You want some commentary about the early overall ADP top 20 in fantasy baseball for 2012?
Mixed-league 5×5 ADP: Top 20
From Mock Draft Central (Jan. 26, 2012)
1. Matt Kemp, OF, LAD: Difficult to argue with picking this 27-year-old first in any format.
2. Albert Pujols, 1B, ANA: Playing in a new town shouldn’t be a problem for the greatest hitter of this generation.
3. *Miguel Cabrera, 1B, DET: He won’t repeat his batting average, but this is another no-brainer pick. One of the top fantasy 1Bs in the game.
4. Jose Bautista, OF/3B, TOR: I don’t think he’s going to hit .300 again, but I have a feeling he’s closer to a .300 hitter than the .230s hitter he was in 2008 and 2009.
5. Troy Tulowitzki, SS, COL: Our first SS this year and, like everybody else on this list, a batter to build your fantasy team around.
6. Justin Verlander, SP, DET: This is really too early for a starting pitcher in standard formats. Verlander’s awesome, but hitters play every day and pitchers throw once or twice a week.
7. Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, BOS: Apparently a lot of people think he’s going to slug 35 balls out of the park again. When a batter goes from a 70-steals player to a 35-homer player practically overnight paint an exclamation mark on him.
8. Justin Upton, OF, ARI: Upton is one of my favorite batters in the game, but this pick feels a little high. He had a terrific 2011 and he’s only 24.
9. Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, BOS: Unlikely to repeat batting average or get back to 40-homer power. I’d rather pick one of the next three players first.
10. Joey Votto, 1B, CIN: Votto and Prince Fielder are the final two stud 1Bs.
11. Robinson Cano, 2B, NYY: The indisputable No. 1 2B shouldn’t last into the second round in 10-teamers. Fewer questions than a couple guys chosen already. Cano has averaged 103.5 runs, 28.5 homers, 113.5 RBIs, 5.5 SBs and a .310 average the last two years.
12. Evan Longoria, 3B, TB: I say bounce, you say back. Batting average on balls in play says he was unlucky in 2012. BABIP was .240 last year after .310+ in each of the previous four seasons.
13. Carlos Gonzalez, OF, COL: Terrific season but was destined to not live up to the expectations created by CarGo 2010. Expect a performance somewhere between 2011 and 2010.
14. Roy Halladay, SP, PHI: Again, I just can’t condone picking a pitcher this early. This is still the first round in deep leagues.
15. Prince Fielder, 1B, DET: Not a game-changing move for Detroit — they can rake already — but Fielder should have plenty of lineup help and RBI opportunities for fantasy owners.
16. Clayton Kershaw, SP, LAD: Another pitcher? OK. I might draft a pitcher here, and Kershaw is emerging as a superstar. Dynasty-league owners should consider the 24-year-old before Verlander (29) or Halladay (35).
17. Dustin Pedrioa, 2B, BOS: Not sure he’ll repeat 2011 numbers.
18. Curtis Granderson, OF, NYY: I’m a Yankees fan, so I want Granderson to slug it. However, I also know it’s 2012, not 2011. You can’t pick Granderson here with the talent that’s still available.
19. Jose Reyes, SS, MIA: This Reyes-Hanley Ramirez combo is going to strike fear in opposing pitchers…
20. *Hanley Ramirez, SS, MIA: … In the 75 games they are both on the healthy list together.
*Cabrera and Ramirez are both moving to third base this year but will qualify at their former positions during fantasy drafts in most leagues.