2016 Draft Kit

Quarterback matchups for Week 12: Sleepers and busts

Multiple sets of statistics — including season-long and last-five-weeks — are used to determine the best and worst matchups of the week.

When multiple sets of statistics all point us in the same direction it increases our confidence in them.

Personally, I follow these lists more than our projections when filling out my daily fantasy lineups. Matchups should be one of the biggest parts of your lineup-making process.

Week 12 projections and rankings

Week 12 matchups: PASS | RUN | WR1 | WR2 | WR3/4 | TE | RB (rec.)

Top quarterback matchups

Josh McCown vs. Chicago — McCown has scored at least 20 points each of the last two weeks since replacing Mike Glennon. The former Bear goes back to Chicago and faces a defense which has allowed 26.3 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in the last five weeks. That’s the highest total in the NFL. This season, they are the second-least effective defense against quarterbacks. McCown also provides a huge discount at the daily fantasy sites.

Zack Mettenberger vs. Philadelphia — It’s difficult to recommend Mettenberger, but the Eagles defense has been beat up over the last five weeks, allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, eighth-most to running backs, fourth-most to wide receivers and the most to opposing defenses.

Kyle Orton vs. New York Jets — The Jets have allowed 20.1 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in the last five weeks. More importantly, Orton’s top target, Sammy Watkins, trashed them for 157 yards and a touchdown in Week 8.

Brian Hoyer vs. Atlanta — The arrival of Josh Gordon should be enough for fantasy owners to consider starting Hoyer. But the laso faces a defense that allows 20.1 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in the last five weeks, tying them with the Jets for the seventh-highest total in the NFL.

Ryan Tannehill vs. Denver — I would like this matchup better if it was in Miami, but I’ll probably build a Tannehill lineup on Sunday. There’s always garbage time to be had at the end of a loss to the Broncos.

Bad quarterback matchups

Tom Brady vs. Detroit — There are a few fantasy football prognosticators suggesting Brady as a start this week in daily fantasy. Nobody’s talking about him and when that offense is clicking matchups matter not. Still. This is a matchups column. Detroit has been the most effective defense against opposing quarterbacks this season. Over the last five weeks they’ve allowed the 12th least fantasy points to quarterbacks.

Peyton Manning vs. Miami — If this game was in Miami I’d have more concern about Manning this week. Still, the Dolphins have allowed just 10 points per game to quarterbacks in the last five weeks. I’d like to think it can’t lower Manning’s ceiling, but something doesn’t’ feel quite right about the matchup.

Drew Stanton vs. Seattle — Hopefully, you weren’t thinking about starting Drew Stanton against the defending Super Bowl champions.

Robert Griffin III vs. San Francisco — It’s crazy how Griffin went from RG3 to what he is right now. I can only hope he gets out of the funk by next season. This week, stay away.

Aaron Rodgers vs. Minnesota — Another difficult matchup for a superstar QB. The Packers are still expected to be one of the three highest-scoring teams this week despite playing on the road.

Russell Wilson vs. Arizona — The Cardinals have allowed just 11.1 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in the last five weeks. That’s the third-lowest total in the NFL.

Matt Ryan vs. Cleveland — Over the last five weeks, the Browns have allowed the fifth-least fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.

Ryan Mallett vs. Cincinnati — Mallett has a lot of weapons at his disposal, but considering the rushing matchup this week he shouldn’t be allowed to get the kind of volume you’d need from a starting quarterback.

Michael Vick vs. Buffalo — The line for this game has changed since it was moved from Sunday to Monday and from Buffalo to Detroit. Still, Vick is a poor play.

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