2016 Draft Kit

NBA DFS value plays and tips for Monday, Feb. 23

I hope you ignored my headline typo yesterday. Those value picks provided some good building blocks to a winning lineup.

If you did read yesterday’s picks you might sense a little deja vu reading today.

There are a couple repeats, but that’s going to happen on a value list because players remain values until the DFS sites’ algorithms give them numbers that reflect their performance. Some of these players will probably make nice plays at FanDuel too, but I haven’t filled a lineup there today.

A reminder: I’m posting this at around 2 p.m. A lot can happen between now and tipoff — like LaMarcus Aldridge‘s late scratch Sunday night. Be prepared to change your lineup if players don’t play due to injury or coach’s decision.

Because a couple of these players are repeats, you must monitor them. Any player on the back end of a back-to-back or on a third-game-in-four-nights is a candidate for a DNP-CD.

Alright, let’s get to the value plays:

Point guard

Isaiah Canaan, $3,000 and Deron Williams, $5,800 — Williams has a slightly better matchup and, because we know what kind of player he is, more reliable upside. It’s still difficult for me to not roster a starting PG who scored 26 fantasy points last night and is still minimum priced at $3,000.

Shooting guard

Avery Bradley, $5,100 and Ricky Rubio, $6,600 — Rubio isn’t much of a value, but beyond Bradley there aren’t many great matchups. Bradley, is averaging 45 points per game over his last two and gets Phoenix tonight, which has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to SGs in the last three weeks. That 45-per is not sustainable, but with this matchup I’m taking my chances he has a performance better than his salary.

Small forward

Danilo Gallinari, $4,400 and Andrew Wiggins, $6,200 — Once again, the closest second option is over $6K, but like with shooting guards, if you’re filling one lineup go with the first guy. In this case, Gallinari with a still very depressed price tag goes up against the Nets. It’s important to remember that while Gallinari is listed as an SF he’s actually starting at shooting guard, a position Brooklyn has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to this season.

Power forward

Terrence Jones, $4,600 and Brandon Bass, $5,200 — Jones is first because he’s got a killer matchup against the Timberwolves. He’ll be my starting PF in most leagues tonight. Bass doesn’t have a great matchup but his price still doesn’t reflect his performance.

Center

Alex Len, $4,000 and Tyler Zeller, $5,000 — Oh, the value at center today. It is grand. Len is the lowest priced of the bunch and like Enes Kanter yesterday he probably gets a bare minimum double-double in 30 minutes of work and his current situation means he’ll probably get 30 minutes of work. At $4,000, a 10-point, 10-rebound game pays for his salary. I had to leave out Rudy Gobert ($5,200) and Joakim Noah ($6,900) and I even think Hassan Whiteside ($7,800) is … Jeez, Marc Gasol is only $7,400! Somebody call Draft Kings. We need to start five centers tonight.

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OK, now for a lineup-building tip which I saved until the end today. When building your lineup start with values like the players I recommended above. Or start with your own value plays, you are a ninja after all. Start with the value plays for most of your lineups, then at the end you can divide your extra resources amongst some superstars.

For instance, using the players above I was able to get James Harden, Chris Paul and one of Gordon Hayward, Zach Randolph or Giannis Antetokounmpo together in the same lineup. Paul has a great matchup. Harden’s isn’t great, but he dropped 77 fantasy points last week so I’m going to bet on the upside. Randolph is averaging almost 18 points and 12 rebounds a game and gets on of the best power forward matchups of the day.

Good luck tonight and every night.





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