Las Vegas is predicting a crazy weekend this week in the NFL.
It seems like the kind of week where we will need to know which wide receiver will get two touchdowns while his teammates get one.
We’ll do our best to figure it out by looking at the matchups.
For quarterbacks and running backs , we use fantasy points against and Football Outsiders’ Defense-adjusted Values Over Average. For the different pass catchers, we look at fantasy points against, including points for the last five weeks and season totals, and average yards allowed per game.
When all of these numbers point to a couple different situations, we have our good and bad matchups.
Best running back receiving matchups
Jonathan Stewart vs. Atlanta — I have a feeling Stewart won’t be able to fully take advantage of this opportunity. Just a hunch.
Shane Vereen vs. Indianapolis — If the coach didn’t hate us fantasy players, we could trust this ranking. As it is, I’ll probably have some exposure to Vereen in my daily lineups, but if he was the starter — like he should be — Vereen would be a top-5 play this week.
Ahmad Bradshaw/Trent Richardson vs. New England — Bradshaw is one of my top three running back plays this week in both standard an PPR.
Benny Cunningham/Tre Mason/Zac Stacy vs. Denver– Running backs have been targeted 8.4 times per game for 52.8 yards against the Broncos this season. I still can’t recommend starting any of the Rams’ running backs in daily, but it’s a bye week and I could see you rostering one of them. They’ve all had at least one 4-catch game this season. Mason is probably the most talented of the bunch and he had four catches last week, so get him if you can.
Andre Ellington vs. Detroit — Ellington could struggle on the ground against the Lions, but the Lions haven’t been as good stopping pass-catchers out of the backfield, an area Ellington excels at.
Terrance West/Ben Tate vs. Houston — The Browns haven’t thown much to their running backs this season, but with Jordan Cameron out it could mean more opportunities, especially in a game like this where the backs will likely be open.
Worst running back receiving matchups
Le’Veon Bell vs. Tennessee — The Titans allow a lot of fantasy points to running backs (28.6/game in the last five) but only 22.1 yards per game to them as pass-catchers.
Rashad Jennings vs. San Francisco — Like I said in the tight end discussion, the center of the 49ers defense is dealing with injuries, meaning Jennings could find more room to roam than this ranking suggests..
C.J. Anderson/Juwan Thompson/Montee Ball vs. St. Louis — I’m avoiding this trio just because I’m not sure how carries will shake out. I’ve read that Anderson might be their most talented back, but I’d be surprised if Ball doesn’t get at least one more crack at the starting gig.
Bobby Rainey/Charles Sims vs. Washington — One of the podcasters I listened to today suggested listeners start Sims this week. I probably wasn’t going to do it anyway, but this matchup solidifies the decision.
Joique Bell/Theo Riddick vs. Arizona — While I like Riddick’s home run ability and Bell as a lead back, I’m going to avoid both of them in most of my lineups this week. Arizona gives up just 32 yards receiving per game to running backs.