Putting the revolutionary RB theory to work [FFB]
I randomly drew the sixth overall pick in my 10 team redraft money league this year. I thought I would do a mock draft from that position trying to use the concepts from the revolutionary RB draft theory I developed. The following drafted team was the result. I’ve included an explanation for each pick and why it was made that particular round.
Round One – Randy Moss
The theory should allow you to concentrate on other positions besides RB the first two rounds of your draft. I chose to take the best WR on the board in Moss. He will be a TD machine again now that Tom Brady is back under center. My apologies to Larry Fitzgerald, I could have selected him here. I fear a letdown/injury coming to the Cardinals this season. It almost always happens to the losing Super Bowl team.
Round Two – Steve Smith
There was a host of WRs to pick from here. I chose Smith because a Carolina WR has finished in the top 10 every year in fantasy points scored with Jake Delhomme at QB. I see no reason to go against past history here and select someone else with more risk for the return.
Round Three – Knowshon Moreno
By round three you need to start drafting the RB under this theory. My opinion: Draft Moreno first because I have seen many drafts where he does not make it to you for a round four pick.
Round Four – Derrick Ward
I really think this guy will be a stud in what will be a run first offense this season. He typically can be had in round four or five but I like to take any running back that fits my theory ASAP if I am able to.
Round Five – Chris Wells
He is one of the top two rookies RB this year and I was able to get them both on my team. Plus he has an advantage of playing Detroit and St Louis come fantasy playoff time.
Round Six – Vincent Jackson
This round I try to look for best available anywhere. The top QB are gone, as is typical by now. The TEs really went early in this draft. Even Chris Cooley and Owen Daniels are gone already. It’s too early for defense and kicker. So that leaves me at WR. The top two on the board were Jackson and Anthony Gonzalez. I like either player, but I opted for Jackson because he is the number one WR option in San Diego and Gonzalez is number two behind Wayne in Indy.
Round Seven – Carson Palmer
This is the round I usually snatch up Donald Brown. This was a different draft however. Three other teams have not drafted a QB up to this point and they all would get two picks after this selection before I make my eighth round pick. I decided to start the run rather than be at the tail end of the run. I feel Carson Palmer is primed to have a great comeback season. Chad Ochocinco has come ready to play. He has a hungry Chris Henry and a consistent Laveraneus Coles to throw to as targets. Also with all the injuries at TE, rookie Chase Coffman might get thrown into the mix and provide another target for Palmer (he has never had a top-line receiving TE to target). I see a return to Palmer’s glory year numbers this season which makes him a good value pick here.
Round Eight – Donald Brown
Fortunately for me, Donald Brown still made it to me for the eighth round pick. He normally should be taken round seven if you really want him. He is probably the third best rookie RB.
Round Nine – LeSean McCoy
I am sure I rained on the Brian Westbrook owner’s parade with this selection at this point in the draft. Should Westbrook succumb to injury this season, this electrifying rookie is ready to take over at a moment’s notice. He is the heir apparent to the Philly RB throne and will be the starter as soon as he is given the opportunity.
Round 10 – Fred Taylor
I usually like to take Matt Hasselbeck here to provide some quality backup to Palmer, but he was already off the board at this point. I decided to take another RB that fit my draft theory in Fred Taylor. I now have the top four rookie RBs and the only two significant RBs to switch teams this season. Based on my theory proven by past football history, this team should produce two top 10 fantasy RB.
Round 11 – Stephen Gostkowski
I looked at defense first here, but all of the top ones were gone. Teams like the Jets, Vikings and Chargers still remained so I passed on the defenses for one more round. Usually I do not draft a kicker this early but to me Gostkowski is the best. Why not draft someone that is the best at their position in round 11? That’s good value.
Round 12 – San Diego Chargers D/ST
I like the Chargers as a defense this year, the return of Shawne Merriman and the addition of Larry English as another pass rusher probably add 30 sacks to this team’s total. The increased pass rush should result in more hurried throws from opposing QBs, causing more interceptions. Plus Antonio Cromartie should be healthier this season.
Round 13 – Brent Celek
I got my starting TE this late. Yes he is a sleeper, but he played really well down the stretch last year for the Eagles. LJ Smith is gone and Cornelius Ingram reinjured his knee, so Celek should be the undisputed starter in the Donovan McNabb-led offense that uses the TE, especially in the red zone.
Round 14 – Trent Edwards
Edwards was the best QB value available on the board. He has to produce something with TO, Lee Evans and Marshawn Lynch as targets.
Round 15 – Josh Morgan
He has been the best WR in camp so far for the Forty-Niners and looks to be making a strong case to be the number one WR option coming out of camp. He has good sleeper potential here.
Round 16 – Earl Bennett
He is another strong sleeper WR candidate. I look for Jay Cutler to find him often as they are familiar with each other from back in Cutler’s college days at Vandy.
In summary, as I look over this draft, I have the best WR and another top 10 WR starting for me. I should have two top 10 RB according to the theory. Carson Palmer is a top seven QB in my opinion. Gostkowski is the top kicker and San Diego is a top defense. The only place this team is below average is at TE and there really are not many TEs that can produce for you. Once the top five or six are gone it really is a crap shoot. Overall I think this team could challenge for a fantasy championship.
This is a maximum risky draft, but it also has the potential for maximum reward.
Last year, in a redraft, I chose Moss, Reggie Wayne and Jason Witten with my first three picks, then went with a slew of rookie RBs. I didn’t get Chris Johnson, Matt Forte or Steve Slaton, but still rode to the championship with Kevin Smith, Jonathan Stewart and a waiver pickup, Mewelde Moore.
So, WR-WR is really a viable theory alone. But when coupled with your Revolutionary RB Theory it should make it even more deadly.
Good luck this season in every league you deploy the theory, and be sure to let us know how it works out.
[...] know I keep referring back to my article written earlier this year, but until these picks go down in flames, I am sticking by [...]