2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings daily plays for Sunday, April 12: Starting pitchers and hitting stacks

I’ll be brief again today because opening pitch for the early games is less than an hour away.

I’ve noticed some inconsistencies with some of the statistics I use for my research. I hope it’s an early season problem, but I’m not sure. I had to do a bit of extra digging today and potentially added my own mistakes into the equation.

Most stackable lineups for Sunday, April 12

Opp-SP
1 Colorado Hendricks
2 LA Dodgers Collmenter
3 Houston Lewis
4 Chicago Cubs Lyles
5 Baltimore Hutchison
6 Cleveland Lobstein
7 Detroit House
8 Toronto Tillman
9 Pittsburgh Lohse

I’ll be making Colorado, Houston and Baltimore stacks. It didn’t show up on the chart, but we also need to consider St. Louis against Raisel Iglesias, who is making his first Major League appearance today, and Milwaukee against Casey Sadler, who gave up 9 earned runs in 10.1 innings pitched last season, his first taste of the Majors. Sadler played in six games but this is his first start.

Hitter value plays

A smart strategy, whether you go pitcher-heavy or stack-heavy, is to dig up starters batting high in the order with low salaries. For instance, Mark Canha, $2,700, is batting second for the Athletics, with Sam Fuld, $3,000, batting ahead of him in the leadoff spot. Juan Lagares, $3,500 is batting leadoff for the Mets, Eric Young Jr., $3,200, is hitting first for the Braves, and Jace Peterson, $3,300, is batting second.

Pitchers to start for Sunday, April 12

Tm Opp DK W wOBA K/O K/P Park AVG
1 Jake Peavy SFG SDP $7,400 26 2 2 7 1 7.60
2 Tyson Ross SDP SFG $8,300 5 14 13 5 1 7.60
3 Alex Wood ATL NYM $9,100 12 1 12 9 19 10.60
4 Max Scherzer WAS PHI 12,100 1 6 23 3 24 11.40
5 Felix Hernandez SEA OAK $11,000 6 20 18 2 13 11.80
6 Colby Lewis TEX HOU $7,300 22 8 3 13 15 12.20
7 H. Alvarez MIA TBR $6,400 3 11 17 24 7 12.40
8 Nate Karns TBR MIA $5,700 28 13 10 6 7 12.80
9 Masahiro Tanaka NYY BOS $10,300 14 12 8 1 29 12.80
10 Carlos Martinez STL CIN $7,300 10 5 1 25 26 13.40
11 Zack Greinke LAD ARI $10,100 2 9 21 10 27 13.80
12 Clay Buchholz BOS NYY $7,300 17 10 5 8 29 13.80
13 Yordano Ventura KCR LAA $7,400 18 19 15 14 6 14.40
14 Kyle Lohse MIL PIT $7,500 7 22 1 20 22 14.40
15 Chris Sale CWS MIN 10600 4 28 16 4 20 14.40
16 Drew Hutchison TOR BAL $7,600 16 21 14 11 11 14.60
17 Dallas Keuchel HOU TEX $7,500 9 25 9 15 15 14.60
18 Bartolo Colon NYM ATL $6,900 21 3 29 4 19 15.20
19 Kyle Lobstein DET CLE $5,500 20 7 20 12 18 15.40
20 Chris Tillman BAL TOR $7,500 15 24 6 21 11 15.40
21 Jordan Lyles COL CHC $6,600 8 4 19 17 30 15.60
22 C.J. Wilson LAA KCR $7,000 13 17 30 23 6 17.80
23 Phil Hughes MIN CWS $8,700 27 16 26 3 20 18.40
24 Jesse Hahn OAK SEA $5,800 25 15 28 16 13 19.40
25 T.J. House CLE DET $6,200 11 27 27 18 18 20.20
26 Sean O’Sullivan PHI WAS $5,400 30 18 4 26 24 20.40
27 Josh Collmenter ARI LAD $6,300 29 23 7 22 27 21.60
28 Casey Sadler PIT MIL 4900 23 17 22 30 22 22.80
29 Raisel Iglesias CIN STL 5000 19 25 24 29 26 24.60
30 Kyle Hendricks CHC COL $8,300 24 26 25 19 30 24.80

Cash games

Max Scherzer and Zack Grienke are the safest plays on the board today. Jake Peavy and Tyson Ross are probably the best values — not in a bargain basement sense, but they probably will give the most bang for your buck based on the metrics I use to rank the pitchers (wins, as determined by Las Vegas, weighted on-base average, opponent strikeouts, pitcher strikeouts and park factor).

Tournaments/GPPs

Masahiro Tanaka and Clay Buchholz have to be considered for tournament plays because of their strikeout potential. The Red Sox have struck out the eighth-most this season. The Yankees have struck out the fifth most. Both are risky because of Yankee Stadium and because Las Vegas doesn’t have high confidence which team will win, but risks win tournaments.





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