2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings pitchers to start for Tuesday, April 7

The quality of pitching dropped considerably today, as we go from a full slate of teams’ aces to a shorter slate of mostly No. 2s.

Here are my top pitches today:

Zack Grienke, LAD, $8,800, is almost a must-start. He is the high-end stud today and tops my formula, which factors in weighted on-base average, win potential, strikeout potential and ballpark factor. Grienke ranks as the most likely pitcher to win, second in wOBA matchups and second in strikeout potential. The only ding on his ledger today is ballpark, but he loved home cooking in 2014.

Jesse Hahn, OAK, $6,000, and Nate Karns, TB, $5,000 are the next players I’m targeting. Hahn is second in win potential and fourth in wOBA. Karns is in the bottom half of wOBA, but the Rays are a slight favorite and he has our third best K potential.

Some experts are anti-Mat Latos, but my chart says he’s the No. 2 option. It’ll be intersting to see how that works out.

Beware the Jake Arrieta, Lance Lynn matchup in Chicago. There is no Las Vegas line for the game, which from what I’ve gathered means they expect whipping winds at Wrigley. That could wreak havoc for pitchers and hitters. I’m staying away from all players in that game because of the uncertainty, but both pitchers have plus ratings on the strikeout chart.

Here’s my full list of pitcher rankings:

$$$ W wOBA K Park AVG
1 Zack Greinke 8800 1 2 2 18 4.08
2 Mat Latos 8000 4 3 11 7 5.42
3 Jesse Hahn 6000 2 4 9 13 5.58
4 Nate Karns 5000 6 13 3 8 5.75
5 Alex Wood 8600 11 10 4 7 6.58
6 Lance Lynn 8300 15 5 1 12 6.83
7 C.J. Wilson 7000 10 1 10 14 7.50
8 Matt Garza 6800 3 15 6 18 7.75
9 Rubby De La Rosa 6100 8 8 8 18 8.33
10 Jake Arrieta 9000 16 7 5 12 8.42
11 Ryan Vogelsong 5800 7 6 12 18 8.75
12 Wei-Yin Chen 6700 9 9 15 8 8.83
13 James Paxton 6600 5 16 13 14 9.50
14 Tyson Ross 7900 14 14 7 18 10.58
15 Colby Lewis 6600 13 12 14 13 10.92
16 Jordan Lyles 5400 12 11 16 18 11.83

Good luck today and every day.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR: EP has been playing season-long fantasy sports since 1996. He is among the top third of overall players at RotoGrinders.com. He won two NBA GPPs this season, his first dedicating significant time to NBA lineups, and is among the top 32% among hockey players. He’ll use the same methods in an attempt to crack the MLB nut.





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