Here is my look at who I predict to be busts based on their current ADP’s for the 2010 season. I am sure this list will be controversial.
Kevin Kolb: The press is making this guy seem superhuman and an upgrade over Donovan McNabb for the 2010 season. Let’s get real. This move was made to make the Eagles better in 2012 and 2013 more than anything else. Look at just about every quarterback’s first full season at the helm and 99 times out of 100 you will find a QB that is average at best and is usually an interception machine that first year. Yahoo has Kolb ranked higher than Matt Ryan and Jay Cutler. Those 2 will run circles around Kolb in the 2010 season. Don’t buy into the hype of him as a sleeper this year. You will be sorely disappointed I am afraid.
Chris Johnson: Yes I predict CJ2K to be a bust for the 2010 season. Don’t get me wrong he is still in the top 6 running backs, but he will not be the #1 guy like everyone thinks he will be. Past NFL History predicts a great drop in production after a 2,000-yard season. In fact no player in the history of the NFL has even rushed for 1,500 yards after a 2,000-yard season. Plus as ep alluded to here, he had 358 rushing attempts, only 12 short of the dubious curse of 370. He also had over 400 total touches in 2009. That’s another benchmark for trouble. Plus you combine all this with the fact that his holdout could last through most of training camp. It all just spells doom for CJ2K’s chances at being the #1 RB in 2010.
Cedric Benson: Yahoo has this guy ranked as the 12th best RB in all of football for 2010. Come on guys, I think you missed the boat on this one. Benson throughout his career has only averaged a paltry 3.8 yards per carry. In his best season he only managed to get six touchdowns for the entire season. He displayed last year that he ran out of gas midway through the 2009 season. How can one rank him ahead of Felix Jones, LeSean McCoy and Pierre Thomas, just to name a few? It’s unimaginable to see him ranked that high. Let the buyer beware at that price.
Larry Fitzgerald: Yes the Larry Fitzgerald also makes this team. The problem with him is you will draft him expecting top 5 wide receiver numbers. What you get will be something totally different. First and foremost, instead of Kurt Warner chucking the ball to him, he now has Matt Leinart. While Leinart maybe unfairly has received a lot of criticism, he has yet to prove on the field that he is a reliable quarterback week in and week out. The team also lost Anquan Boldin in the offseason. He certainly was better at drawing some of the double teams away from Fitzy than Steve Breaston and Early Doucet will prove in 2010. The late season emergence of Chris Wells at running back will also factor into Ken Whisenhunt’s offensively philosophy. All of those factors add up to disappointment for you if you draft Larry Fitzgerald based on his ADP.
Jeremy Maclin: Yahoo has him ranked so high (25th) in their composite wide receiver rankings that I absolutely could not leave Maclin off this team. Maclin at the very best will be the 3rd pass option in Philly behind DJax and Celek. Combine that with the fact you have Kevin Kolb as a first year starter and it spells disaster for Maclin’s fantasy value in 2010. There is no way Maclin puts up enough stats to be the 25th best wide receiver in all of football, unless Philly undoes the McNabb trade and he is under center, which isn’t happening.
Jason Witten: Yes Romo’s best friend will have a hard time competing for catches with Miles Austin and Dez Bryant in the mix. Add in Felix Jones or Marion Barber out of the backfield too, and things really look bleak for Witten. He rarely scores in the red zone and the decreased catches make him all that less valuable. Take JerMichael Finley instead.
David Akers: In looking over the top 10 ranked kickers by Yahoo, Akers is the only one I could see having a significant drop off from 2009. As you can probably see, I predict the Eagles to be the bust team of 2010. It only figures that their kicker should join that group.
New Orleans Saints: The Saints had the storybook season last year. If you take a closer look at their schedule, it was highly favorable for defensive success. They had starts against rookies Mark Sanchez, Matthew Stafford, Josh Freeman. They had starts against first year QBs Josh Johnson, Kevin Kolb, and Matt Moore. Plus you can add in one implosion game by last year’s sucky veteran Jake Delhomme and one start by backup Chris Redman. That’s half of the team’s games against the worst quarterback play in the league. The defense should have played well in 2009. The Schedule makers weren’t quite as kind to the Saints this year. The Saints DEF/ST will be a one hit wonder.
We would love to hear your comments on the above “Bust” picks of 2010.