We’re cheating with this list.
Do not be alarmed, it’s merely an average draft position list, not the Top-10 fantasy players overall you might expect.
Really, what’s more important, knowing what 10 players you should pick or what 10 players everyone else is going to pick so you can plan your strategy?
It’s a rhetorical question. Let’s move along to the list, where you’ll notice that my projections, unlike most experts’, are rounded up or down to more digestible numbers. If Hanley Ramirez hits 29 or 32 homers it’s going to feel like 30ish, so we’ll say 30:
1. Albert Pujols — MLB’s hitting machine was discussed in much detail in the Pujols vs. Ramirez fantasy battle for No. 1. The only big thing that wasn’t mentioned there was Pujols’ October elbow surgery. They removed bone chips. I’m not too concerned. Projections: 110/40/115/10/.335
2. Hanley Ramirez — Like Pujols, Ramirez was discussed elsewhere. Unlike Pujols, there’s no offseason surgery to worry about. He’s more balanced and my choice at No. 1. Projections: 115/30/95/35/.327
3. Alex Rodriguez — Is A-Rod really the third best player in fantasy baseball? He hit 30 homers despite missing almost 40 games last year, plays at Yankee stadium and is the best player at a shallow fantasy position. Projections: 105/40/120/20/.300
4. Chase Utley — Another best player at a weak position, Utley plays half his games in a hitter’s park and is deserving of this spot. Projections: 110/30/100/15/.300
5. Ryan Braun — Although his numbers are more impressive than Utley’s Braun plays outfield, the deepest position in fantasy baseball. Still he is by far the best in the outfield and a heck of a consolation prize if you can get him at No. 5 overall. Projections: 100/40/115/20/.320
6. Mark Teixeira — It’ll be interesting to see how (new) Yankee Stadium plays in Year II. But until we know more, I’m factoring 40 more games of protection/production from A-Rod into Teixeira’s numbers. That would make him a great value at No. 6. Projections: 110/45/130/1/.305
7. Matt Kemp — One of the players who could go 30/30 this year. Kemp is being highly touted by a lot of people — 30/40, 40/40, God on a baseball diamond — so I’m surprised his ADP is here. Projections: 100/25/100/35/.305
8. Prince Fielder — Maybe I’m being optimistic, but I’m looking at that Brewer’s lineup and thinking Fielder’s a lock for at least matching his totals from 2009. Projections: 100/45/125/1/.285
9. Evan Longoria — Longoria will be on a couple of my teams this year. I’m probably being a little optimistic with his power numbers, but I feel like I’m a little pessimistic with his average. He’ll be better than David Wright, but a lot of fantasy experts don’t think so. Projections: 100/35/110/10/.280
10. Ryan Howard — As was noted in the Pure Power post, Howard is the most likely to get to 50 homers in 2010. He’s also got one teammate listed above, another teammate in the next 10 and plenty of protection/table-setters elsewhere in that Phillies lineup. Projections: 100/50/140/1/.270
Note: ADP list is from Mock Draft Central.
Do you want to pick Pujols or Ramirez? Which other member of the Top-10 fits your draft strategy the best?