2016 Draft Kit

NFL Week 9 Draft Kings sleepers and values

Well, last week was interesting. I struggled in cash games, but my afternoon and primetime lineups pulled me to within even.

However, I did have a Yahoo tournament team return $150 on a $5 entry. At one point it was up to 12th place. That felt pretty good.

I still haven’t won an NFL tournament. Maybe this is the week. I’m liking how our rankings came together.

Despite the struggle last week, I still have quite a bit of confidence in our system. However it’s important to keep a few things in mind:

  1. Only play 10% of your bankroll. Your bankroll is the amount you are going to play with this year. Wagering more than 10 percent sets you up to go bankrupt by week 8. Only wager more if you play a lot of cash games and have found success there.
  2. Always follow rule No. 1, unless you find some serious overlay. And even then, don’t go overboard. We’re all going to have bad weeks, even when we do everything right. Don’t spend so much that you can’t recover from it the following week. This allows us to brush off a bad week and move on to the next.

OK, let’s get to this weeks sleepers and values at Draft Kings.

Week 9 FINAL updated fantasy football rankings: QB, RB, WR, TE, FLEX, K, DEF

Draft Kings sleepers and values

FanDuel sleepers and values

Week 9 fantasy football rankings: QB, RB, WR, TE, FLEX, K, DEF

Projected scores/Las Vegas odds | Game day weather | Waiver wire gems

All week 9 advice | Week 8 advice

Quarterbacks

Early rankings | Final rankings

Philip Rivers, $6,900, SD vs. CHI — The Bears are 24th against the pass and the Chargers are 25th so this game could go ballistic. Rivers is chucking it everywhere and he’s still under $7,000.

Derek Carr, $5,500, OAK at PIT — This game could turn into a shootout as well. Carr to Amari Cooper shouldn’t be nerfed this week.

Jay Cutler, $5,200, CHI at SD — As I said in the Rivers blurb, Cutler gets a pretty great matchup in a potential shootout.

Tom Brady, $8,500, NE vs. WAS — Brady’s as expensive as it gets at quarterback this week. Considering this matchup and Las Vegas’ expectations, Brady will be worth every penny.

Ben Roethlisberger, $6,600, PIT vs. OAK — Man, if I didn’t have Rivers, Carr and Cutler up there with those prices Roethlisberger would be an easy pick. I feel like we need to have a tournament team with all four of these sub-$7,000 quarterbacks.

Running backs

Early rankings | Final rankings

Darren McFadden, $4,300, DAL vs. PHI — He’s getting all the volume, making us reminisce about 2010 and what could have been.

Devonta Freeman, $8,000, ATL at SF — This price is tough to afford with the other guys around him, but Freeman will probably finish the week as the No. 1 running back and that’s something we pay for in cash games.

Todd Gurley, $6,900, STL at MIN — ANOTHER great matchup and Gurley is still under $7,000? We are spoiled, Ninja.

Mark Ingram, $6,500, NO vs. TEN — You need to check out my projected scores column where I explain why Ingram might be a must-play this week.

Lamar Miller, $5,000, MIA at BUF — Buffalo is 24th in the NFL at defending the run, according to DVOA. Since the Dolphins’ regime change, Miller has been a focal point of the offense.

LeSean McCoy, $5,500, BUF vs. MIA — It’s easier to attack the Dolphins through the passing game, but McCoy has returned to a feature back role, earning 19 and 20 touches the last two weeks.

Doug Martin, $5,700, TB vs. NYG — Like McCoy, this isn’t a great rushing matchup, but unlike McCoy, Martin is playing in one of the projected highest scoring games of the week. Martin is the No. 4 fantasy running back so far this season.

Danny Woodhead, $4,800, SD vs. CHI — Woodhead burned me quite a bit last week, but short passes to him is how the Chargers “run” the ball. And when he does get a handoff, the Bears are second-worst in the NFL at defending the run.

Dion Lewis, $6,400, NE vs. WAS — The Patriots top back put up a big total last week. They are expected to score an NFL best 33 points this week. The Redskins are worse against the run than the pass, which should mean Lewis will have some lanes to run through.

Jonathan Stewart, $4,300, CAR vs. GB — The Packers defense is top-10 against the pass but horrible against he run, according to DVOA. Stewart is a risky play because Cam Newton steals goal line carries, but his price is so good we have to consider him.

Jeremy Langford, $4,000, CHI at SD — I wish Langford was getting his shot in a different game. The Chargers are the worst team in the NFL against the run, according to DVOA, but this game could turn into a shootout which limits Langford’s ceiling.

Wide receivers

Early rankings | Final rankings

Antonio Brown, $8,100, PIT vs. OAK — The return of Ben Roethlisberger returns Brown to the realm of elite wide receivers. He should be $9,000 and has a great matchup this week against the Raiders.

Alshon Jeffery, $6,700, CHI at SD — The Chargers are tough against No. 1 wide receivers, but if this game turns into a shootout, Jeffery is going to be involved. It also doesn’t hurt that Jeffery’s price is a huge value.

Julio Jones, $9,300, ATL at SF — No team has allowed more receiving yards to No. 1 wide receivers this season than the 49ers. We have to find a way to roster Jones this week in daily fantasy.

Michael Crabtree, $4,900, OAK at PIT — The Steelers have allowed the third-most receiving yards to WR2s this season. And this game could turn into a shootout.

Steve Johnson, $3,200, SD vs. CHI — His price is what? The Chargers’ new No. 1 wide receiver costs just $3,200. I’m going to have so much Steve Johnson exposure this week.

Stefon Diggs, $5,300, MIN vs. STL — This game has a low over/under, but Diggs’ salary continues to only make small increases. He’s the top receiving threat in Minnesota and must be considered as long as his price is below $6,000.

Demaryius Thomas, $7,500, DEN at IND — It’s a great matchup for all of the Broncos receivers and Thomas is the one with the most potential to be dominant. However, Peyton Manning’s struggles have deflated his price.

Amari Cooper, $6,700, OAK at PIT — Cooper is flirting with matchup-proof territory and this should be a shootout.

Mike Evans, $6,800, TB vs. NYG — Last week should have been huge for Evans but he fizzled. However, the Giants won’t be as capable of slowing him down this week, especially if Austin Seferian-Jenkins returns this week.

Brandon LaFell, $3,200, NE vs. WAS — The Redskins have allowed the fourth most yards to No. 2 wide receivers this season and the Patriots have been feeding targets since LaFell got on the field this season. He could turn those into a huge game this week.

Tight ends

Early rankings | Final rankings

Heath Miller, $2,700, PIT vs. OAK — Just like with Steve Johnson, I’m going to have Miller in every lineup this week. He gets mad targets when Ben Roethlisberg is quarterback and it’s a great matchup.

Rob Gronkowski, $8,000, NE vs. WAS — You either pick a player like Miller and hope, or you take the sure fantasy points and pay up for Rob Gronkowski. Treat him like another wide receiver — like he performs — and his price doesn’t seem so absurd.

Benjamin Watson, $4,000, NO vs. TEN — It’s another good spot for Watson who took advantage of the Giants last week for 147 yards and a touchdown.

Antonio Gates, $4,700, SD vs. CHI — It’s not a great matchup, but the Chargers passing offense is depleted, Gates is a huge part of the offense and should be even bigger with Keenan Allen’s season-ending injury.

Jordan Reed, $4,500, WAS at NE — Reed gets Rob Gronkowski targets and production when he and Kirk Cousins are on the field. OK, it’s not quite that good, but he costs almost half as much as Gronk.

Greg Olsen, $6,500, CAR vs. GB — Green Bay has been tough against the pass this season, according to DVOA, but they’ve given up 70.5 yards per game to opposing tight ends, which is good news for Olsen owners.

Team defense

Early rankings | Final rankings

Denver Broncos, $3,000, at IND

New Orleans Saints, $2,200, vs. TEN

San Francisco 49ers, $2,100, vs. ATL

Philadelphia Eagles, $2,700, at DAL

New York Jets, $3,100, vs. JAC

New England Patriots, $3,300, vs. WAS





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