So, some of you are going to be like, “where are the tiers?” Some of you probably won’t care.
The bottom line is, this list is a whole pile of crazy. We’ve got some post-hypes, some guys who were good last year, but probably won’t be this year and they’re all over the place. There are several worth noting.
These rankings are based off ADP listings. The comments will tell you if the ADP is right on, or right off. The projections are there, too. They usually complement the comments.
Starting pitchers Nos. 61-80
61. Ervin Santana — His elbow injury this spring is unrelated to the one that made him useless last season. Remember, in 2008 he had 214 Ks in 219 innings and a 3.49 ERA. Let’s not put him back up to 100 percent yet, but he is only 27 this season. Projections: 10/0/4.20/1.30/160
62. Erik Bedard — Injuries have derailed Bedard for years. His shoulder may keep him out until May or June, so I’m not drafting him despite his K/inning skills. Projections: 5/0/3.45/1.25/110
63. Mark Buehrle — He’ll give you good ERA and WHIP numbers, but what makes him a top-80 pitcher and not a top-60 pitcher are his low strikeout numbers. Projections: 10/3.85/1.30/120
64. JA Happ — He’s not as good as the 3.69 he put up in 2009, but his Ks might be better than the 119 in 166 innings he had last season. He’ll be 27 until October. Projections: 10/0/4.00/1.30/140
65. Hiroki Kuroda — Turned 35 in February. Like Buehrle, only with less Ks and four years older. Projections: 10/0/3.80/1.25/100
66. Joe Saunders — Too few Ks and the soon-to-be-29-year-old’s ERA and WHIP aren’t that impressive either.
67. Scott Feldman — Turned 27 in February. The Rangers like him enough that he’s at the top of their rotation. Projections: 10/0/4.40/1.40/100
68. Kevin Correia — Last season Correia had a phenomenal stretch where he looked like an ace. He finished with a sub-4.00 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, but this is 2010. Projections: 10/0/4.15/1.40/130
69. Aaron Cook — Turned 31 in February. He might as well get you no Ks per start. Projections: 10/0/4.25/1.40
70. Joel Pinero — Last season, Pineiro had a near career year with 15 wins, a 3.49 ERA and 142 Ks. Recently signed by the Angels, he turns 32 in September. Projections: 10/0/4.25/1.35/100
71. Gil Meche — Everybody knew that those 2008 numbers — 14/3.98/1.32/183 — weren’t going to happen again, but nobody expected the complete collapse down to 129 innings pitched. If you wanted to take a chance that he’ll be better than these projections, I wouldn’t argue except to say that he’s 32. Projections: 10/0/4.35/1.40/130
72. Aroldis Chapman — There’s not an awful lot of info out there on the Cuban defector other than his spring numbers and that he’s been fantastic so far. Razzball’s optimistic about him, saying he’ll post 3.75/1.37 with a K per inning in 140 IP. That seems a big high, but he does have a spot in the rotation, unlike the other superstar prospect in this 20. Projections: 5/0/4.00/1.40/120
73. Aaron Harang — What happened to those great 2006 and 2007 seasons? He had 234 and 231 innings respectively those seasons and they were his second and third consecutive 200+ seasons. He’ll be the Reds opening day starter, but don’t get too excited. Projections: 10/0/4.25/1.30/160
74. Ricky Romero — Debuted last season at age 24. Easily could be one of the steals on this list because at his age he could still show some significant improvements and was a top pick of the Blue Jays. Projections: 10/0/4.50/1.55/150
75. Joe Blanton — Made a big deal about picking up Blanton last season. He was too good and produced too many Ks to be on waivers. He signed a big contract in the offseason. He could be better than these predictions. Projections: 15/0/4.15/1.30/150
76. Homer Bailey — Oh, look, you got some post-hype on you. Bailey will turn 24 in May. Projections: 10/0/4.60/1.45/140
77. Stephen Strasburg — Will start the season in the minors, but you’ll have to pick him here in dynasty/keeper setups and probably in regular setups if you want to roster him. So much hype that owners are likely to pick and stash him. If he gets called up in June or July he could get 80-100 innings and get 100-120 Ks.
78. Wade Davis — Despite his 10.24 spring ERA, Davis is going to be the fifth starter for the Rays. He’s one of their top prospects and could develop into a K/inning pitcher. He’ll be 25 in September. Projections: 10/0/4.30/1.35/150
79. Derek Lowe — The Braves tried trading him in the offseason, then named him the opening day starter. Things are good in Atlanta. Projections: 10/0/4.05/1.40/120
80. Brian Matusz — Another high end prospect, Matusz is expected to be an Orioles star before long. K/inning? No. 1 or No. 2 starter? That’s what the expectations are and it’s worth “wasting” a pick around 319 overall to find out if he’s ready. Projections: 10/0/4.40/1.40/120
Bonus round. It’s coming after the Top 100, but it’s not going to be very exciting.