I’ve already discussed the tweaks to the projection model this week. At the end of that post I brought up a good point that deserves further elaboration.
I said, “Yes, there is a noticeable difference across the board, but It’s not so much that it’s going to vault someone from the bottom of the food chain to the top. It should, however, push Pittsburgh players higher up our board than we might expect. That forces us to pay attention to those players and dig a little deeper to figure out if the projected outcome is likely or not. That’s all we should ever ask of projections.”
These projections are just a method to differentiate good plays and bad plays. A way to determine rankings. They aren’t a complete start/sit chart. I wouldn’t use them to project a team total for myself — and I made them.
In a pinch, with no time for any other research, they should provide adequate advice to post a lineup that should perform well. But in most circumstances, consider them a starting point for your research. Or even an end point to confirm or deny your research.
Derek Carr is in the top-6 this week and Kirk Cousins is in the top-10. Meanwhile, Drew Brees is 17th. That doesn’t mean you should bench Brees and pick Carr up off waivers, but it does mean you should think about it.
If you’ve been reading these projections since Week 1, you know my advice drifts heavily into the daily fantasy sports realm. In those formats, you must consider starting Carrs and Cousinses over Breeses if you want to win.
Week 7 quarterback projections for 2014 fantasy football: