I’ll be brief again today because opening pitch for the early games is less than an hour away.
I’ve noticed some inconsistencies with some of the statistics I use for my research. I hope it’s an early season problem, but I’m not sure. I had to do a bit of extra digging today and potentially added my own mistakes into the equation.
Most stackable lineups for Sunday, April 12
I’ll be making Colorado, Houston and Baltimore stacks. It didn’t show up on the chart, but we also need to consider St. Louis against Raisel Iglesias, who is making his first Major League appearance today, and Milwaukee against Casey Sadler, who gave up 9 earned runs in 10.1 innings pitched last season, his first taste of the Majors. Sadler played in six games but this is his first start.
Hitter value plays
A smart strategy, whether you go pitcher-heavy or stack-heavy, is to dig up starters batting high in the order with low salaries. For instance, Mark Canha, $2,700, is batting second for the Athletics, with Sam Fuld, $3,000, batting ahead of him in the leadoff spot. Juan Lagares, $3,500 is batting leadoff for the Mets, Eric Young Jr., $3,200, is hitting first for the Braves, and Jace Peterson, $3,300, is batting second.
Pitchers to start for Sunday, April 12
Max Scherzer and Zack Grienke are the safest plays on the board today. Jake Peavy and Tyson Ross are probably the best values — not in a bargain basement sense, but they probably will give the most bang for your buck based on the metrics I use to rank the pitchers (wins, as determined by Las Vegas, weighted on-base average, opponent strikeouts, pitcher strikeouts and park factor).
Masahiro Tanaka and Clay Buchholz have to be considered for tournament plays because of their strikeout potential. The Red Sox have struck out the eighth-most this season. The Yankees have struck out the fifth most. Both are risky because of Yankee Stadium and because Las Vegas doesn’t have high confidence which team will win, but risks win tournaments.