Josh Hill forced me to put the boom or bust tag on this set of projections too.
The Cowboys were terrible at stopping opposing tight ends in 2013 and they have allowed 89.8 yards per game to tight ends through three weeks of 2014. That pumped up Jimmy Graham‘s numbers. Look at that touchdown chance, 150%!
After Hill caught that touchdown last week, it bumped up his averages based on offense vs. defense stats and usage percentages. The machup made me bump it higher. He is truly a boom or bust play. I’ll probably drop him out of the top 10 by Sunday. But if you’re desperate or you need a super-cheap sleeper option at FanDuel or Draft Kings, take a look at Hill.
I just gave Kyle Rudolph‘s stats to Rhett Ellison. Typically a team’s backup isn’t monumentally less skilled than the starter. It’s a bit of gamble because we won’t know how new quarterback Teddy Bridgwater is going to distribute the ball.
Vernon Davis and Vance McDonald are both questionable again. Last week they were questionable before being inactive on Sunday. It’s another decent matchup for 49ers tight ends, which means there is sleeper potential if Davis can’t go.
NOTE: These projections will be updated automatically if I make changes. However, I won’t be updating up until the last second. Monitor injury/lineup news up until the start of your contests and know that if a player doesn’t play, his replacement is likely to produce similar statistics to the ones projected below. Most NFL backups are not significantly inferior to starters.
Week 4 boom or bust tight end projections for 2014 fantasy football: