New York Jets
2014 Record: 4-12, missed playoffs, 2-3 in last five
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1st: 27th in DVOA* overall offense (27th pass, 17th rush) | 21st in DVOA* overall defense (24th pass, 11th run)
2nd: Ineffective at stopping all receiver types, but especially WR2s, (7.3 pass attempts per game, 63.8 yards)WR3s, WR4s (6, 51.7) and TEs (6.3, 46.7), according to Football Outsiders’ defense vs. receiver types chart.
3rd: Key loss: WR Percy Harvin | Key addition: WR Brandon Marshall
4th: The Jets need a lot before they can become a contender, but losing star defensive lineman Sheldon Richardson to the league’s substance abuse policy will likely take a huge bite out of their defense, which already wasn’t too good in 2014. New additions Marshall, Stevan Ridley, Erin Henderson and Ryan Fitzpatrick could all present interesting storylines in 2015. Perhaps the biggest news out of NYJ camp won’t affect the Jets offensive fantasy outlook, but teams facing them must now throw against Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromarties, which should turn this pass defense from 24th to top-5.
*Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, a Football Outsiders’ advanced NFL metric, measures a team’s performance on a per-play basis. The metric attempts to limit variance and provides a more realistic measurement of how good a team is regardless of matchup or situation, making it a strong indicator of future success. Read more about DVOA.