2016 Draft Kit

Fantasy Football Daily Games: Matchups to target, matchups to avoid in Week 12

The end of the season grows near. Time to hit that big jackpot or add to your winnings is running out.

I’ve got some matchups, based on fantasy points against, for you to target and avoid this week. I went over some of the details about how I come up with the numbers in another post.

Some of you don’t care about the how or the why. You just want to know who to start. Let’s get to it:

Overall

Overall matchups factor in fantasy points allowed at each position for the last five weeks. Players from teams on this list have high probabilities of succumbing to the matchups.

Excellent matchups: Baltimore vs. New York Jets, San Francisco vs. Washington, Green Bay vs. Minnesota, Houston vs. Jacksonville, Tennesse vs. Oakland. These next teams don’t score out quite so high on the list, but its worth noting they have good matchups: New Orleans, Cleveland, Denver and Philadelphia.

Worst matchups: Dallas vs. New York Giants, Miami vs. Carolina, Atlanta vs. New Orleans, Washington vs. San Francisco, Chicago vs. St. Louis. Teams with bad matchups: Indianapolis, San Diego, Minnesota

Quarterbacks

Best matchups: Mike Glennon (vs. Detroit), Case Keenum (vs. Jacksonville), Eli Manning (vs. Dallas) and Peyton Manning (vs. New England).

Good matchups: Carson Palmer (vs. Indianapolis), Matthew Stafford (vs. Tampa Bay), Colin Kaepernick (vs. Washington), Ryan Fitzpatrick (vs. Oakland), Joe Flacco (vs. New York Jets).

Worst matchups: Tony Romo (vs. New York Giants), Cam Newton (vs. Miami), Matt Ryan (vs. New Orleans), Ryan Tannehill (vs. Carolina), Matt McGloin (vs. Tennessee).

Bad matchups: Robert Griffin III (vs. San Francisco), Josh McCown (vs. St. Louis), Kellen Clemens (vs. Chicago) and Christian Ponder (vs. Green Bay).

Talking points: Peyton is a no-brainer every week, but when he has one of the best matchups he’s almost a must-start. I also like Glennon and Eli as low-priced options in that upper tier. The Giants defense earned another defensive player of the week honor. Romo is a big-time fantasy player, but he scares me this week.

Running backs

Best matchups: Andre Brown/Brandon Jacobs (vs. Dallas), Rashad Jennings (vs. Tennessee), Zac Stacy (vs. Chicago), Darren Sproles/Pierre Thomas (vs. Atlanta), Frank Gore (vs. Washington), Deangelo Wililams/Jonathan Stewart (vs. Miami).

Good matchups: Ben Tate (vs. Jacksonville), Matt Forte (vs. St. Louis), Chris Ogbannaya (vs. Pittsburgh), Eddie Lacy (vs. Minnesota), Jamaal Charles (vs. San Diego)

Worst matchups: Bobby Rainey/Brian Leonard (vs. Detroit), Donald Brown/Trent Richardson (vs. Arizona), DeMarco Murray (vs. New York Giants)

Bad matchups: Ray Rice (vs. New York Jets), Lamar Miller/Daniel Thomas (vs. Carolina), Chris Ivory/Bilal Powell (vs. Baltimore), Knowshon Moreno (vs. New England), LeVeon Bell (vs. Cleveland)

Talking points: Andre Brown has a great matchup this week by a significant margin. Over the last five weeks, the Cowboys have allowed an average of 32.7 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. The next closest team, Tennessee, has allowed 26.1. But he’s not the lone horse in that backfield. Consider Jennings or Stacy first. It’s also worth noting the big bellcow backs in the good tier: Forte, Lacy and Charles.

Wide receivers

Best matchups: Vincent Jackson/Tiquan Underwood (vs. Detroit), Larry Fitzgerald/Michael Floyd (vs. Indianapolis)

Good matchups: Wes Welker/Demaryius Thomas/Eric Decker (vs. New England), Kendall Wright (vs. Oakland), Torrey Smith (vs. New York Jets), Victor Cruz/Hakeem Nicks/Rueben Randle (vs. Dallas), Dwayne Bowe (vs. San Diego), Calvin Johnson (vs. Tampa Bay), Marques Colston/Kenny Stills (vs. Atlanta).

Worst matchups: Denarius Moore/Rod Streater (vs. Tennessee), Mike Wallace/Brian Hartline/Rishard Matthews (vs. Carolina), Dez Bryant/Terrence Williams (vs. New York Giants), Roddy White/Harry Douglas (vs. New Orleans)

Bad matchups: Steve Smith/Brandon Lafell/Ted Ginn (vs. Miami), Aaron Dobson/Danny Amendola (vs. Denver), Brandon Marshall/Alshon Jeffery (vs. St. Louis), Tavon Austin/Chris Givens (vs. Chicago), Pierre Garcon/Aldrick Robinson/Santana Moss (vs. San Francisco)

Talking points: There is a clear tier between the Tampa Bay and Arizona matchups and the rest at the top, but there are still a lot of interesting matchups in the good tier. I’ll be starting Kendall Wright in quite a few leagues again this week. He is a good value.

Tight ends

Best matchups: Delanie Walker (vs. Oakland), Garrett Graham (vs. Jacksonville), Dallas Clark (vs. New York Jets)

Good matchups: Rob Gonkowski (vs. Denver), Anthony Fasano/Sean McGrath (vs. San Diego), Brian Bostick/Andrew Quarless (vs. Minnesota), Vernon Davis (vs. Washington), Jordan Cameron (vs. Pittsburgh)

Worst matchups: Martellus Bennett (vs. St. Louis), Jason Witten (vs. New York Giants), Jimmy Graham (vs. Atlanta), Fred Davis (vs. San Francisco), John Carlson (vs. Green Bay)

Bad matchups: Brandon Pettigrew (vs. Tampa Bay), Julius Thomas (vs. New England), Antonio Gates (vs. Kansas City), Brandon Myers/Bear Pascoe (vs. Dallas), Tony Gonzalez (vs. New Orleans)

Talking points: The big, flashing note here is high-priced Gronk and VD with good matchups, and a couple sneaky-good low-priced options with great matchups. Jimmy Graham, if he’s 100 percent, is matchup-proof. But I’m not sure he’s 100 percent right now, so I’m going to avoid him.

Kickers

Best matchups: Garrett Hartley (vs. Atlanta), Mason Crosby (vs. Minnesota), Rian Lindell (vs. Detroit)

Good matchups: Justin Tucker (vs. New York Jets), Graham Gano (vs. Miami), Nick Folk (vs. Baltimore), Phil Dawson (vs. Washingon), Shaun Suisham (vs. Cleveland), Blair Walsh (vs. Green Bay).

Worst matchups: Dan Bailey (vs. New York Giants), Josh Brown (vs. Dallas), Robbie Gould (vs. St. Louis), Kai Forbath (vs. San Francisco), Ryan Succop (vs. San Diego), Josh Scobee (vs. Houston)

Bad matchups: Adam Vinatieri (vs. Arizona), Caleb Sturgis (vs. Carolina), Greg Zuerlein (vs. Chicago), Rob Bironas (vs. Oakland), Stephen Gostkowski (vs. Denver)

Talking points: I’ll be starting Hartley, Tucker and Crosby in a ton of leagues this week.

D/ST

Best matchups: Ravens (vs. New York Jets), Cowboys (vs. New York Giants)

Good matchups: 49ers (vs. Washington), Raiders (vs. Tennessee), Cardinals (vs. Indianapolis), Packers (vs. Minnesota), Saints (vs. Atlanta), Panthers (vs. Miami)

Worst matchups: Giants (vs. Dallas), Buccaneers (vs. Detroit), Chiefs (vs. San Diego)

Bad matchups: Dolphins (vs. Carolina), Falcons (vs. New Orleans), Washington (vs. San Francisco), Rams (vs. Chicago), Chargers (vs. Kansas City), Lions (vs. Tampa Bay)

Talking points: It’s odd to see so many bad matchups against the Giants, then to see them as a top defensive target. But New York has allowed at least 8 fantasy points to opposing D/STs in all but two games this season. Even in their current four-game winning streak, the Giants have allowed a per-game average of 8.5 fantasy points to opposing D/STs.





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