Welcome to our weekly column where I dive into the Las Vegas odds to find the best players with the best matchups in what Las Vegas thinks will be the best games for fantasy football this week. If you’re reading this you’re either elbow deep into daily fantasy — hello, I hope to see you […]
Tag: Alfred Morris
My hope was that you didn’t have to read this because it means your championship game lineup has holes in it. Maybe not gaping holes, but holes you feel need to be addressed nonetheless. If you’re reading this, it also probably means you either own Cam Newton, Russell Wilson or Tom Brady or you are going […]
A ton of money changes hands in Las Vegas sportsbooks on NFL Sundays. They have crack teams of number crunchers who are way better than me and you when it comes to guessing likely scores of NFL games.
Regardless of what I write here, you need to start Le’Veon Bell because he’s Le’Veon Bell. You may be in a situation where you have to start Jonathan Stewart, whether he has a good matchup or not.
This week I’m changing things up a bit. We’ve been using year-old Defense-adjusted Value Over Average for the first few weeks. Last week, we looked at both 2014 and 2015 DVOA in an attempt to gain a bit of an edge. Now this week I’ve added in fantasy points allowed.
It’s still early in the season so straight fantasy points allowed is a bad metric to use when determining matchups. Anyone who’s played fantasy football long enough has seen a running back stat line with something like four carries for one yard and two touchdowns. Those kinds of performances skew fantasy points allowed greatly. It’s also early […]
It’s early in the season so we don’t have much new information to go on. We have the preseason, but that’s only good for so much. The best we can do is look at predictive stats from last season. I think Football Outsiders’ Defense-adjusted Value Over Average is among the best, if not the best […]