As I’ve said in recent posts, I’m using a formula to help determine the best matchups each week. The formula factors in top-10 allowed performances in passing yards, rushing yards and scoring over the previous four weeks of the season.
1. Bears vs Giants — The Giants again come in as the best fantasy matchup of the week. Pay whatever cost you must to roster the Bears defense this week.
2. Broncos vs Jaguars — The Broncos against anyone is a good matchup. Against the Jaguars you just have to wonder how early in the game Brock Osweiler takes off the baseball cap and puts on a helmet.
3. Texans vs Rams — In particular, the Rams are the No. 2 rushing defense on the opportunity index and are fourth in points allowed. Arian Foster and Ben Tate are both strong plays.
4. Jaguars vs Broncos — I know, it’s the Jaguars. But, I have four words and a comma for you: Justin Blackmon, garbage time.
5. Giants vs. Bears — Hey, another potential shootout here. The Bears have been poor against the pass and allowed a lot of point. The question of the week is: Can they double-cover Victor Cruz into mediocrity and allow Hakeem Nicks and Rueben Randle to shine as values again?
6. Buccaneers vs Eagles — I can only recommend starting Mike Glennon in a few wild FanDuel lineups, where he is an extreme value with a great matchup. Hopefully, you have someone better to start on your standard team. The Eagles are extremely poor against the pass, but were able to nullify Cruz last week. Is Mike Williams the PowerBall play of the week?
7. Cowboys vs Redskins — The bye week lowered the Redskins ranking quite a bit, but it shouldn’t take more than a half for Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray and company to remind fantasy players how bad they were the previous weeks.
8. Washington vs. Dallas — The Cowboys aren’t exactly a shutdown defense either. Can Robert Griffin and company take advantage of Peyton Manning‘s game film against them last week?
9. Rams vs Texans — Houston ranks third in our running target index. Limit expectations for Zac Stacy, but he’s worth a what-the-heck play.
10. Panthers vs Vikings — Like the Redskins, the Vikings defense’s opportunity ranking benefitted from the bye. They should provide some fantasy gold in Week 6.
Here are the top five teams in modified points and yards allowed going into Week 6. Start players facing these teams: