOU – 1B) R @TEX R 8:05 PM $4,300
72 Khris Davis (MIL – OF) R SD R 8:10 PM $3,000
73 Matt Carpenter (STL – 3B) L @CIN R 7:10 PM $4,400
74 Josh Reddick (OAK – OF) L BAL R 10:05 PM $4,000
75 Bryce Harper (WSH – OF) L ARI L 7:05 PM $5,500
76 Howie Kendrick (LAD – 2B) R @PHI R 7:05 PM $4,200
77 Robinson Cano (SEA – 2B) L @COL 8:40 PM $4,700
78 Jose Reyes (COL – SS) B SEA L 8:40 PM $4,800
79 Dexter Fowler (CHC – OF) B @PIT L 7:05 PM $3,800
80 Carlos Santana (CLE – 1B/3B) B @LAA R 10:05 PM $3,500
81 Curt Casali (TB – C) R @CWS L 8:10 PM $2,900
82 Dioner Navarro (TOR – C) B MIN R 7:07 PM $2,800
83 David Murphy (LAA – OF) L CLE R 10:05 PM $2,300
84 Carlos Gonzalez (COL – OF) L SEA L 8:40 PM $5,400
85 Stephen Piscotty (STL – OF) R @CIN R 7:10 PM $3,100
86 Brandon Moss (STL – 1B/OF) L @CIN R 7:10 PM $3,300
87 Scooter Gennett (MIL – 2B) L SD R 8:10 PM $2,800
88 Chris Colabello (TOR – OF) R MIN R 7:07 PM $3,600
89 Matt Wieters (BAL – C) B @OAK R 10:05 PM $3,000
90 Adam Jones (BAL – OF) R @OAK R 10:05 PM $4,100
91 Jay Bruce (CIN – OF) L STL R 7:10 PM $4,200
92 Kolten Wong (STL – 2B) L @CIN R 7:10 PM $4,000
93 Mark Trumbo (SEA – 1B/OF) R @COL 8:40 PM $4,200
94 Adam LaRoche (CWS – 1B) L TB R 8:10 PM $2,500
95 David Peralta (ARI – OF) L @WSH R 7:05 PM $2,700
96 Dee Gordon (MIA – 2B) L NYM L 7:10 PM $4,200
97 Kole Calhoun (LAA – OF) L CLE R 10:05 PM $3,600
98 Chris Johnson (ATL – 1B/3B) R SF R 7:10 PM $2,000
99 Jake Smolinski (OAK – OF) R BAL R 10:05 PM $2,000
100 Martin Prado (MIA – 2B/3B) R NYM L 7:10 PM $3,300

May variance be in your favor today and every day.

If you win big using any of this information please come back here and tell us about it.

If you play fantasy football be sure to check out our 2015 preseason content which is being archived in our 2015 Draft Kit.





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