Green Bay Packers
2014 Record: 12-4, NFC North Champions, 4-2 in last five
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1st: 1st in DVOA* overall offense (2nd pass, 6th rush) | 16th in DVOA* overall defense (11th pass, 24th run)
2nd: Middle-of-the-road against most receiver types, but seventh-best against WR2s (6.5 pass attempts per game, 41.7 receiving yards per game) and ninth-best against slot/bench receivers (6 pass attempts, 37.2 yards), according to Football Outsiders’ defense vs. receiver types chart.
3rd: Key loss: WR A.J. Hawk | Key addition: N/A
4th: Green Bay lost to the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC Championship Game so it’s not like they needed to make many big moves. However, the loss of A.J. Hawk and no additions to a defense that already ranked 24th in the NFL in effectiveness against the run is puzzling. Marshawn Lynch rushed for a season-high 157 yards in the NFC title game. But I guess when you have the best offense in the NFL you can have some warts on defense and dominate. What more is there to say about that ridiculous offense? Aaron Rodgers, Eddie Lacy, Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb are all elite, top-8 or better at their respective positions. One player to watch: Davante Adams. He disappointed owners in 2015 and the return of free agent Cobb means a lot of fantasy owners are going to refuse to make eye contact with him. But I find it hard to believe a player targeted 11 times by Rodgers for seven catches 117 yards and a touchdown in a playoff game will be ignored.
*Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, a Football Outsiders’ advanced NFL metric, measures a team’s performance on a per-play basis. The metric attempts to limit variance and provides a more realistic measurement of how good a team is regardless of matchup or situation, making it a strong indicator of future success. Read more about DVOA.