2016 Draft Kit

Draft Kings top pitchers and lineups to stack for Friday, April 10

I’m running short on time so I’m combining everything into one post today.

You must get some exposure to the Rockies-Cubs and Twins-White Sox hitters. The games have over/unders of 10 and 9 respectively, making them the most prime stacking candidates. Both games start early.

The projected highest scoring teams, in order, Rockies, Cubs, White Sox, Dodgers and Indians are great stacking candidates today. I have a Rockies stack, but I’ll probably throw a Cubs stack and a White Sox stack into the quarter arcade as well.

Now, the pitchers.

I’ve been trying to tweak this chart a bit. And I like what this one produced. The perfect pitcher will go almost a complete game every time, they’ll strike out a bunch of batters and get the W.

I’m not going to go into great detail about which pitchers I’m going to use today, rather, I want to explain why I used the categories in this chart and where the rankings come from. So, if you don’t care about this part you can just skip to the rankings.

W – Wins are based on the Las Vegas moneyline, the lower the moneyline the greater win probability.

wOBA – Weighted on-base average is considered the best metric to describe overall hitting prowess (not just homers).

K/O – Is opponent strikeout rank. For instance, John Lackey’s K/O is 4 because the Reds have the fourth-highest strikeout total this season.

K/P – Is the pitcher’s projected strikeout rank at Rotogrinders

Park – Is a modified park factor ranking, putting extra emphasis on home runs and runs allowed, at the park where the pitcher is throwing that day.

AVG – Is the average of all the rankings, with the win and strikeout rankings weighted slightly higher than the rest.

Pitcher rankings for Friday, April 10

Tm Opp DK W wOBA K/O K/P Park AVG
1 John Lackey STL CIN 7800 5 4 4 5 26 5.80
2 Gio Gonzalez WAS PHI 9100 2 6 13 1 24 6.20
3 Collin McHugh HOU TEX 7000 15 5 7 2 15 6.80
4 Dan Haren MIA TBR 6400 1 10 14 15 7 7.70
5 Tim Lincecum SFG SDP 7600 26 3 1 11 2 8.10
6 Mike Fiers MIL PIT 8300 11 26 3 4 22 8.40
7 Bud Norris BAL TOR 7400 9 28 8 10 11 9.30
8 Derek Holland TEX HOU 6900 16 25 2 14 15 10.40
9 Nathan Eovaldi NYY BOS 6600 18 9 11 7 29 11.00
10 Tyler Matzek COL CHC 4900 10 22 19 3 30 11.60
11 Brandon Morrow SDP SFG 7200 7 12 18 28 2 12.00
12 Mark Buehrle TOR BAL 6300 20 23 6 17 11 12.00
13 Jason Vargas KCR LAA 7000 25 29 10 8 6 12.10
14 Wade Miley BOS NYY 6300 12 16 21 6 29 12.30
15 Brett Anderson LAD ARI 6200 3 7 24 18 27 12.40
16 Hector Noesi CWS MIN 5500 4 19 23 16 20 12.50
17 Taijuan Walker SEA OAK 7300 17 18 12 21 14 13.20
18 Jeff Locke PIT MIL 5700 22 13 16 12 22 13.50
19 Eric Stults ATL NYM 5800 19 1 17 22 19 13.60
20 Hector Santiago LAA KCR 6500 6 14 30 25 6 14.20
21 Drew Pomeranz OAK SEA 6400 14 2 28 23 14 14.60
22 Chase Anderson ARI LAD 5300 28 27 9 9 27 14.60
23 Erasmo Ramirez TBR MIA 5300 30 11 15 24 7 15.60
24 Alfredo Simon DET CLE 5300 23 21 20 19 18 16.30
25 Jerome Williams PHI WAS 4900 29 17 5 27 24 16.30
26 Zach McAllister CLE DET 4200 8 24 29 26 18 16.80
27 Tommy Milone MIN CWS 5800 27 15 22 20 20 17.30
28 Jonathon Niese NYM ATL 7500 13 20 27 29 19 17.70
29 Travis Wood CHC COL 5300 21 30 26 13 30 18.00
30 Jason Marquis CIN STL 4600 24 8 25 30 26 19.20

Colin McHugh and Dan Haren appear to be the best values of the day. Mike Fiers strikeout potential is interesting.

Good luck today and every day.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR: EP has been playing fantasy sports since 1996. He is among the top third of overall players at RotoGrinders.com. He won two NBA GPPs this season, his first dedicating significant time to NBA lineups, and is among the top 32% of hockey players. He’ll use the same methods in an attempt to crack an MLB tournament in 2015.





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