Hopefully you cashed big last night. I had a couple small wins.
But last night was a good reminder why you need to check news/lineups before tipoff. I had to swap Draymond Green out of most lineups after coach Steve Kerr announced he was going to limit the forwards minutes.
I also had to move Mario Chalmers from my lineups because Goran Dragic started. I moved to Greivis Vazquez in a lot of cases and it worked out.
I’m a little pressed for time today, so I’m going to get right into the picks.
Again, check lineups and player news close to tipoff. You can’t survive with a 0 from any player.
NBA DFS value plays for Tuesday, March 3
Trey Burke, $4,500, Evan Turner, $5,500 and Isaiah Thomas, $6,200 — Thomas is a little expensive for a value pick but he has the highest floor and ceiling among players that won’t cost you $7,000 right now. Turner is a bit sketchy — he shot 4-for-12 last game — but he’s flirting with triple doubles every night. Burke might be my favorite pick. He started the second half last game and finished with 39 fantasy points.
If Jeff Teague doesn’t play, you must consider Dennis Schroeder, $4,500, who double-doubled and scored 39.5 points starting in his place last game. Jordan Clarkson, $4,700 should also be on our radar, but I’m going with the three guys above first.
If I have some extra cash to spend I’ll roster Mo Williams, $7,000 or John Wall, $8,600. A lot of my lineups have Williams and Burke or Williams and Thomas.
Will Barton, $3,800, J.R. Smith, $5,600, Avery Bradley, $5,600, Corey Brewer, $4,000 and Wayne Ellington, $4,700 — There are quite a few options at SG today. Barton and Smith are my favorite choice. Bradley shot an abysmal .29% last game and took only one three pointer. I’m beginning to question the helpfulness of defense vs. position rankings, but his opponent tonight, Cleveland, has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to SGs this season. Ellington has scored more than 30 fantasy points in each of his last three games. Brewer has received last than 20 minutes in each of the last two games, but in the previous three games, when he averaged 28 minutes, he averaged 35.3 fantasy points with a 51.5-point performance.
Tim Hardaway Jr., $4,200, is getting 30 minutes a game and averaged 30.12 fantasy points in his last two. He’s worth a look. Kyle Korver, $5,000, also should be noted. He shot poorly last game out but has made half of his three-point attempts this season and has taken 31 in his last four games.
I won’t be paying up for any shooting guards today.
DeMarre Carroll, $4,900, Trevor Ariza, $5,900, Danilo Gallinari, $5,200, Paul Pierce, $4,300, Jonas Jerebko, $3,900, Tony Snell, $3,600 — Carroll, Ariza and Gallinari are my top choices tonight. They all have good ceiling and floor profiles AND they’ve been good in the last three weeks and in the last week. When I have a little salary left I’m going with Rudy Gay, $7,000, and Josh Smith, $6,500.
LeBron James is expensive, of course, but is always in play because of 70-point upside.
Nikola Mrotic, $4,400, Andrea Bargnani, $4,500, Lou Amundson, $3,400, Ed Davis, $4,800, Jae Crowder, $4,900, Ersan Illyasova, $4,400, John Henson, $4,600 — If I pay up at all today at PF, I’m going with Terrence Jones, $7,000, but I’m sticking almost exclusively with Bargnani, Mrotic and Amundson.
Mrotic could benefit greatly from Derrick Rose and Jimmy butler both being out. Bargnani is taking advantage of new opportunity as a starter. He scored 52 fantasy points two games ago. Amundson, also a NY PF, had 44 points in the same game, sandwiched between two 22-point games and four games of 22+ points in a row.
Marcin Gortat, $5,700 — I could give you more center options, but I’m not starting any others. Jordan Hill and Timofey Mozgov are a little cheaper at $5,200, but I don’t have them in any lineups.
If I pay up, I’m going with Marc Gasol, $7,500 or Rudy Gobert, $6,700.
DeMarcus Cousins is likely to play. He costs $9,800, which is a lot to roster for a questionable star, but like LeBron, Cousins has one of the highest floor/ceiling profiles in the NBA.
Good luck tonight and every night.