2016 Draft Kit

Running back receiving matchups for the divisional round: Sleepers and busts

In the regular season, the matchups highlighted here included only the top 10 and bottom 10 matchups in the league.

Now that we have narrowed the field down to only the best teams the matchups are a lot less clear. There’s only one good matchup at a lot of positions. Last week, I limited these matchups to just good and two bad matchups per position.

This week I’m going to list them all. Despite not having a lot of great matchups, we still need to fill out a full roster. And there’s going to be a lot of variance. Maybe a middle-of-the-pack matchup is all you care about to make a WR2 startable in your lineup.

So, with that out of the way, let’s talk about presentation. I’m not going to give you good and bad matchups this week. You get one list per position, eight-ish players. They are listed in order of best to worst. The best-to-worst listing is based on Football Outsiders’ Defense-adjusted Value Over Averages for QB, RB, WR1, WR2, WR3/4, TE and RB (Rec.). K and DEF are ranked based on season-long schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed.

Matchups: QB | RB | WR1 | WR2 | WR3/4 | TE | K | DEF | RB (rec)

Divisional round boom-or-bust projections

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Running back receiving

C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman vs. Indianapolis — Anderson and Hillman may split time and both are effective as recievers out of the backfield. The Colts are the second-least efficient team against pass-catching backs according to DVOA. They allow 47.9 yards per game to running backs.

Jonathan Stewart/DeAngelo Williams vs. Seattle — This number surprised me a bit. The Seahawks are the 15th-least effective team against pass catching backs, according to DVOA. And their yards allowed per game (43.8) is middle-of-the-road among playoff teams.

DeMarco Murray vs. Green Bay

Daniel Herron/Zurlon Tipton/Trent Richardson vs. Denver — The Broncos give up 51.7 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs, the most among playoff teams left.

Eddie Lacy/James Starks vs. Dallas

Justin Forsett vs. New England — The Patriots allow 45.8 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs, the third most among teams left.

Shane Vereen/LeGarrette Blount/Jonas Gray vs. Baltimore — The Ravens were the eighth-most effective team against pass-catching backs this season, allowing just 30.8 receiving yards per game.

Marshawn Lynch/Robert Turbin vs. Carolina — The Panthers allowed just 31.6 yards receiving per game this season to running backs. DVOA ranks them as the second-most effective defense in the NFL in this category.

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