Today is a good example of why I don’t play at FanDuel nearly as much as I do at Draft Kings.
There is one game at 11 a.m. today. The rest don’t start until 7 p.m. However, if you want a lineup that features an Oriole or a Red Stocking, your lineup will be locked at 11 a.m.
Yes, we can expect the righty platoon guy to face the lefty and vice versa, but I’m not keen on guessing an entire lineup. Draft Kings allows us to make late swaps, so it’s not as much of a problem there.
I’m not in a hurry to get in on the lefty vs. lefty starters, Wei-Yin Chen and Justin Masterson.
The Red Sox won both of Masterson’s starts and Las Vegas has them favored in this game. But he has a 7.59 ERA in two starts and the moneyline is pretty low confidence. Chen has given up three homers in two starts. Last season his control — strikeouts to walks — and his strikeouts per nine innings each took a dive.
[UPDATE, 11:29 a.m. – After completing my pitcher rankings it’s apparent my gut reaction to Masterson may end up very wrong. While he has struggled this season, Masterson ranks third today based on the metrics I use to rank pitchers.]
If anything, consider building a hitting stack from this game. Las Vegas has the over-under at 8.5, tied for second-highest total of the day. Not surprisingly, San Diego at Colorado tops the list at 9.5.
Players to target: Mike Napoli, Chris Davis, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Ryan Flaherty, Manny Machado, Hanley Ramirez, Xander Bogaerts, Everth Cabrera, Travis Snider, Alejandro de Aza.
Adam Jones is still ripping the ball and must be considered. Ramirez has four homers in eight games this season, so despite his .255 batting average, he has to be considered.
Jimmy Parades, a 3B/OF coming off injury, costs just $2,000 and is starting for the Orioles, so he offers some salary relief
I have one lineup with players from this game. My stack includes Napoli, Pedroia, Paredes, Bogaerts, Jones and Ramirez.