Fantasy sleeper review: Hits, misses keep coming

Yesterday we reviewed the bust picks from 2009, and found that we had an impressive 7 hits on 13 attempts.

Not bad, but there’s no way the average will stay that high when we review the sleepers. Right?

By their very definition — discussed in more detail in our disclaimer post — we shouldn’t have an above .500 record on sleepers and busts.

They’re too risky.

So, how did we stack up in the sleeper ranks? What will these players do in 2010? Let’s discuss it.

Chris Iannetta — Double digit homers, but didn’t hit much of anything else. He lost his every day job to Yorvit Torrealba. He’s expected to open as the starter again in 2010, but Iannetta won’t make this list again.

Joey Votto — To call Joey Votto a Chinstrap Ninjas pick would be a ridiculous understatement. He didn’t disappoint, increasing his runs and homers (although slightly) while hitting .322. And he missed 31 games.

Aaron Hill — Hill’s performance was more of a return to form, but he did provide a huge value to fantasy owners who took a chance on him. All of the numbers from his pre-injury season in 2007 pointed to a 90-run, 20-homer, 90-RBI type season. Hill scored a 101/36/108 line and hit .286.

Alex Gordon – I’m done giving you chances Alex Gordon. The Royals 3B had surgery early, was ineffective on his return and was demoted. His numbers are so disgraceful we’re not going to print them here.

Elvis Andrus — He had an excellent season, stealing 33 bases and scoring 72 runs. He only hit .267, but he hit .280 with 25 RBIs and 17 steals after the All-Star break. That’s a sign of things to come.

Ryan Spilborghs — This was a bad miss. Spilborghs followed up his promising 2008 by walking less and striking out significantly more. He hit only .241, .72 points lower than the year before.

Cameron Maybin — He’ll probably be a starter this year, but he was very limited in 2008. He had a nice September (.282-3-9), but this one was a miss, too.

Nelson Cruz — Called out 30 homers and 120 RBIs last year, that was a bit off, but not by much. Cruz finally got at-bats and racked up 33 homers, 20 steals, 75 runs and 76 RBIs. He’s not going to be a value pick in 2010.

John Danks — Wasn’t bad (3.77 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 13 wins) but he saw his strikeouts drop despite throwing a career high in innings pitched.

Jair Jurrjens — The opposite of Danks, Jurrjens got more wins, more strikeouts, cut his WHIP and his ERA by a full run. He threw 30 more innings last year than he did in 2008.

Manny Parra — Bombed. ERA jumped almost two runs, WHIP almost .30 points and walked more batters despite throwing 20 less innings than in 2008.

Brett Anderson — I’m claiming Anderson as a win. While he didn’t break out like the next Francsico Liriano, his first taste of pro ball ended with a 4.08 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP and 150 Ks in 175 innings. He finished 11-11 for the Athletics.

Max Scherzer — Regressed a bit in ERA and WHIP, but he struck out 174 in 170 innings. After last season, there’s no doubt he’s one of baseball’s next fireballers.

Jason Motte – Another “breakout player” who lost a starting job in 2009. He’s a K per inning reliever, but the Cardinals aren’t going to hand Motte the keys to the closer job out of spring training unless Ryan Franklin completely falls apart.

Joel Hanrahan — Called Hanrahan the next Joakim Soria. Yep, 0-for-2 on relievers. Hanrahan. He got blasted in several games, saved only five all year and saw his ERA and WHIP rise considerably despite increaseing his K rate. Octavio Dotel is penciled in as the closer in PIttsburgh right now. Hanrahan could replace him, but if you drafted him in 2009 it was a disappointment.

So, the final tally for breakout players is 7-for-16. That brings the final record for Chinstrap Ninjas’ 2009 sleepers and busts to 14 hits in 29 tries.

Coming tomorrow: 5 players to avoid in 2009.

Did you pick any of these “sleepers in 2009?” Did they affect your season? Let us know in the comments.

1 Response to “Fantasy sleeper review: Hits, misses keep coming”


  1. Eight fantasy baseball stars to stay away from in 2010 at Chinstrap Ninjas

    [...] also looked at our record for 2009 bust and sleeper picks on consecutive days. Smart ninjas, you’ve probably already figured out that with tomorrow [...]