There is a mighty hype train steaming through Chicago right now, the conductor is Starlin Castro. You don’t want to be on that train.
Castro is a budding prospect in the Cubs system. But his debut Friday pushed his value to an obscene level.
He opened his major league career with a three-run homer and a three-run triple in a Cubs blowout win. Unless you’re in a deep dynasty league — in which case he’s probably already gone — your only reason for acquiring him now is to flip him for help in 2010. Let me tell you why.
Castro’s value will come in the form of steals at this point in his career, and that’s not what everyone is going to pay for after Friday. Looking at his minor league numbers he’s practically nil in the homer department. In three minor league seasons he had 11 homers total. His high in any season? Three. His AA numbers point to a .300 hitter who could steal 30 bags.
He is only 20, and it appears as though he could develop pop. But, I’ll reiterate, he’s only 20. It could take four, five or more years before his body/swing/mentality mature enough to realize his power potential. That home run potential could be 15. It could be 30. The one certainty is that he won’t reach either this year.
For those of you in redrafts, pick him up off the free agent list, but don’t go hog wild trying to acquire him from another owner. If you pick him up, or you already own him, you could probably flip him for pieces to help you in 2010.
For those of you dealing with Free Agent Acquisition Budgets, let him slide. The owner that blows $50 for him now will drop him in a month when he still has just one homer. Pick him up for a couple bucks later and stash him in your dynasty or keeper league.